Xu Bohong:8.6黄金原油冲高回落见顶了？日内黄金原油交易策略

International SpotgoldWednesday(8month5day)延续强劲涨势，盘中最高触及2055.10dollar/盎司，暂时企稳在2000美元关口上方。不过投资者评估地缘政治风险增加，以及为抗击冠状病毒疫情而出台进一步刺激措施的前景，这令黄金虽然可能会出现回调，但依然有望获得足够的避险买盘。
　　
　　在非农报告公布前，市场普遍关注的是已经公布的ADP数据。由于7月份失业工人重返工作岗位的行动大幅放缓，私营部门就业人数仅增加16.7万。根据这份与穆迪分析联合编写的报告，这一数字远低于接受道琼斯调查的经济学家预计的100万，较6Of the month431.4万大幅下降。一个亮点是，6月份的总就业人数大大高于最初估计的约240万。不过，5Monthly increase in employment population334万人，仍远低于3Month and4月份失去的1970Ten thousand job opportunities.3Month and4月美国经济为遏制冠状病毒大流行进入关闭状态。
　　
　　周三晚上，在小非农数据公布后不久，一则消息引起人们关注：据市场消息，美国计划大幅增加长期国债发行规模。美国将发售创纪录的1120亿美元的三年、十年和三十年期国债。美国准备扩大发债，其实已经不算是新闻。就在昨天，美国财政部就为市场打了一剂“预防针”。随着两党围绕着新一轮刺激方案进行天天紧锣密鼓地讨论，未来几个月美国财政部确切的资金需求仍存在不确定性，因为两党对新一轮经济刺激的规模依然存在异议，共和党希望金额达到1万亿美元，而民主党人希望规模是3.5万亿美元。外界普遍相信，另一轮大规模撒钱计划即将落地。而随着美国疫情变得严峻，经济刺激也变得更紧迫。——黄金必然无法独善其身，黄金将迎挑战。
　　
　　8.6Analysis of gold market trend:
　　
　　黄金技术面分析：黄金昨天是一个过山车的行情，从2055Directly fall all the way down to2028On the front line, a wave of pullback has caused many investment friends a headache, as many gold trading institutions have bought a large number of short orders and smashed the market5Billion US dollars, harvested a portion of leeks, analyzed from a technical perspective, gold4Breaking through the sorting interval during the hour1982-1985The high point forms a continuous positive release,MACDRaise the golden fork again. Short lineKThe line structure and indicators are still rising again. The short-term moving average forms a critical point for unilateral bulls.
　　
　　4Hours do not close on10Below the unit moving average, it will continue to rise slowly in the short term.1Hour chart and30Due to the continuous surge of the minute chart,KD指标超买。短线或许会伴随回调修正。博鸿预计亚盘冲高后会形成停顿高位或者回落修正过渡至欧盘。美盘再惯性的走法。故亚盘高位依旧不追多，先择高位短线看空一波。回落启稳后再决定是否反手多，如若是直接快速下跌。则要避开高位急速扫单下挫行情。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上徐博鸿个人建议以顺势做多为主，反弹高空为辅，关注顶部的2053-2055One line of resistance, pay attention below2028-2030底部的一线支撑。行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询徐博鸿(xbh768)Get it for free!
　　
　　8.6Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:
　　
Empty order strategy:
　　
Gold rebound2053-2055Short (buy down) two tenths of a position nearby, stop loss5Points, target2040-2035Nearby. Break the position to see2030frontline;
　　
Multiple order strategy:
　　
Gold Callback2028-2030Nearby long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target2045-2050Nearby, break down and take a look2055frontline;
　　
　　8.6crude oilMarket trend analysis:
　　
The crude oil weekly continues to cross at a high levelKReporting and daily support41.7关口呈现阴阳交互，下方回踩下探3The daily moving average has stabilized and rebounded strongly. Bohong believes that due to the indicator not yet fully turning upwards after the bottom rebounded, the weekly chart is in a neutral position with potential fluctuations, while the daily chart continues to show signs of weaknessK线整理，虚破区间后回归区间整理，布林道紧紧收口当中，本周周初依旧看在区间内窄幅震荡。预计短期下破可能性不大。此外，60Daily moving average41.0也有一定支撑性。那么今日原油短线操作上徐博鸿个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注44.0-44.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.5-41.0Frontline support. Friends who have no direction or losses in the market can find Xu Bohong:xbh768Solve it, even small funds have the conditions for profitability. Large funds make big profits, small funds make small profits, and act within our capabilities!

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