Fan Chenjie:8.5小非农趋势布局，黄金TD白银一起暴涨晚间走势分析

    Wednesday（8month5Day)goldT+DClosing up2.77%to439.66element/Ke, creating more than16Annual high; silvert+drise7.82%to6107element/Kilograms. The continuous decline in US dollar and bond yields has increased the attractiveness of gold. The significant impact of the pandemic on the global economy, the recent escalation of trade issues, and the explosion that occurred in the Lebanese capital Beirut on Tuesday have further boosted safe haven demand, driving up gold prices. The recent statements issued by Federal Reserve officials, as well as the analysis of market veterans and economists, all point to the "average inflation" target, which is to tolerate or even hope for inflation to be higher than the usual set by the Federal Reserve2%。

    受到黎巴嫩首都贝鲁特大爆炸、美债收益率持续走低、美国新刺激方案或现进展以及国际关系持续紧张的影响，隔夜现货黄金冲破2000The US dollar hit a high level, but bulls did not stop there. Today, bullish gold and silver continued to strengthen, and spot gold in the European market rose to2031dollar/Ounces, breaking the daily high and reaching a new historical high;COMEXOn the Qijin Station2050dollar/Ounces, with a daily increase of1.49%; The intraday increase in spot silver has expanded to2%Report26.35dollar/ounce.

    现货黄金及白银价格再度跳涨创出本轮行情新高，樊辰杰认为，贵金属价格当前上涨过度，进入超买区间，后市或面临回调压力。避险买盘推动金价突破2000The US dollar, as it tested its low point over two years ago, saw negative real interest rates fall to2013年的水准，且对进一步刺激计划的预期持续升温；辰杰称，鉴于价格上涨速度之快，短暂回调的风险已经上升；随着金价站上2000dollar/盎司，后市金价或迎来新的上涨空间，但是短期金价上涨过快，需要谨防回落风险。综合来看，短线操作上樊辰杰建议冲高做空为主，上方短期重点关注2045-2050Frontline resistance, short-term focus below2000-1995一线支撑。若黄金出现大幅回调下方就没有支撑，若破新高，上方任何点位都是阻力；

    白银日线收盘大阳线，光头光脚大阳线表现了白银多头较强势，昨日上涨突破结束了白银近期的阴线调整走势，高点破前高，白银多头趋势得到延续，均线系统多头排列，运行在价格下方形成支撑。如图所示，白银在7month28Daily contact26.2After reaching a high level, there was a wave of retracement adjustment, and after five trading days of adjustment, the price broke through again to a new high yesterday, further demonstrating the intervention of multiple investors. Let me analyze the starting point of this wave of upward trend, silver in7month30Daily contact22.89The position is supported and there is a wave of upward movement, which gives24.898The US dollar changed the pattern of adjustment before, and then stepped back24.032The US dollar has seen another rise, giving26.3US dollars. This trend can be seen as an upward trendABC浪，如果上涨出现延续大概率将出现五浪上涨。反之再将出现调整走势。综合来看樊辰杰认为，今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主，上方关注27.2-28.0USD resistance, follow below25.3-24.7USD.

    crude oil从日线来看，窄幅震荡；布林带持续收口，油价波幅有限，预计近期将选择方向，留意上、下轨突破情况；目前MACDDead forks and green pillars have weak kinetic energy,KDJPreliminary Golden Cross, Index at60Nearby. The overall momentum of oil prices is weak and is expected to continue the volatile pattern. Keep an eye on last week's high above42.51At the same time, this is similar to the Bollinger Belt track; Strong resistance3month4Daily high point48.66附近。此外，辰杰认为简单留意3month2Daily low point43.32as well as3month6Daily high point46.38. Lower support, pay attention to the lower track of the Bollinger belt first39.54. Strong support in6month15Daily low point34.36Nearby, this position is from3Since the launch of the month, it has been tested multiple times and has strong reference value. It is expected that there is little possibility of a short-term breakthrough. In addition,60Daily moving average38.15It also has some support. Overall, for the short-term operation of crude oil tonight, my personal suggestion is to focus on a pullback and buy long, supplemented by a rebound at high altitudes, with a focus on short-term operations above44.0-44.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.5-41.0Frontline support.

    每天朋友圈会更新趋势分析和操作思路，需要考察实力的可以去看，需要看建议的自行去看就可以了，非本人实盘客户本人提供方向和大的预期，又不收费，你考虑好了就跟实盘操作，觉得我帮不了你或者你有疑问你就再继续考察，免得耽误大家彼此的时间，毕竟时间是宝贵的，不是用来浪费的。

    本文由樊辰杰供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。

    writing/Fan Chenjie 指导（fcj66886688）