8.5黄金还会跌吗？原油还会涨吗？最新行情趋势解析附解套

　　无论是在金融投资领域，还是实业领域。我们可以仔细的观察那些成功者，大多不仅仅是努力而已。努力是优秀的品质，但仅有努力距离成功还远远不够。很多“产业疯子”的行为之所以不被理解，实际上是因为他们的视野高度远超一般人的世界。没有思维和视野的高度，就不可能有远大的抱负，自然也就很难有强大的坚持或压力之下的重大抉择。人生的很多不同，是否就是因为这些而渐行渐远投资是一门复杂的学问，是技巧、技能、心态、人性等综合博弈的过程。在这一过程中，谁的风险意识强，谁的风险管理做的好，谁的风险控制措施执行到位谁就是最后笑傲的赢家！

　　goldnews flash:

　　(8month4day)Beijing Time20:35Spot gold fell0.03%to1976.31dollar/Ounces;COMEX期金主力合约上涨0.39%to1994.0dollar/盎司；美元指数上扬0.11%to93.626。现货黄金高位窄幅震荡，因美元维持弱势反弹。但围绕美国经济刺激计划的政治角力和黯淡的经济前景令投资者保持谨慎。世卫组织敦促各国严格执行包括戴口罩在内的一系列防疫措施，美联储官员对此表示认同。美联储还暗示，国会若不尽快通过新的刺激措施，经济可能跌入深渊。现货金鑫认为“虽然它可能会让个别企业难以招到员工，但它帮助创造了就业机会，因为它帮助提振了消费者支出，所以它对经济中的就业的净影响可能仍然是积极的。”有关进一步经济救助方案的谈判仍在进行之中。按照白宫病毒专家的说法，美国疫情正在进入“新的阶段”。目前并不清楚，如果达成协议，是否就能足以改变市场对于美国经济复苏落后其他主要经济体的观感，因此黄金回调空间料有限。

　　黄金技术面分析；黄金日图收成小阴线，日线仍处于高位横向整理当中，美指轻微止跌反弹，黄金上行力度开始减弱，只是顶部形态成立还缺少空间配合，目前充其量还在构造当中。随着多头量能的衰竭，高位适当配合短空操作。一旦拐头就是波段性的回调，毕竟目前高位看多空间也相对有限，追多仍存在变盘风险，除非有效企稳1980上方。昨日盘中在1977-1978一带短空到位短线目标1965-1960间，波段目标实现，尾盘收在相对得高位。横向整理当中，多空走得相对谨慎，持续性不足。现货金鑫分析4小时高位慢性整理上涨，每次刷新一个新高都伴随较长时间的停顿整理修正，而附图MACD指标无力创新高，形成顶部背离，MACD背离仍有待消化。K线结构暂时还是处于多头趋势中的强势修正，后市要跌破1940低点才能拐头加深调整空间，否则短期内还会持续这种反复摸高再承压回落，形成慢涨中多头量能衰竭的走法。但是过程迂回反复。1小时图暂时高位震荡当中，指标钝化，短线暂时留意1984/86附近的阻力压制，下方支撑关注1960-1940两个位置的破位。近期波动较大，再进场做单的时候，止损止盈点位注意设置好。所以综合分析操作上现货金鑫建议低位做多为主；上方关注1990-1995One line of resistance, pay attention below1950-1955Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operational strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance and communication【xhjx226】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.

　　crude oilQuick news;

Tuesday(8month4day)European market, US crude oilfuturesPrice at40美元上方震荡下跌近2%，原因是人们担心在主要产油国增产之际，全球新一波新冠病毒疫情引发了更严格的封锁，燃料需求刚刚出现的复苏迹象可能戛然而止。美国原油期货价格报40.34dollar/Barrel1.66%; Brent crude oil futures price report43.44dollar/Barrel1.68%. Monday(8month3day)美国原油期货上涨1.84%，布伦特原油期货上涨1.45%，亚洲、欧洲和美国的制造业数据好于预期，这些数据显示，工厂正在从早期新冠病毒大流行的影响中走出。现货金鑫认为全球制造业数据表现相当令人鼓舞，但仍有相当多的证据表明，随着新冠疫情的复苏，石油需求的复苏在一些市场停滞不前。

　　原油技术面分析；日线MACDandKDJDeadfork signal continuation,5Daily moving average underpass10日均线初步死叉，原油下破布林带中轨，短线有进一步向下试探布林带下轨38.93附近支撑的趋势，该位置在7月中旬多次被测试，支撑相对较强，若下破则下行空间将被重新打开；强支撑在6month15Daily low point34.36Nearby, this position is from3月跳空低开以来被多次测试，参考性较强，预计短期下破可能性不大。整体来看，原油偏向于下行，因有迹象显示油市重新回归到期货溢价的模式，显示现货市场需求疲软，这和4月美原油一度跌至负值的市场结构一致。现货金鑫预计本周美原油将结束四周连阳的走势。同时全球最大的独立石油储存公司警告因需求疲软，原油存储空间存在再度耗尽的风险。不过，由于布林带下轨目前仍为原油提供之前，且7月中旬多次试探均未能有效下破，若原油坚守该位置，则后市将仍然维持此前的窄幅震荡格局；上方阻力首先关注41关口，突破则依次上看布前期高点42.51，该位置同时靠近布林带上轨，阻力相对较强，原油需要突破该位置才能有效扭转目前的弱势格局；所以综合分析操作上现货金鑫建议反弹高空低多操作即可。上方关注41.5-41.7One line of resistance, pay attention below39-39.2Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operational strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance and communication【xhjx226】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.

How to invest in gold correctly for beginners

　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.

　　2Starting with small-scale trading - For beginners in the market, it is necessary to start with small-scale trading, gradually grasp trading patterns and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.

　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities, and bear heavier risks based on the opposite market trend and personal wishes.

　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.

　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.

　　6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial. How is your profit from investing so far?

This article is written by Jinxin, a stock company（xhjx226）供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处

The author of this article is Jin Xin from Spot,xhjx226。