8.4黄金延续调整看区间整理，原油上方41先空看40Dislocation

　　趋势交易的难点在于有足够的忍耐力，我们用最简单的办法去操作，也就是纯粹的程序化交易，不掺杂任何个人情绪在里面，假如我们每次的盈利目标是20个点，而止损设置只有10个点，那么按照50%的成功率我们都是盈利的，而为什么有很多人最终还是亏损。这就是坚定的毅力和忍耐力的问题，很多人无法做到坚持，无法坚持必然就无法赚大钱，但亏损的时候没有严格的纪律，一直坚持持有，最终却亏大了，这就是典型的所谓的来回跑。赚的时候赚小钱，亏的时候亏大钱，喜欢抗单，喜欢乱跑，这些因素几乎是所有亏损者的通病。什么时候懂得执行严格的纪律，懂得收放自如，该放手就要放手的时候，离盈利就不远了。做交易，王今博认为我们任何时候都要在保存实力的前提下去博弈去冒险，而不是每一单都冒险。其实，在我看来，每一个单子获利多少不重要的，重要的是我们所采取的操盘策略和交易理念，我们获利的根本原因，这才是每一个人需要学习的价值点所在。
　　
　　gold快讯;
　　
Tuesday(8month4day)亚市盘中，现货黄金继续徘徊在1970美元上方，昨日金价小幅收跌。值此之际，花旗银行分析师预计，金价将在三个月后升至每盎司2100美元，在未来6to12个月升至每盎司2300美元。王今博认为，ETF投资者资金创纪录的流入速度、美元走软以及实际收益率为负是黄金的主要推动因素。该行表示：我们将黄金短期目标上调至2100dollar/ounce.6-12Breakthrough within months2300dollar/盎司目标似乎是可行的。王今博认为：以美元计划的黄金已经接近突破新高，这将意味着金价可能会延续升势至2400dollar(connect1980Year and2011年高点的趋势线)。此前，澳新银行分析师也撰文指出，预计黄金将在未来6-12个月内升至2300美元。不过，澳新银行也注意到，如果未来几个季度经济人气改善，投资者需求持续增长将遭遇障碍，可能会使黄金达到2300美元这一水平的道路变得十分艰难。
　　
　　根据伦敦金银市场协会和纳斯达克的数据，伦敦市场黄金成交量在7月底创下89万盎司的单日纪录新高，价值1750亿美元。在大量投资者转向伦敦黄金市场，掉期和远期交易量激增之际，交易者需留意市场情绪后续是否会再度逆转。从黄金的月线看，7The monthly report closes with a positive line, with a red sky covering the sky and a monthly increase of up to225The US dollar has also broken the previous historical pressure and stabilized above it, coupled withKDJandMACDStill maintaining strong bullish signals,8There is still room for the moon to continue rising, and below8Pay attention to the support of the Bollinger Belt under the track in the month1880Further attentionMA5Monthly moving average1753The US dollar supports bullish sentiment. From the perspective of the weekly line, the weekly line is continuous8The trading day closed positive. After two consecutive weeks of sharp rebound, the price of gold has now exceeded the upper limit of the Bollinger Line. Most of the advantages after breaking the limit are difficult to sustain. Therefore, please pay attention to the callback at the beginning of the week. Bottom focus on the upper rail1926Support, followed byMA5Moving Average 1851美元。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上王今博建议以反弹做空为主，，上方短期重点关注1987-1992Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1960-1955一线支撑。文章只能给你一时的方向和思路，至于具体进场点位和出场点位，王今博实时盘中给出，欢迎关注！添加微信：wjb9393咨询王今博获取实时指导策略。
　　
　　crude oilnews flash:
　　
Monday（8month3日）亚洲时段，美元指数冲高后有所回落，市场对美国经济前景缺乏信心，且美国国会仍未在进一步援助法案达成共识，这限制了美元指数的反弹高度。虽然中国财新PMI表现继续向好，理论上对澳洲外贸出口前景该有拉动效果，但是澳元汇价仍受困于美元反弹和澳洲本土经济困境的双重压力继续走软。亚盘时段，国际油价震荡，市场担心供应过剩。OPEC+Will be on8月放松减产协议，而全球新冠病例增加则引发对燃油需求增长放缓的担忧。Nissan SecuritiesResearch DirectorHiroyuki Kikukawa表示，投资者担心供应过剩，因OPEC+本月将开始缩减减产幅度，且油价从纪录低位反弹，预计会刺激美国页岩油生产商提高产量。新冠疫情反弹的担忧也令油市承压，预计本周油价将位于45Below the US dollar.
　　
　　原油技术面来看，原油日线级别收线中阴线，高点没有破前高，低价没有破新低，出现了区间震荡，没有延续前一日油价收阳线延续走高，而是继续维持区间震荡中。近期原油表现可以看出，油价就是维持一个窄幅震荡中，若进一步上破后有望出现新一波趋势行情，油价在四小时级别上看，油价一直延续在6month25Day, oil prices hit37.2Above the upward trend line after the position is supported, if the market retreats and continues to support at this position, there is a probability that the oil price will continue to rise. Therefore, the resistance level above the oil price needs to be tested first41.9Horizontal position resistance, further upbreak will test43.3US dollar resistance; If the oil price drops to a supportive level, the first thing to pay attention to is39.5Position support, and then further testing38.0水平位置支撑。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王王今博wjb9393个人建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注41.3-41.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.8-39.3Frontline support.
　　
　　心态决定了苦与乐，观念决定了成与败，做人越简单，交易就越宁静。许多时候，你却宁愿被逆势阵亡，也不愿自我反省。一滴墨，可以污浊一杯水，难以浑浊一条河，因为心大方能容纳，一句话，可以破坏一时的心情，却难以决定人的一生，因为命运在自己的手中;An accident can make your footsteps heavy and difficult to erode your persistent pursuit, because you are "alive" in the market. Because of your strength, the road ahead is ahead, so don't easily stop walking. In the depths of time, hold onto a light understanding that in investment, one must learn to be optimistic. Don't let the future of you hate your current self. We are truly alive, but not every piece of data must be taken to the end after it is revealed. Let the past pass, let the future come quickly!Take a good rest, sharpen your troops, and be ready to prepare at any time.
　　This article is written by Wang Jinbo (WeChat:wjb9393---Official account: Wang Jinbo), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trend, and have in-depth research on crude oil, gold, silver and other bulk commodities. Due to the delay of online push, the above content is personal advice, and because the online posting is timely, it is only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting