Register now, make more friends, enjoy more functions, and let you play in the community easily.
You need Sign in Can be downloaded or viewed without an account?Register Now
x
今天是8.3日周一,大家好我是鹏华论市。gold符合我们周末给出的预期,高开了,但是很奇怪,并没有高走,而是走低回落震荡调整,再一次承压于1985一线。这已经第四次突破1980一线,高点不断抬高,却依然走不出这5美金的区间。但这一次的冲高回落,并没有如之前每一次的突破一般大幅度下跌,而是走小幅回撤且低点不断抬高,整体可以看出空头动能逐渐被多头吞噬,潜在情绪正在酝酿。震荡走势不改多头趋势,以震荡的方式通过时间换取空间。这仍是我们的主要思路。
黄金市场里,我通常习惯在周末搜集当前环境下的一些基本面信息,加以总结。这是对下周黄金走势的一个基础判断,当然,周线及月线的收官意味着在大的周期内多了一根K线,大的趋势也更加明了。技术面的分析必不可少,往往我会很看重是周一的开盘,当市场经过一个周末的沉淀后,大部分的投资者都会冷静下来,仔细去判断当前的局势。
所以周一的开盘在很大的程度上代表了这一周的开始大部分投资的情绪及预期。这有利于我们确定当周走势的一个基调。高开低走,其实目前来讲为时尚早,因为今天的行情还没有走完,此时的高开低走受下方1970支撑,市场并出现空头情绪的积蓄。一般来讲,如果日线走出阴包阳走势且上引线受极短的情况下,是一个见顶信号,市场的抛售情绪将大幅上涨。故日内需重点关注1965一线,若日线收线于1965下方,则形成阴包阳,短期见顶信号形成,后市将谨慎看多;若日线收于1972上方,则多头仍强;收于1965-1972之间,则震荡概率较大。在没有消息面刺激的当下,市场更多的是情绪的争夺,一根根K线里,反映的是市场情绪之争,而走势的形成正是受情绪推动。
日线上来看,当前这根K线里,开盘价即最高价,意味着如果收阳,则必须突破新高1985。当日最低价格来到1970,受5Daily moving average support,MACD红色能量柱缩小,双线指标逐渐粘合且有拐头迹象,KDJ三线粘合,意味多头的能量趋于平缓,多空争夺减弱,市场观望情绪浓厚。
小时线来看,早间高开回落至1969.5一线后陷于小幅区间震荡中,下方多次刺探1970一线支撑难以突破。5日均线穿过10日均线来到下方,下方第一支撑位于1967一线布林带中轨。MACDAndKDJ指标均结成死叉,各线指标向下发散,弱势走势初显,但还并未形成。鉴于周一市场观望情绪浓厚,料市场波动不大,建议关注下方1967-1965一线支撑逢低做多为主,上看5-10个点位即可。大的方向依然如周末给出的分析,依托1960-1940一线支撑看涨,日内若突破1960一线支撑则不再介入多单。
白银方面,随黄金走势高开低走,日内受5Daily moving average24.00Front line support oscillates. From the hourly chart, there is already a certain gap between the current trend and gold, and the high point is constantly moving upwards,KDJThe indicators are adhesive and there are signs of forming a golden cross. Silver is still bullish during the day, with support from below24.11-24.00-23.70Long on dips, above24.41The first line can profit by reducing positions or leaving the market. Given that the market is relatively light on Monday, it is also possible to24.11-24.41Internal overestimation and low slag, strictly controlling gains and losses. Short order stop loss placed at intraday high24.68That's it.
最后简单讲一下美元指数,美指在上周五触底反弹,刷新低点92.51Afterwards, it continued to rise and is currently hindered by the daily level10Daily moving average93.70A line of resistance. From a technical perspective, domestic demand should focus on the breakthrough of resistance on this front line. If there is a breakthrough, the US index may start a larger round of adjustment, and the rise of the US index will suppress the rise of gold. On the news side, focus on this week'sADP及非农数据,届时料将引发剧烈波动,数据公布之前我也会写一篇详尽的预期及分析,欢迎关注鹏华论市本人微信公众号“鹏华论市”/WeChatph5018及时获取行情分析及指导。
鹏华论市团队——因为我们专业,所以领先!没有完美的风控方案谈何盈利?
1Novice traders, experience cycle1Months, threshold1Ten thousand US dollars is enough: learn to master technical indicators(BOLL/MAMoving averagemacd、KDJ)And simple technical forms (such as Star of Enlightenment, Hammer Line, etc.)10Form), learn to judge trends within a month, simple control of points, risk control of gold trading, and trading precautions.
2Experienced traders, experiencing cycles3Months, threshold2Starting from $10000: Within three months, in addition to novice investors mastering a bare metal courseKTechnology, learning to judge trends while accurately grasping entry points, possessing a complete trading strategy, and having its own basic trading system.
3Solve basic daily profit requirements, crave for larger profit traders, and experience cycles6Months, threshold5More than ten thousand US dollars: In addition to being mastered by new and old investors, one complex subject is also masteredK先组合形态,学会判断行情的底部、顶部,掌握波段式交易,黄金中线布局。以上加入者,由鹏华论市老师一对一指导交易(提供实时的进、出场,加仓,减仓)以及技术指导(培训以及交易实践),达到不同水平的独立交易能力。
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
全方位指导老师:鹏华论市分析团队
撰稿人:鹏华论市
Guide WeChat(ph5018)
Author's message: May you and I start with words, adapt to character, fall into technical difficulties, persist in kindness, and finally have character.
Order style: I don't promise to double the funds for a single order, only provide you with the most stable and long-term guidance!
Flying with the phoenix, one must be a handsome bird; Walking with tigers and wolves, one must be a fierce beast! How far you can go depends on who you are walking with. |
"Small gifts, come to Huiyi to support me"
No one has offered a reward yet. Give me some support
|