Guo Zhe Letter:8.3黄金晚间分析，非农近在眼前你还在单打独斗？

　　Guo Zhe Letter:8.3gold晚间分析，非农近在眼前你还在单打独斗？
　　


　　本周重大风险事件预警！
　　
　　1、首先就是本周三的小非农数据，市场预期7月新增就业人数将会较前值大幅下挫，若数据不及预期，理应会进一步推高金价。但多头也要警惕预期被提前消化的情况。
　　
　　2、其次就是本周五的大非农数据，美国非农就业数据将成为焦点。市场预期美国经济7New added in the month140Ten thousand job positions, unemployment rate will decrease to10.7%。密切注意数据公布的情况！
　　
　　3、本周有待观察的美国数据包括周一的ISM制造业采购经理人指数，周二的工厂订单，周三的ADP就业和ISM非制造业采购经理人指数，以及周四的初请失业金人数。
　　


　　疫情忧虑提振避险需求，金价守在记录高点附近；金价周一一度再次刷新纪录高点至1988.41dollar/盎司，新冠病患增加的相关经济效应令人感到忧心，提振了对黄金的避险需求。不过美元的反弹限制了黄金涨幅，目前金价回落至1976.03附近。郭哲函认为，整个市场人气在恶化。首先，感染率上升是全球的实质性担忧，也是金价的真正支撑。有鉴于此，这种状况也推动美元上涨。
　　
　　美国感染人数继续激增，全球已有超过1800万人确诊。新冠病例上升以及国际紧张关系发酵也打击了全球经济迅速复苏的希望，推动资金流入黄金等避险资产。金价今年累计上涨30%。上周五美国的联邦失业救济到期，使黄金获得避险买需，因为救济计划到期将影响美国消费者的收入和支出，因此美联储将保持宽松立场。
　　
Analysis of International Gold Price:
　　
From a daily perspective, the upward trend of gold seems to have weakened and has been hindered multiple times2000Below the gate,1980Nearby, but note that it is weakening, not reversing, and the daily line is still operating well5Above the daily moving average, all other moving averages are arranged in a long position,MACDThe red kinetic energy column expands, with the fast and slow lines strongly upward,KDJWe also maintain a bullish signal, with clear support from the moving averages of each cycle on the main market, indicating that the bullish forces are still strong. However, agility indicatorsstoThere is a trend of going out of oversold with a downward tick, so there is a demand for daily fluctuations to fall back. In addition, this week's non agricultural week may lead to range fluctuations in the gold market on Monday and Tuesday. Follow Above1980Regional resistance, pay attention belowMA5Daily moving average1966Support! From a four hour perspective, gold rose and fell in the morning, indicating that the resistance above is still effective. The gold price is in the midst of a chronic test high, but the continuous inertia surge is shown in the attached pictureMACDThe inability of indicators to reach new highs has caused them to deviate from the top, while the short-term rebound of the US Index has also released the risk of a change in the gold high4Hourly indicatormacdDead fork shrinkage oscillation, agility indexstoDouble line downward repair, indicating short-term4小时还是以震荡偏弱为主。综合来看，操作上郭哲函建议上方阻力关注1983-1985First line, support attention from below1955-1960frontline.
　　
Gold1970短多进场，目标看1977-1979Frontline, goal1977不破空单进场！
　　


　　（8Hot bookings for monthly return investment quotas, only remaining10Please contact Guo Zhe in a timely manner for specific plan settings and funding details
　　
　　8Monthly investment return plan:
　　
　　①1Less than ten thousand US dollars: fixed daily2~3Strategy, to maximize profit margin for early stage capital accumulation, and develop risk control profit loss ratio based on specific capital volume!(Expected return on capital rate40%about)
　　
　　②1-5Ten thousand US dollars: Operate with a relatively stable and conservative plan, as the amount of funds is not sufficient. The operation is mainly focused on stability, with short-term profits as the main focus, without any radical operations.(Expected return on capital rate70%about)
　　
　　③5-10Ten thousand US dollars: Similarly, we use a robust operation based approach to operate. Of course, we need to allocate a relatively large position and adopt a method of combining short and medium lines for operation. We use the middle line to grasp the band profit and the short line to prevent profit withdrawal.(Expected return on capital rate120%Left and right)
　　
　　④10More than ten thousand US dollars: We provide a self selected operation plan for operation,20%Configure short-term positions based on left and right positions,30%Long term position allocation for left and right positions, without leaving any band out, striving for the maximum return rate! to configureVIPRisk control greatly improves the value preservation of funds, maximizing returns while reducing risks!(estimate9Arrival in month200%Left and right profit targets)！
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Author: Guo Zhehan