Chen Dabin:8.3黄金白银是涨是跌？原油操作建议及走势分析

　　华尔街市场上流行着这样的一句话：“市场一定会朝着大多数人预期的方向相反运行，群众的观点永远会出错。”当行情出来时人人都知道，行情没有出来是最考验人的地方，市场永远是先知先觉的人赚不知不觉，后知后觉的人的收益，市场永远是第一出手的人赚后面出手人的收益。永远要记住：进入现货市场有两件最重要的事情要做，一是止损，二是顺势操作。这两条铁律相当于人体的“任督”两脉，你如果没有切实执行，你想在金市赚钱，比登天还难。止损与顺势操作好比一棵大树的树干，枝枝叶叶就是技术分析中的各种指标

　　
　　goldnews flash:
　　
　　万众期待的非农周再度来袭：周三将公布美国7monthADP就业人数，周五将公布7月美国季调后非农就业人口和7月失业率，这一系列重磅数据势将带来较大行情波动。由于本月美国疫情明显反弹，且上周刚刚公布了相当糟糕的美国二季度GDP数据，市场对本周的大小非农数据相对悲观。其中，市场预期7月新增非农就业人口为165万，较前值480万大幅回落；加cbbThe 8527 free guidance service and exclusive risk control plan will safeguard your investment journey.
　　
　　市场预计7monthADP就业人数录得新增150万，前值为新增236.9万。不过外界对美国7月失业率的预期仍较为乐观，市场预期为10.5%Compared to previous values11.1%小幅下滑。富国证券指出，美国劳动力市场在过去几个月中失去了增长动能，非农就业人数呈现历史性波动，反映了本次衰退的性质不同寻常。与典型的周期性衰退相比，本次危机更多是外源性事件，非常难以预测。就算是理论上时效性最强的初请失业金数据也只能反映了空前波动的劳动力市场中的部分情况。
　　
Analysis of International Gold Price:
　　
　　黄金四小时继续处于上升通道中，最高来到1984一线布林带开口变宽，k线捅破布林带上轨一线，上轨无能为力，目前继续处于蓄势中，处于深蹲蓄力，接下来就是奔着2000Point,5日均线以及10均线直接双手托起k线强势上扬，势不可挡；k线继续破新高，macd处于零轴上方运行，绿色能量逐步减少，变成红色能量近在咫尺，回撤就是做多，毫无疑问，趋势是多头，回撤是需求，这会猜测顶部绝对是不可取的做法， 顺势操作，方可衣钵满满目前短线阻力在1984一带，下方阻力在1955-1960，暂时我们小区间震荡1955-1984，今日早盘短线见到1955-1960短多看1984, take a break to see2000.touch1984不破还是可以短空下，如果今天直接走大回调的破位1960，还会去到1940一带！其他点位临盘来定，提前可以看到信号的。建仓把握不准可连线笔者，有套了单的朋友可转接本人cbb8527是微信，行情瞬息万变，更多实时策略盘中指导给出
　　
　　crude oilnews flash:
　　
　　投资者担忧美国疫情的继续发展将施压需求的回升。有迹象表明，在美国加州、德克萨斯和佛罗里达等主要燃料消耗地区，新增感染病例的曲线正在趋平。但白宫工作小组协调员周四警告说，旅行是第二波疫情升温的主要因素，现在中西部各州的病例也在上升，对燃油需求的威胁仍然足够明显。同时，对全世界许多国家和地区来说，第二波新冠肺炎疫情已从威胁变成了现实。更多行情可以关注功重号陈大宾获取实时指导，欧盟、日本、美国和其他一些国家和地区承认遭遇了新疫情。这些国家的政府已重新开始实施隔离措施、从疫区紧急撤离人口并开展病毒检测。
　　
　　专家认为，新一波疫情的暴发让世界经济快速恢复的前景化为泡影。这意味着，世界能源需求将继续减少，未来油价将继续下滑。另外，OPEC+8月份减产协议到期，也令市场对于原油供求平衡的危机再现感到焦虑。根据与俄罗斯等非成员国达成的减产协议，届时OPEC将向全球市场恢复20010000 barrels/日的石油供应。
　　
Analysis of International Crude Oil Prices:
　　
　　原油高位横盘了一个多月了，上周四出现大幅回落，跌破了四小时上行通道支撑，目前待行情回踩确认是否有效破位四小时上行趋势线，若确认有效，那么原油中短期内会受40关口的压制下行，若无效，行情会进一步走高！原油四小时图，目前跌破了四小时的上行趋势线，但是又受高点的下行趋势线压制。同时这两根趋势线交叉共振形成了强阻力位，大概点位在41.3-41.5位置。简单理解，操作上陈大宾建议今日原油先看反弹，反弹测试41.3-41.5位置的压制，若能突破共振阻力，那么未来会进一步走高到43.4-48附近。当然若是不能突破，原油会承压回落到38.5-37-34.5附近。有套单的朋友还请尽快处理，不知所措没有思路的朋友也可以私撩笔者cbb8527It's WeChat seeking help.

　　
For some people, this market may already be physically and mentally exhausted, from hopeful exposure to gold investment to heavy losses and fear of entry, losing so much that they lack confidence to encourage themselves. Perhaps it is really not suitable for this market, whether in terms of strength or mentality, they cannot do well. They once sought a teacher who can help you, but ended up losing money. They are unhappy to continue staying in the gold market and unwilling to leave the gold market, This may be the current situation faced by many investors. Even though the current situation may be unbearable, please remember that there is no path to a black market, let alone investments that have been losing money. The market keeps going back and forth, with losses and profits made through operations. No one makes a complete profit, but it is all a result of trial and error, steady progress, and step-by-step management. In this mixed market, there are many people who are losing money, but to some extent, there are major trading problems. Whether it is a bad mentality, indecisiveness, not carrying stop losses, or liking to resist orders and lock in positions, losses are not accidental, and there will always be major problems. Investing is not something that can be done overnight. The only way is to abandon these bad habits, study tirelessly, control risks, and operate steadily, It must be the time for your rebirth.
　　
For the purpose of profit, in the capital market, there are no philanthropists, only winners and losers. No matter how successful you are in other areas, winning or losing is the only criterion in the market. To survive in the market, one should be like a stream of water, not anxious or impatient, living in a narrow space, and seeking the simplest and purest state.
　　Chen Dabin (guidance)VLetter:cbb8527）Establish a fundamental change model to assess market sentiment changes and determine trends. More than ten years of technical analysis and judgment on short-term details. The central line is the main line, supplemented by the short line. I have in-depth and unique insights into major global financial markets such as the foreign exchange market, gold market, oil market, stock market, and bond market. This article is written by Chen Dabin, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. I hope the price is worth it, and the value is worth it; Due to the delayed nature of the article strategy; Consultation with Chen Dabin Obtain the latest real-time market analysis.