早间策略8.3黄金原油多-空策略布局及今日独家操作建议

　　前言：交易是一个耐心等待机会出现的过程，按兵不动并不是因为不知所措，而是因为成竹在胸，95%The profit always comes from5%的交易，守株待兔是一种交易策略，有时候主动出击只会将兔子吓跑，耐心等待确定信号的出现，避免模糊不清阶段的盲目投资。市场是一个有经验的人获得更多金钱，有金钱的人获得更多经验的地方，每个新手都会从失败的教训中汲取经验，聪明的人则从专业团队的帮助中获利。市场就是一个放大镜，会无限的放大你的缺点，真正的亏损来源于错误已经显而易见还不去修正或者认错，并将错误延续，投资市场有一个怪现象，就是赚钱的永远在赚钱，深套的永远在深套，不知道自身的承受极限是多少，也不知道盈利目标是多少，不是被套就是在被套的路上。
　　
　　goldnews flash:
　　
　　7月份，现货黄金创下历史新高1983.36dollar/盎司，直逼2000美元重要心理关口。金价本月累计涨幅逾10%，有望录得近四年半来最佳单月表现，因全球政经形势充满不确定性，助涨避险情绪，黄金受到投资者青睐。美国新冠疫情新增病例激增，经济数据惨不忍睹，导致美元大幅走弱。高盛称，对美元能在多长时间内保持储备货币地位的担忧已开始浮现。美元指数料创十年来最大单月跌幅。全球新冠感染病例持续增加，累计确诊病例逾1751万，死亡近68万。这打击了有关全球经济迅速复苏的乐观情绪，促使投资者买入黄金避险。王今博认为历史数据表明，7-8月黄金的季节性投资需求会大幅上涨，同时近段时间的大幅上涨为黄金积聚了大量人气，资本流入的势头很有可能会持续到8月末。
　　
　　黄金技术面来看，黄金日线MACDGold fork, red can weaken somewhat,KDJThree lines are glued in supermarkets; The opening of the Bollinger belt is upward, and gold hovers below the upper track, indicating that the upward movement of gold has been suppressed to a certain extent. In the short term, it is necessary to be vigilant against the risk of fluctuations and falls;5Daily moving average1960.21It is the initial support below, further supporting the low point of the previous trading day1939.54附近，若下破，则削弱短线看涨信号；王今博整体来看，黄金短时间受到实物需求下降以及高位获利了结的影响，近期料波动加剧，但是全球宽松、美元走软、经济下行压力高企都将继续推动投资者买入黄金，这种趋势至少将持续到美国大选之后市场的不确定性消退，但是仍需警惕疫苗进展的乐观消息可能会对黄金造成打击，黄金周五再度收复1970The US dollar level is approaching1980USD; The moving average is still arranged in a bullish pattern, if gold persists5Above the daily moving average, there is still an opportunity for further upward movement, with attention from above2011The historical high point since 19491981.17Nearby resistance is suppressed, and if it breaks through this position, gold will further move towards2000美元大关发起冲击！综合来看今日操作思路上王今博个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注1987-1990Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1960-1955Frontline support.
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1987-1990Short on the front line, stop loss90Above, look at the target1974-1972frontline;
　　
　　2Under the gold, it cannot be broken by stepping back1960-1962Long on the front line, stop loss56Below, look at the target1978-1980frontline;
　　
　　3、如果有仓位上套单锁单的朋友，请及时与我联系添加微信wjb9393实时免费解套
　　
　　　crude oilnews flash:
　　
　　7In January, the international oil price basically maintained a narrow fluctuation trend, with relatively small overall fluctuations and insufficient amplitude throughout the month10%，极为罕见。一方面，美国、巴西、印度等国的新冠疫情大幅恶化，令市场担忧需求前景，OPEC+decision8Starting from January, the scale of production reduction will be reduced, putting pressure on oil prices; On the other hand, some economic data shows that the global economy has already passed its worst period, and the United States5月份原油减产幅度创纪录，美元大幅下跌创逾两年新低，又给油价提供支撑。美国原油futures震荡于38.54-42.51Region, reporting40.43dollar/Barrel, with a monthly increase of1.53%； Brent crude oil41.03-44.89Regional fluctuations, reported43.71dollar/Barrel, month line last week approximately5%。 The cumulative fluctuation amplitude of both oils is less than4USD. Although the increase was not significant, US crude oil continued to rise for the third consecutive month, while Brent crude oil rose for the fourth consecutive month.
　　
　　原油周五高开后出现低走，亚盘时段回撤后在40.5位置出现承压，维持区间震荡，美盘时段出现了空头延续，下跌加速给到39.5位置得到支撑，尾盘时段再次反弹收复部分失地，表现了原油下方成在支撑。周线级别收线结束了连阳格局，出现收阴，进一步表现了多头趋势的调整，若后期继续向下可能会进一步考验周线级别支撑。在日线级别，布林带收口向右走平，油价下破前期三角整理的趋势线，但是收盘留有下影线，严格意义上讲只能算是虚破，若后市出现向上突破，油价还是有继续上涨的概率。如图所示，油价在周四下跌后运行在下降趋势线下方，同时也是在前期震荡箱体支撑位38.7位置得到支撑。综合来看王今博认为，油价处于震荡格局中操作上王今博建议继续维持高空低多策略对待，短线上方关注41.3-41.5美元支撑，下方关注39.6-39.0USD support.
　　
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
　　
　　1Suggestions41.2-41.5Short nearby, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target40.4-40.0frontline;
　　
　　2Suggestions39.8-39.5Long nearby, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target40.5-40.8frontline;
　　
　　3、 行情瞬息万变，更多行情分析与操作建议可联/系王今博微信（wjb9393）Daily market analysis, solution to a set of strategies, and guidance on medium to long term layout are all included!
　　
　　今博寄语：
　　
　　这个市场没有常胜将军，更没有神这一说，分析师都有出错的时候，那么关键问题来了，笔者王今博个人坚持一个仓位和节奏要求VIPJinyou Trading does not involve heavy positions, and no matter how many times it is done correctly, there is no need to discuss whether risk control is good or not. Therefore, when there is an error in an order, the trend and expectations are not consistent. It is important to cut the position as soon as possible instead of waiting for a stop loss foolishly. What needs to be done is the win rate, relying on profit accumulation to earn wealth, rather than heavy position trading. If there is an error in a loss, it is necessary to repeatedly increase the position. I do not have such guidance here, nor do I agree with it. Investment trading always puts technical risk control first, mentality and technology second, only then can profits continue.
　　This article is written by Wang Jinbo (WeChat:wjb9393---Official account: Wang Jinbo), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trend, and have in-depth research on crude oil, gold, silver and other bulk commodities. Due to the delay of online push, the above content is personal advice, and because the online posting is timely, it is only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting