Chen Zhaoxi;8.3黄金原油多-空策略布局及今日独家操作建议

　　陈召锡文章摘要：2020.8.3investmentgoldWhy is it always losing money?8.3Is gold bullish or bearish in recent trends?8.3foreign exchangeHow to untie the gold long empty single quilt cover?8.3Does the rise and fall of the US dollar have an impact on gold?8.3goldcrude oilTrend analysis and operational suggestions?8.3Is gold still bullish today?8.3How to layout the golden medium and long term line?8.3What do you think of the daily support and pressure level of gold?8.3How can beginners operate gold without losing money?8.3What do you think of gold and crude oil being bullish today?8.3How to layout the gold market after opening?


　　时间像握在手里的细沙，伴随着每一天的流逝，我们则伴随着每一天的成长而变化，时间匆匆流逝，我们也不能浪费每一天，不积跬步无以至千里，不积小流无以成江海，所有人的成功都是积累了每一天的进步换来的，没有一步登天的事情，工作也好，投资也罢，没人生来就会，坐标看了无数次盘面，分析了无数个日内走势，也写了无数篇文章才成长起来。记住，没有白费的努力，也没有碰巧的成功。坚持自己所想要的，时间终究会证明一切。谋事在人成事在天，你缺的就是谋事之人。你道输赢自安天命，我道盈亏皆为谋略；有朝一日凤还巢，必让盈利永不止!


　　现货黄金，伦敦金，黄金走势分析【添加陈召锡本人指导微信；1014611571】Daily crude oil operation advice, gold market, daily analysis of gold, latest strategies


Analysis of the trend of gold market;


　　消息面分析；随着金价继续攀升，逼近2000dollar/盎司关口，陈召锡认为表示，本周可能存在买入机会，因黄金市场出现一些盘整。纽约商品交易所(COMEX)12Monthly goldfutures一度短暂地达到了2005dollar/盎司的历史新高。分析师称，有很多因素有待观察，但除了人气转变外，目前没有任何因素能阻止黄金的看涨趋势。“当我放眼望去，没有什么能让金价大幅下跌。只有当交易者的情绪发生强烈变化时才会如此，召锡认为说。“当我们触及新高时，我通常倾向于强调谨慎，关注回调并进行一些整固的几率。”目前，利好的经济消息对黄金有利，因为好于预期的经济数据提高了通胀预期。“我预计金价将触及2000美元，随着美国11月总统大选的临近，市场将出现更多波动。


　　技术面分析；日线最终录得一根大阳线，MACD金叉，红色能量柱持稳，KDJ在超买区域三线粘合；黄金在刷新高点后动能有所减弱，目前徘徊在布林带上轨附近，指示黄金上行仍受到一定压制，随着黄金再次刷新高点并逼近2000大关，短线仍然需要警惕部分投资者选择获利了结造成的回落；5Daily moving average1960.79It is the initial support below, with further support at Thursday's low point1939.54附近，若下破，则削弱短线看涨信号；陈召锡整体来看，尽管黄金涨势在本周中有所降温，但是全球宽松、美元走软、经济下行压力高企都将继续推动投资者买入黄金，这种趋势至少将持续到美国大选之后市场的不确定性消退，且卫生事件二次爆发也进一步推动了避险需求，眼下黄金成为了最能够避险的资产，均线仍呈多头排列，黄金再度收复1970美元关口，并刷新高点一度有冲击2000美元大关的迹象；若黄金坚守5日均线上方，则近期仍会向2000美元大关发起冲击；上方首先关注周五触及的高点1983.36附近阻力对黄金上行的压制，所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议低位做多为主；上方关注1986-1988One line of resistance, pay attention below1960-962Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.


Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;


　　消息面分析；投资者担忧美国新冠疫情的继续发展将施压需求的回升。有迹象表明，在美国加州、德克萨斯和佛罗里达等主要燃料消耗地区，新增新冠肺炎感染病例的曲线正在趋平。但白宫工作小组协调员Deborah Birx周四警告说，旅行是第二波疫情升温的主要因素，现在中西部各州的病例也在上升，对燃油需求的威胁仍然足够明显。同时，对全世界许多国家和地区来说，第二波新冠肺炎疫情已从威胁变成了现实。欧盟、日本、美国和其他一些国家和地区承认遭遇了新疫情。这些国家的政府已重新开始实施隔离措施、从疫区紧急撤离人口并开展病毒检测。专家认为，新一波疫情的暴发让世界经济快速恢复的前景化为泡影。这意味着，世界能源需求将继续减少，未来油价将继续下滑。另外，OPEC+8月份减产协议到期，也令市场对于原油供求平衡的危机再现感到焦虑。根据与俄罗斯等非成员国达成的减产协议，届时OPEC将向全球市场恢复20010000 barrels/日的石油供应。


　　技术面分析；原油日线MACDandKDJDeadfork signal continuation,5Daily moving average underpass10日均线初步死叉，原油下破布林带中轨，短线有进一步向下试探布林带下轨38.9附近支撑的趋势，该位置在7月中旬多次被测试，支撑相对较强，若下破则下行空间将被重新打开；强支撑在6month15Daily low point34.36Nearby, this position is from3月跳空低开以来被多次测试，参考性较强，陈召锡预计短期下破可能性不大。陈召锡认为整体来看，原油偏向于下行，因有迹象显示油市重新回归到期货溢价的模式，显示现货市场需求疲软，这和4月美原油一度跌至负值的市场结构一致。陈召锡预计美原油将结束连阳的走势。同时全球最大的独立原油储存公司警告因需求疲软，原油存储空间存在再度耗尽的风险。不过，由于布林带下轨目前仍为原油提供之前，且7月中旬多次试探均未能有效下破，若原油坚守该位置，则后市将仍然维持此前的窄幅震荡格局。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议反弹高空低多操作即可。上方关注41-41.2One line of resistance, pay attention below39-39.2一线支撑，行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.


　　新手该如何正确投资黄金和原油？


　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.


　　2Starting with small-scale trading - For beginners in the market, it is necessary to start with small-scale trading, gradually grasp trading patterns and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.


　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities, and bear heavier risks based on the opposite market trend and personal wishes.


　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.


　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.


　　6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial.


　　以上都是陈召锡一些真诚的建议，如果你此时正在亏损，巩固巩固以上的知识点，不要一味的沮丧。投资的路上心态很重要，失败并不可怕，可怕的是你不愿意总结，如果你在投资这条路上始终是一成不变，那你才是真正的失败！不管你现在处于什么样的状态，陈召锡都希望这些文字能给你带来一丝丝的帮助！我是陈召锡，一位与你同舟共济的分析师，做单准，止损狠，不套不锁盈利稳！

Wen/Chen Zhaoxi