Wanzhou Gold Industry:2020year7month31日现货黄金午评

Wanzhou Gold Industry:7month31Daily SpotgoldLunch Review

7month31日，美元指数盘中再次刷新2018year5Since the low point of the month, the potential sources of bearish sentiment are geopolitical developments and the approaching US elections, while weak data further provides an excuse for selling the US dollar. Despite the decline in spot gold on Thursday, the overall outlook remains optimistic, ahead of10Continuous within trading days9天收涨。金价后市看涨前景不变，机构和散户资金流入大幅增加。

Today's Key Financial Data and Events2020year7month31day Friday

① 07:01 britain7monthGfkConsumer confidence index

② 07:30 Japan6Monthly unemployment rate

③ 09:00 China7Monthly official manufacturingPMI

④ 13:30 France Q2GDPAnnual rate initial value

⑤ 14:00 britain7monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index

⑥ 14:30 Switzerland6Monthly actual retail sales annual rate

⑦ 14:45 France7monthCPIMonthly rate

⑧ 17:00 eurozone7monthCPI年率初值及月率

⑨ 17:00 Eurozone Q2GDPAnnual rate initial value

10 20:30 U.S.A6Monthly CorePCE物价指数年率及月率

⑪ 20:30 U.S.A6Monthly personal expenditure rate

⑫ 20:30 Canada5monthGDPMonthly rate

⑬ 21:45 U.S.A7Month ChicagoPMI

⑭ 22:00 U.S.A7Final Value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for the Month

现货黄金（www.wzg.com/?401）：

解析：日线持续冲高；布林带开口，金价突破上轨，尽管盘中有所承压，但已录得连续9个交易日收涨，多头仍显强势。MACD金叉、红柱能量维持强劲，KDJ高位粘合、指数突破90。从技术面来看，金价整体仍偏乐观上行，但短线仍需警惕回调风险。上行方面，随着金价大幅拉升，目标位仍先关注历史高位1981.17美元，强阻力重点上看2000美元大关。一旦该关口被突破，将大幅打开上行空间。下行方面，尽管金价盘中走低，但整体仍维持乐观看涨，不要盲目做空。支撑位先留意5Daily moving average1948.00，若未能有效支撑金价，强支撑位下看1900.00关口。一旦失守，将削弱市场看涨情绪。

4小时级别：高位震荡；四小时级别来看，布林带三轨均向上，金价徘徊纪录高点，目前承压逾布林带上轨下方。MACD死叉、但绿柱能量小幅增加，KDJ粘合。从走势来看，黄金仍以看涨为主，但短线可能小幅回调。上行方面，先留意前高1981.17美元，市场焦点重点放在上方强阻力2000美元大关，若上破将提振看多头寸的流入。此外，布林带上轨1990.20附近也有一定压制性。若突破2000大关，进一步阻力位可依次上看1818.02-1981.17这波拉升的123.6%Expansion position2019.00, and131.8%Expansion position2033.00Nearby. Preliminary support below1818.02-1981.17这波拉升的76.4%Retreat position1942.67，进一步支撑下看布林带中轨1918.85。强支撑关注1900.00关口，这既是重要心理关口，同时也与50%回撤位相近，参考性较强。

Resistance:1981.05；2000.00；2010.00；

Support:1962.00；1950.00；1945.43；1920.00；1905.00；

短线操作策略：现货黄金回调至1962Long nearby, stop loss5美金，止盈看到2024；

注：以上仅为万洲金业分析师耿明个人观点策略，仅供查阅交流，没有给予客户任何投资建议，与客户的投资无关，更不作为下单的依据。