Liu Jingcan:7.31In the evening, gold and silver surged and fell sharply, winning a long and short streak, with a precise strategic market layout at midnight!

Any investment that comes to the end is just a trial and error. Those who have a heart, those who are tired, those who have no heart, it doesn't matter. The trading is voluntary, there is no regret for missing, there is no negative rise or fall, and there is no complaint. Don't make it too tragic. Every participation is your execution, but there are people who are thoughtful, some who are blind and hasty, some who profit infinitely and recklessly, and some who fail are lost forever. In this market, neither victory nor failure will last forever. As long as you are willing to reach out to me, I will help you out of confusion!


eveninggold暴涨暴跌，1960空单进场完美获利出局，

不到一刻钟盈利990美金，这就是所谓的一刻千金吧。

晚间黄金白银暴涨暴跌是因为这些


Thursday Beijing time7month30day20:30，公布的美国第二季度实际GDPRecorded initial value of annualized quarterly rate-32.9%，创历史最大降幅，预期为-34.5%。美国第二季度实际个人消费支出季率初值录得-34.6%Expected to be-34.5%，同样创下了有史以来的最大降幅。数据公布后，现货黄金短线小幅走低，目前收复跌幅；现货白银一度跌破23dollar/盎司，日内跌幅达5.16%；美元指数DXY短线小幅走高，现报93.56。现货黄金不涨反跌主要是因为此次美国GDP的降幅早在人们预期之中，而且甚至还比预期的要好一点。同时公布的美国至7month25Record of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the current week143.4万人，连续第二周增加，创4周新高。美国至7month18日当周续请失业金人数连续回落7周后首次录得增加。


在美国二季度GDP创下史上最大降幅后，第三季度会出现V型复苏么？刘敬灿认为情况可能并不乐观，因为新冠肺炎病例的上升，威胁着才刚刚开始的经济复苏之路。确诊病例的激增加上3万亿美元的财政刺激计划将于周六到期，将使得裁员数量持续上升。美国GDP需要数年时间才能恢复到卫生事件爆发前的水平。


一、现货黄金走势分析


因周三美联储决议偏鸽，重申将动用所有工具支持经济，这使得美元续刷26个月低位，黄金一度重返1980美元关口，目前有所回落。技术面来看，尽管目前金价上行暂时受到前期高点附近阻力压制，但日线仍然录得九连阳，布林带向上开口，金价运行在上轨附近；MACDGolden fork, butKDJ在超买区域有结成死叉的迹象，金价失守布林线上轨，目前正在试探5日均线附近支撑，短线存在进一步回调的需求，下方初步支撑留意周二低点1907Nearby support; Strong support in1900心理关口，若意外下破则增加短线看空信号；

整体来看，随着近期卫生事件蔓延加剧以及国际紧张关系，全球负收益资产激增，养老基金、保险公司和私人财富专家等专注于投资多样化的机构也纷纷押注黄金，这都将进一步推动黄金刷新纪录高位。技术面来看，金价整体仍偏乐观上行，上方阻力首先关注布林带上轨1958.47，进一步阻力在本周高点，同时也是自2011年以来的最高点1981.17附近阻力，若突破该位置，则金价将进一步冲击2000美元大关！综合来看，虽然金价涨势有所放缓，但整体的上涨态势并未改变所以短线操作思路上刘敬灿个人建议仍然以回调做多为主；操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可关注工纵浩：“刘敬灿”或添加魏*Ljj1632Obtaining guidance quota


Focus on resistance above:1958.47、1981.17；下方重点关注支撑:1940、1907.11；


二、现货白银走势分析


银价在刷新逾7年的高位后承压回落，连续三个交易日走低，日线在相对高位出现类似“吞没”看空形态，MACDThe golden fork but the red one can start to shrink,KDJ死叉信号延续，银价连续失守布林带上轨和5日均线附近支撑，短线进一步向下试探10Daily moving average22.55附近支撑的迹象，若下破该位置则增加短线看空信号，银价也将直接回踩布林带中轨20.05附近支撑；不过，由于目前MACD金叉信号仍在，且均线仍呈多头排列，若银价坚守10日均线附近支撑，则仍然存在震荡反弹的机会，上方简单留意24关口对银价上行造成的压制，进一步阻力在布林带上轨24.73附近，若银价重新运行在该位置上方，则增加后市看涨信号；综合来看，尽管银价短线上涨受阻，但是看涨趋势并未改变，所以短线操作思路上刘敬灿个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可关注工纵浩：“刘敬灿”或添加魏*Ljj1632Obtaining guidance quota


Focus on resistance above:24、24.73；下方重点关注支撑:23、22.55；

Author of this article: Liu Jingcan
Guiding WeChat:Ljj1632/Official account: Liu Jingcan


Author's Message: Establish a foundation of integrity, conduct the world with virtue, work with a grateful heart, take responsibility with a responsible heart, pave the way with strength, and lead the market trend with a pattern


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