王铭鑫：黄金转跌目标受阻破2千有希望吗？多空因素盘点谁的胜算更大

     一涨一跌引动市场风云，一阴一阳带起波澜壮阔，股市，汇市，gold，crude oilThe fate of the market is controlled by such a smallKIn the line graph, how many people are ecstatic or sad about its ups and downs, ups and downs? People outside the circle will never understand why such a small ghost like talisman is so magical, making people touch it like a drug and never want to give it up again. Because of its uncertainty, one yin and one yang are arranged randomly, and one rise and one fall are wayward. It is impossible to perfectly control every trend because of its imperfections, The bullish and bearish trend keeps shuttling, with one party happy and the other worried. After singing from multiple parties, the bearish side appears, presenting a variety of highlights. Perhaps this is why we are attracted by it and willing to put in effort for it. Even if we cannot obtain the desired profit, we are unwilling to give up or give up, right?                                                      
                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                   
    黄金消息层面解读

　　                                                                                                                              
    美联储声明表示，将维持利率在当前水平，直到美联储确信经济已经度过了最近的危机，并走上实现最大就业和价格稳定目标的轨道，延长央行回购和掉期额度至明年3month31日。就业率仍远低于年初的水平。声明没有提及美联储官员将利率路径与特定的通货膨胀率或失业率门槛挂钩，经济学家预计美联储会在9月做出这一决定。美联储主席鲍威尔表示，疫情对通胀有显着影响，6月中旬以来的高频数据显示经济复苏放缓，第二季度GDP萎缩幅度可能创纪录最大幅度。经济发展路径异常不确定，将取决于政府行动的水平，还需要更多的财政政策。FOMC没有考虑加息，在声明中讨论了对长期目标的调整。


Analysis of Gold Market Trend


　　黄金在创下历史新高后继续下跌，目前徘徊在1960Left and right. Despite a significant pullback in gold yesterday, it ultimately closed with a bullish candlestick, marking a continuous decline in gold8The sky rises higher. It is still a strong upward trend. From a temporal perspective, there is indeed an unstable demand. MACDThe red kinetic energy column has begun to stabilize, andKDJThe random indicators continue to trade within the overbought level, indicating that gold may consolidate at high levels. Corrected yesterday80After multiple dollars, gold once again presentedV形反转并收复了其大部分损失。王铭鑫从趋势上看，昨日的调整只是上升过程中的回调，黄金的上升趋势并未改变，但当前需要动摇才能继续突破新高。今天美联储的利率决定非常重要。如果市场数据仍未能突破昨天的高点，那么黄金很可能在1930-80Maintain a fluctuating trend in the annual region.


　　在四小时内观察黄金：黄金价格已从高位急剧下跌，试图站稳脚跟，目前正在巩固。 MACDThe green kinetic energy column has first appeared,KDJThe random indicator has fallen from the overbought level and is currently basically unchanged, indicating that the gold price has shown bearish momentum or further pressure. The lower support area is1930-20. Despite hitting a low yesterday1900On the front line of the checkpoint, but the possibility of gold price breaking through again is extremely low, and it is more likely to maintain1922年历史高点的支撑，这是先前突破的确认。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上王铭鑫个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1980-1985Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1950-1945Frontline support. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only, and specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add Wang Mingxin's guidancevYour words:ymsd06Obtaining guidance quota


　　原油消息层面解读


　　油价小幅上涨，美国原油库存出现今年最大降幅，表明遭受新冠病毒冲击的市场出现一个亮点，给原油价格带来支撑，导致油价未能更强劲上涨的是汽油供应增加，表明在夏季这个出行高峰季，燃油需求远远不及正常水平。美国能源信息署(EIA)Announcement,7month24日当周原油库存下降106010000 barrels to5.26亿桶，这是去年12月以来原油库存的最大周降幅。EIA称，美国原油日净进口量下降100万桶，跌至每日190万桶。原油库存的下降可能是石油输出国组织(OPEC)及其盟友在4月达成的减产规模最终实现的结果。“人们的预期是，OPEC减产将让美国库存进一步减少，这种影响可能从上周开始了。市场似乎对超过1000万桶库存降幅反应并不十分强烈，凸显出场对供应的担忧，如果没有迹象表明需求正在以健康的速度恢复，价格将继续停滞在这里。


Analysis of crude oil market trend


　　原油技术面来看，日线布林带趋于水平运行，原油仍窄幅震荡于中轨和上轨之间；MACDDead fork but weak kinetic energy,KDJDead fork; Indicating that the overall kinetic energy of crude oil is weak and tends to fluctuate and decline in the short term; The lower support should first focus on the middle rail of the Bollinger belt40.36If it breaks below this position, a short-term bearish signal will be added, and crude oil will further step back on the Bollinger Line's track38.4Nearby support; Meanwhile,7Tested in mid month39也具有一定支撑性。王铭鑫认为整体来看，原油仍交投于震荡区间内，因市场仍在评估疫情二次蔓延对于需求的影响，此前OPEC+减产使得油市短时间处于一个相对平衡的状态，而疫情二次蔓延是当前最大的不确定性因素。同时国际关系紧张情绪也会对原油构成打压。预计，原油短期仍将维持窄幅震荡的格局，等待方向性突破，布林带中轨目前仍为原油提供良好支撑，若原油坚守该位置，则仍将维持目前小区间震荡的走势，综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王铭鑫个人建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注42.3-42.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40-40.5一线支撑。有套单的朋友，可单线笔者，由于笔者王铭鑫不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线（ ymsd06）是微信

    单子被套？在线解：


　　1.Investors who hold high positions can use the rebound market to unwind and exit, or reduce their positions when they encounter high positions; Once the market changes, the covered orders will immediately stop losing and be eliminated, and reverse positions will be established to compensate for losses;


　　2.Investors with mid range hedging can temporarily wait and see, do not rush to cut orders. If there is an opportunity in the market, they can reduce their positions appropriately and increase their positions based on trend analysis combined with technical analysis to make up for losses;


　　3.Investors who hold low positions can use the pullback market to unwind and exit, or reduce their positions on dips; Once there is a change in the market, the orders will be placed to stop losses and exit, and reverse positions will be established to compensate for losses.
                                                                                                            
    我写这篇帖子也是希望能遇到有缘人。我希望自己可以成为一部分投资者的贵人，自己心软，看到有些别的老师的客户亏钱各种哭天喊地，心里挺不是滋味，但是我又不能直接把投资亏损的朋友抢过来，跟他们说我很牛，我可以帮到你，我没有办法让别人直接相信我，靠我这一张笨嘴我是没有能力的，所以相信缘分是对的！我希望自己可以成为你的贵人，所以相信缘分是对的。这个就和相亲一样。不管第一感觉怎么样。都应该给对方一个了解的机会。我相信。你能看完这么多字。就是缘分。投资也是多半看缘分，如果你相信缘分，相信我可以用心为你做点什么，你可以试着和我交流一下，谁能陪你走到最后，也许哪一天你就需要我了呢？


　　笔者从事行业这么多年，不免有些感慨，市场上每天都是各种操作建议各种消息面技术面，很多投资者也看烦了，不知道该听谁的，不知道到底该怎么操作。笔者自己也觉得帖子写的多了，也很乏力，越来越不喜欢长编大论的废话，不喜欢机械的去做一些事情，我所要做的是最简单最直接最真实的给客户找到解决方案，真真正正的做到以盈利为王道！

　　本文由王铭鑫（指导热线；ymsd06）Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the latency of online push, the above content is personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the suggestion is for reference only. Any operation based on this is at your own risk!