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7.28黄金多头能否力挽狂澜 原油破位走单边不远了

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 周一因更多的迹象显示疫情蔓延部分国家和地区正在实施第二轮封锁措施,这打击了市场对于经济复苏的乐观预期。同时美国共和党积极的推进一万亿美元的刺激措施以及市场对于美联储本周决议鸽派的预期也对金价构成支撑。周二(7month28Daily Spotgold持续刷新纪录高位,最高触及1981.17USD,COMEXgoldfutures12The monthly contract price skyrocketed, touching2000dollar/Ounces, once again reaching a historic high, with an increase of approximately2.28%。不过因近期过快的涨势黄金在刷新纪录高位后出现小幅的获利抛盘。
  
  在当前大国博弈加剧地缘政治风险凸显,美元指数持续下行,通胀预期回升,实际利率深度走负的情况下,继续看好贵金属下半年资产配置价值,短期需警惕市场风险偏好摇摆和多头高位了结压力。操作上建议,坚定看好黄金多头机会,单边逢回调买入为宜,白银受市场通胀预期影响加大,短期多看少动为宜,未建仓客户不建议买入追高,注意控制风险,波段操作思路为主。综合分析操作志豪点金建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅。下方关注1906-1901一线支撑。上方阻力盘中给出。文章只能给你一时的方向和思路,至于具体进场点位和出场点位,志豪点金实时盘中给出,欢迎关注!添加微信:bzd99996327咨询志豪点金获取实时指导策略。
  
  ————crude oilquotations analysis
  
  油价周二一度刷新三个交易日高点至41.93美元。因美国出台新一轮的财政刺激措施,且美元走软使得原油对国际买家来说较便宜,也助油价一臂之力。但是总体而言美原油仍总体交投于震荡区间内,因市场仍在评估疫情二次蔓延对于需求的影响,此前OPEC+减产使得油市短时间处于一个相对平衡的状态,而疫情二次蔓延是当前最大的不确定性因素。同时国际关系紧张情绪也会对油价构成打压。
  
  原油昨日先抑后扬,亚欧盘价格小幅冲高受制41.7一线快速回落,晚间连续下行至40.5区域企稳震荡回升,凌晨价格依托40.5一线支撑迎来V型反抽,收盘价格重回41.5上方强势报收,日线继续企稳5日均线迎来探底回升小阳,今日来看整体走势依旧以窄幅震荡区间内运行为主,下方支撑40.5一线,上方压力前高42.5关口,多空在此区间内来回震荡运行,日线级别依托40关口强支撑继续呈现阴阳交互,短线企稳40关口有望延续上行冲击前高42上方压力,保持近期多头进二退一节奏.
  
Looking at the crude oil daily line, the Bollinger Belt's three tracks are gradually moving towards the right,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a gentle upward trend with a golden cross,KTransit between tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and form a dead cross, easing downward. The green kinetic energy is weak and increasing,KDJThe third line runs with a dead cross and a turning head upwards, and the overall performance of the daily chart is somewhat strong;4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs three tracks to the right,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average crosses upwards and diverges,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACDAt the initial intersection of the fast and slow lines, the upward momentum of the golden cross is showing in red,KDJ三线呈金叉向上发散运行,日内操作上志豪点金建议回调做多为主!
  
Short term trading strategy for US crude oil:
  
  1Suggestions for crude oil42.5-42.7Short in batches, stop loss43.1, Objective41.7-40.3;
  
  2Suggestions for crude oil40.4-40.2Long in batches, stop loss39.8, Objective41.7-42.3;
  
  3The market is constantly changing, and the price points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market requires caution. For more details, please follow Zhihao Dianjin's official website||Wei:bzd99996327;
  
  志豪点金分析团队稳健操作总结:
  
  ①、要有止损,哪怕是大止损,止损一定是对的,错了也是对,不止损是错的,对了也错,无条件止损。
  
  ②、亏损不加仓,比如在你建仓的范围内,如果错了,不要盲目加仓,不要侥幸降低成本,选择优势点位下单,如果方向错,越加越亏,这样让自己直接暴露在风险中(若方向正确但进场点位不佳,加仓是可取的,但同样需要方法,不可盲目行情波动一个点就加仓)。
  
  ③、当日止损,若连续亏损三个单,当天不交易。
  
  ④、仓位要轻,最好控制在10%以内的仓位。
  
  ⑤、一段时间内仓位保持一致,不要一会仓过多,一会仓过轻,保持一致的连贯性。
  
Author: Zhihao Dianjin(Guidance hotline:bzd99996327)
  
Market strategy analysis writing: Zhihao Dianjin team from the Risk Control Technology Department. Please indicate the source when reprinting, the content of the article is for reference only. The article has lag and timeliness, and it is recommended to follow the guidance of the Zhihao Dianjin team for actual operation—— Perhaps my words can help you break through the technical bottleneck that has been bothering you for a long time, or perhaps my trading perspective can help you avoid losses of hundreds, even thousands, or even tens of thousands of dollars. Perhaps your attempt this time will help you find the right direction of effort.
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