Hao Chengbin:7.28Analysis of the trend of gold and crude oil and operational suggestions

    A big market often breeds big fluctuations, and profits and risks coexist. Most people see the stimulation brought by profits but overlook the harm caused by risks. This market is never short of heroes, and it is the anonymous type. Sometimes the market is not big, but the range of fantasies exceeds rationality. Breaking the limit is sometimes a fact, and one can still hope for a different outcome. Heavy positions are a taboo, but they often cross the line to take risks. Watching the difference between floating losses and losses can only cause confusion in the second entry. Without a stop loss, the number of times you make a profit is not enough to make a loss. Everyone wants to make a steady profit and not lose in their investment, but in addition to having ideas, there is a need for methods!


    ——————国际消息面


    Tuesday（7month28日），美元指数连续第八个交易日走低，盘中最低触及2018year6month15日以来低点。在美联储为期两天的会议开始之前，基金纷纷减持美元。现货goldBreach1980美元续刷纪录高位，但随后短线跳水50美元，回吐日内全部涨幅，主要是由于投资者获利了结的影响。尽管金价出现回调，但基本面来看仍有许多利好因素在支撑着黄金市场，再加上逢低买盘的需求，未来将进一步上涨。


    crude oil方面，随着市场对全球地缘政治紧张局势升级的担忧,令国际油价受益。此外,美元全线疲软也为油价保持坚挺提供支撑。不过,冠状病毒仍在全球各地肆虐和对美国库存可能持续增加的担忧,使得油价上行空间受到限制。


    ——————黄金走势分析


    From a daily perspective, gold prices have continued to soar, and as of today8Lianyang, wave amplitude exceeding185USD. In terms of indicators,MACD金叉、红色动能柱能量增加，加上布林带开口向上运行，看涨云带也保持完好，各线信号也保持看涨，金价仍偏乐观上行，但是值得注意的是，早间受资金砸盘影响，黄金较日高回落近50美元，一度跌破今日起涨点，且KDJSending a serious overbought signal,随机指标向下拐头欲结成死叉，暗示黄金面临回落或者高位调整，下方关注1930支撑，只要金价运行于上轨上方，仍然是超级强势行情，反之将削弱市场看涨情绪，上方则关注今日高点1981，强阻力重点上看2000美元大关，一旦该关口被突破，将大幅打开上行空间。


    四小时来看，金价在高位盘整后再次拉升，布林带三轨均向上，MACD金叉红能持续放量，短期均线多头排列，金价创纪录高点后回落，再度承压上轨，KDJHigh preliminary dead cross, index close80附近，从走势来看，黄金短线可能小幅回调，但仍以看涨为主，尽管金价盘中大幅跳水约50美元，但仍建议不要盲目高位做空，任何回调都可能是投资者买入的好时机，下方关注MA10Daily moving average1935支撑，上行方面，先留意日内高点1981美元，市场焦点重点放在上方强阻力2000The US dollar barrier.


    黄金策略：今日短线操作笔者郝承斌建议低多为主，高空为辅，回撤1935-1933Long, stop loss5USD, target1964-1981-2000；空单谨慎进场，盘中实时给出！


​    ——————原油走势分析


    原油从日线上来看，昨日先抑后扬，整体下探回升收高，亚欧盘小幅冲高受制41.7一线快速回落，晚间连续下行至40.5区域企稳震荡回升，凌晨依托40.5一线支撑迎来V型反转，收盘重回41.5上方强势报收，日线继续企稳5日均线迎来探底回升小阳，可以看到，原油空间比较反复，但整体还是震荡区间内。


    四小时来看，昨日走出一波下探回升的思路，凌晨高位横盘，短线或许伴随再次摸高42.50的可能，关注欧盘能否继续延续走高，若上探不破，原油仍有可能重新回归震荡，下方关注支撑40.5一线，上方压力前高42.5关口，在未破位之前，仍然在区间内保持高空低多。


    Crude Oil Strategy:40.5-42.5Sell high and buy low.


    ——————承斌寄语


    If you are a beginner, I can teach you techniques, cultivate your order making habits, and take you on a long-term path of steady profitability. If you are an old hand, I can correct your bad habit of making orders and provide psychological counseling to help you earn back the losses. If you are a victorious general, then we can also compete together and explore becoming like-minded good friends. In addition to investing in your life, you also have poetry and distance, as well as me.


    writing/郝承斌（官微：hyds0002）