期市言论：国际市场金价持续上涨突破近十年历史最高点

View All · Published on 2020-7-28 10:52:27

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美东时间周一，国际金价收于1930美元关口上方，创收盘历史新高。截止收盘，纽约商品交易所黄金futuresThe most active market trading8Monthly gold futures price27Daily increase compared to the previous trading day33.5US dollars, closing at per ounce1931USD, up by1.77%。

stay2013年“抄底”的中国大妈，如果一直持有，在今年不仅悉数解套，甚至还可能赚钱了。分析师指出，黄金的避险功能在可预见的将来会很好；多国央行都在实施积极的货币政策对抗衰退，从三五年的角度来说，相对于超发的信用货币，黄金将升值。当前市场存在通缩及衰退的预期，黄金短期时常波动，并没有呈现出一条线上涨趋势，主要是因为短期的实际利率对于黄金有压制。与此同时看好黄金的人又较多，黄金的交易会比较拥挤，进而产生短期震荡。“长期来看，金价有希望挑战历史新高并达到难以预测的高度。”
近期掀起一波黄金投资热。根据世界黄金协会报告，截至6月，全球黄金ETFContinuous7个月出现净流入，创下历史纪录。全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Truststay7month24日的黄金持仓量为1228.81吨，较年初增长超过30%。业内人士表示，未来黄金的上涨趋势在一段时间内很难改变。短期来讲，黄金价格面临前高点的压力，可能近期会有反复。对于普通投资者而言，黄金ETF是比较适合投资黄金的工具。
对于金价后续走势，有分析人士认为会出现短期回调，但多数观点对金价中长期均为看好预期。中国(Hong Kong)金融衍生品投资研究院院长王红英表示，金价突破前期历史高点1920dollar/盎司以后，会有大量的获利盘出现，导致短期技术性的调整。但是，从中长期来看，金价突破历史高位也打开了黄金上升的空间，下一步挑战2000dollar/盎司甚至更高的价格，是一个大概率事件。
Technical aspects of Meijin:
The Ritu Bolin Belt runs three tracks upwards,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉向上发散，KThe line intersects with the Bolin Upper Rail LineMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线交金叉向上红色动能放量，KDJ三线呈金叉向上发散，行情整体运行于多头趋势内；4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs three tracks upwards,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a good upward trend with a golden cross,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线呈金叉逐步向上运行红色动能放量，KDJ三线呈金叉向上发散运行，金价短线有较强趋势，日内操作上建议低多为主。上方初步阻力在2000Nearby, the resistance in the next step is2015； Preliminary support below1986Further support on1977；
Daily trading strategy（12Contract):
1Above2000-2015Short selling nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each300Point;
2Below1986-1977Short term long trading nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each200Point;
The content of the article is purely the author's remarks in the upcoming market（qsly1818）My personal opinion is that I do not recommend placing orders. The specific market situation is based on the intraday trend. There are risks in investing and caution is required when entering the market.
writing/Market comments