2008年金融危机后的剧本基本是这样的:出现危机-商品暴跌-放水救市-通胀预期回归-商品走牛。而08年之后的剧本是一路狂飙3Year to2011年通胀见顶商品金属暴跌。这次是否会复刻2008年的走势?不过,历史会重演但不是简单的重演。2020Year and Year2008年的两大区别分别是,一方面放水力度空前绝后仿佛“最后的晚餐”,资产价格波动会比08年更剧烈;另一方面旧基建的工业需求边际效应逐渐下降,也就是说此轮牛市可能会更短。
黄金到2000还有多久,现价可以多吗?
黄金技术面来看,日线七连阳,且K线逐渐走高并位于5Above the daily moving average.MACD零上金叉,红色能量柱仍在放量,两根线在零上逐渐走强。RSI指标继续向上勾头,丝毫没有反转迹象,可以说从目前来看黄金丝毫没有见顶的信号。黄金连阳强攻高点及低点不断上移,均线向上拐头,布林带则向上开口多头形态无疑;在多头态势下操作上便是主低多参与,但是我们这里需要考虑到无论是强势还是弱势放量过程中必然会伴随着修正的动作。只要稍微给到回调便是入场的机会。
黄金四小时来看,早间低开后持续走高,让看多的情绪也更加浓厚。而1921美元历史高点阻力已经转换为支撑金价踩着MA10The moving average fluctuates and rises, with a tight upward phase at the tail end. Continuous volume increases to new highs, and short-term non closingMA10Below the moving average, the bullish trend has not changed. In this strong market, do not speculate on the top and keep trading with the trend. The current market would rather bear losses rather than be bearish. The intraday support position is easy for us to judge. BelowMA5/MA10都是目前比较合适做多的位置。综合来看操作上孔佰金还是建议回撤做多为主,黄金任何回调就是做多的机会。
黄金个人操作建议!
别管就是多!任何回调就是干多的机会!目前行情就是宁愿多着损也不要去看空!
All the successes in the world, the shining path they follow, are the result of countless perseverance and perseverance in the past. Therefore, there is no need to envy. Everyone must take the uphill path of life, and if they do not want to waste their time and become mediocre, they will inevitably face setbacks and become braver against the current. We always thought there would be an impossible tomorrow, but as long as we don't give up, we can always encounter twists and turns, and even in the darkest night, we can always endure until the moment of dawn.
Editor in charge: official account/Kong Baijin(kbj4568)
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