Zhang Jucheng;7.28黄金白银原油行情投资策略建议

　　心态决定了苦与乐，观念决定了成与败，做人越简单，交易就越宁静。许多时候，宁愿被逆势阵亡，也不愿自我反省。一滴墨，可以污浊一杯水，难以浑浊一条河，因为心大方能容纳;In one sentence, it can ruin a temporary mood and make it difficult to determine a person's life, because fate is in one's own hands;一次意外，可以让步履沉重，难以销蚀执著的追求，因为活着，因为坚强(See contact information at the end of the article)

　　

Spotgold、伦敦金行情走势资讯分析：
　　
The Federal Reserve's maintenance of super loose monetary policy, as well as the US government's multiple economic stimulus bills, have injected a large amount of funds into the market, causing the US dollar to weaken all the way and supporting the strength of gold prices. This week, it will also be announced that the United StatesGDP数据，美联储决议以及美国经济刺激方案进展情况，超级宽松政策有望延续，利好金价。近期全球最大的两个经济体在多领域进行较量，令国际贸易局势以及地缘摩擦持续升级，并且这种紧张的关系大概率将维持更长的时间，黄金由于其避险增值等功能而受全球资本青睐，令金价获得支撑。新冠疫情方面亦未获得有效控制，全球范围内新冠确诊病例超1600Million cases. Before the COVID-19 is effectively controlled, the global economy is under great pressure, and the global easing tone will remain, which is good for gold bulls.
　　
From a golden technical perspective,crude oil日线窄幅波动，布林带三线呈收口状态，油价现徘徊在布林带上轨与中轨之间。 MACDDead cross but weak green column energy,KDJIt's also a dead cross, with an index close to60. From a technical perspective, the short-term momentum of oil prices is limited, and it is expected that oil prices will fluctuate slightly downwards. The strong resistance level will first look at the upper limit of the Bollinger Line43.0If there is a breakthrough, it will depend on43.8nearby200The daily moving average. Once we break through200天移动平均压力，它将提振看涨情绪。原油从四个小时的水平来看，原油在41Fluctuations near the checkpoint. Oil prices are under pressure on the middle track of the Bollinger Belt.MACDThe golden cross turns into a dead cross, but the kinetic energy is weak, andKDJ的金叉却显示出转头的迹象。总体而言，油价需要打开区间震荡范围，才能打开方向。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上张钜诚个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注1960-1965Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1925-1930Frontline support.

　　

Analysis of international crude oil and US crude oil market trends:
　　
United StatesWTI 9Monthly crude oilfuturesElectronic disk price Monday(7month27day)Closing up0.36USD, increase0.87%，油价周一上涨，因市场希望刺激措施将扶助重振美国经济，但涨幅受限，因新冠新增病例数上升引发对需求的担忧。张钜诚认为，如果我们能把更多钱放到消费者口袋里，他们就会把钱花在商品和服务上，这应该会带来更多的汽油需求、旅行和购物。疲软的美元使以美元计价的大宗商品对持有其他货币的投资者来说更便宜，这也扶助提振油价。受国内经济担忧和国际关系恶化的影响，美元指数跌至2018year6The lowest since the beginning of the month. At the same time, the cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 infection in the world exceeded1600There are tens of thousands of cases, and the number of infections in some regions of the United States is skyrocketing. Oil prices are still expected to rise for the fourth consecutive month, while US oil prices are expected to rise for the third consecutive month, influenced by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)Support from reduced production in countries such as Russia.
　　
From the perspective of crude oil technology, the overall trend of crude oil last week was a back and forth Tai Chi trend, with the weekly chart continuing to show a high crossKReporting and daily support40The pass presents an interaction of yin and yang, with the highest penetration during the week42.5The first line is under pressure and falls back, and the lower part is stepped down and explored3The daily moving average has stabilized and rebounded strongly. Due to the fact that the indicator has not fully turned upwards after the bottom rebounded, the weekly chart is in a neutral position and is expected to fluctuate and accumulate momentum. The daily chart continues with a star chartKLine consolidation, after breaking through the interval, returns to interval consolidation, and Blindo is tightly closing down. At the beginning of this week, it still saw narrow fluctuations within the interval. From a technical perspective40The support signal near the checkpoint is obvious, and there has been no effective breakthrough in both short and long periods. However, at present, the daily level major cycle is still in a fluctuating upward rhythm, with the moving average sticking high and paying attention below the short term40.5Regional support strength, this position is in the early stage4Support area at the neck line of the hour, while touching from above42.3-42.5区域出现明显承压信号，看震荡回落，短线延续高位震荡格局节奏是关键，重点看当日的震荡波幅。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上张钜诚个人建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注42.3-42.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40-40.5Frontline support.

　　

　　现货白银、伦敦银行情资讯分析：
　　
　　白银期货进一步上涨至每盎司25美元以上，原因是避险需求上升以及对白银供应的担忧。随着投资者大量涌入贵金属，银价达到了大约七年来的最高水平，黄金价格则创下了历史新高。白银的涨幅超过了黄金，因为其获得了对全球制造业反弹和矿山供应受干扰预期的额外提振。由于长期政治和经济动荡的前景提振了避险需求，因此贵金属正在飙升，预计会进一步上涨。在出现最新一轮涨势之际美元暴跌，但仍存在一系列看涨因素支撑价格： 地缘政治紧张局势加剧，实际利率下跌，全球政府和央行采取了大量刺激措施来刺激经济。
　　
　　张钜诚分析团队投资风险管控:
　　
　　①、要有止损，哪怕是大止损，止损一定是对的，错了也是对，不止损是错的，对了也错，无条件止损。
　　
　　②、亏损不加仓，比如在你建仓的范围内，如果错了，不要盲目加仓，不要侥幸降低成本，选择优势点位下单，如果方向错，越加越亏，这样让自己直接暴露在风险中（若方向正确但进场点位不佳，加仓是可取的，但同样需要方法，不可盲目行情波动一个点就加仓）。
　　
　　③、当日止损，若连续亏损三个单，当天不交易。
　　
　　④、仓位要轻，最好控制在10%以内的仓位。
　　
　　⑤、一段时间内仓位保持一致，不要一会仓过多，一会仓过轻，保持一致的连贯性。
　　This article is provided by Zhang Jucheng. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Zhang Jucheng unloads online, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:zjc8393  Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.