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前言:人生总需要一些高昂激情来刺激自己,乏味生活显得人生平凡无奇,谁会喜欢乏味的人生?折腾才是人性,但总想活出自我的人依旧还是那么平凡。这几日的交易也是显得平凡,震荡行情总想着单边,单边行情来了之后却又抓不住,交易便显得有难度,生活也显得曲折!俗话说交易如人生,人生似交易,人生交易且看今博老师娓娓道来!
王今博————专注gold、crude oil行情分析!当很多人看空的时候,可能多头正即将要到来,多空的快速转换,总是令人措手不及,强弱的转换只在那一瞬间。交易就是要做对的事情,把事情做对,跟对思路,才能做对事。准确率和利润是检验实力的唯一标准!趋势投资,大道至简;盈利第一,风控为王!我们不做死多头,也不做死空头,要做市场的滑头,顺势而为!基本面决定一切,价格包容一切,KLines reflect everything, technical aspects interpret everything! If there are no trading principles and discipline, technology is zero and everything will be lost!
Golden News:
Friday Beijing Time21时左右,现货黄金实现重大破位,上破1900大关,续刷2011year9High since the beginning of the month;COMEXFutures Breakthrough1900dollar/Ounces, continued brushing2011year9月以来新高。虽然机构和投资者普遍认为金价将很快刷新历史记录1921一线,但分析网站FX Empire评论员James Hyerczyk日内评论,随着美元遭遇抛售,避险青睐降温,美元/日元短线波动加剧,且有震荡走低的表现,避险资金正流向日元,削弱黄金上冲的实力。他表示,黄金futures此前走低,虽然日线、周线和月线的主趋势仍看涨,但我们也确实感觉到金价近期回调的时机已经成熟。不过本文策略师认为,眼下黄金与日元同时发力,代表市场对美市开盘前就中美地缘风险的紧张情绪进一步升温,因市场已经押注特朗普在大选前将采取对华强硬的措施,使得投资者纷纷增购防御型资产,触发黄金、日元同涨。分析网站FX Street刚刚撰文解释,在进一步攻向历史高位1921.50之前,多头正此前在盘整。虽然全球疫情恢复仍有乐观迹象,但对于更多刺激来袭的押注、地缘升级以及美元处于疲弱环境的表现,都在利好黄金涨势。
国际黄金操作建议分析:
技术面来看,金价上行,上方较近阻力位见前高1898.42与关键整数关口1900组成的共振阻力,突破后未来或将进一步测试历史高位1912附近阻力。早前,FX168invokeDailyfx文章称,金价收高于1857USD(61.8%斐波延展)为后市进一步上探1907-1920USD(78.6%斐波延展,161.8%斐波延展)创造了条件。这个目标区间也跟黄金在2011year9月创下的历史最高水平1921美元非常接近。如果继续上破则下一个目标区域关注1971-1985(100%斐波延展,261.8%斐波延展)。
黄金技术面来看,黄金从日线上来看,昨日延续上涨逼近千九关口,日图依旧大阳收线,目前连续5On the first trading day, the price of gold broke through the upper track, and the Bollinger Belt opened up on the three tracks, with a short-term moving average of long positions,MACDThe energy of the golden fork and red pillar increases, and the price of gold is still on the rise. However, it is worth noting that,KDJHigh index close to90,需要警惕短线或因金价超买而高位回调的风险,另外今天周五,小心主力多头获利了结。四小时来看,金价贴着MA10The tail end of the moving average increases in volume, and after continuous increases, the rhythm begins to slow down. The short-term moving average is the critical point of short-term strength, and in terms of indicators,MACDStill golden forks, but the energy of the red pillar weakens,KDJHigh dead cross operation implies a risk of a pullback in gold prices, please follow below1863Support, hold on and continue to be bullish. If it falls below, it will turn into a volatile fall. Above, pay attention to the Bollinger Belt's upward trajectory1907Resistance, if broken upwards, may be tested upwards1921,整体来看,黄金短期有回调风险。综合来看,下周短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以回调做多为主,上方短期重点关注1910-1915Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1880-1885一线支撑。文中操作建议仅供参考,具体建议实盘现价给出,操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导微信【wjb9393】获得指导名额。
Crude Oil News:
Friday(7month24日)美原油窄幅震荡,涨幅0.22%。周四因为因疫情持续蔓延,且美国上周初请失业金人数增加,分析师准备下调能源需求预测,这使得美原油下跌2%。同时数据显示美国商业原油库存继续攀升,且美原油产量出现小幅复苏的迹象,在需求仍显示出疲软迹象之际,可能会导致库存进一步上升。此外由于成品油需求不足,近期炼厂运行率有所下滑,也对原油需求构成损害。同时还需要关注国际紧张关系,这也对原油需求构成影响。不过分析人士认为,美原油已经连续5周围绕着40美元上下2美元的区间波动,说明近期总体油市处于平衡的状态,市场需要关注疫情和经济复苏前景、8monthOPEC的减产情况、亚洲原油需求,这将推动油市进行方向选择。日内关注各国制造业PMI,由于制造业是制造业复苏是经济复苏的前兆,市场将从中进一步寻找有关疫情对于经济影响的线索。同时关注热带风暴对于美国原油生产的影响。
Technical analysis of US crude oil:
技术面分析;原油日线MACDDouble line bonding,KDJ在超买区域有结成死叉的迹象;布林线轨道轻微收口后趋于水平运行,油价始终窄幅震荡于布林线中轨和上轨之间,整体仍然处于多空胶着状态,等待方向性突破。上方阻力初步可简单关注本周高点43Further resistance3month2Daily low point43.34附近,该位置接近200日均线,阻力相对较强,油价需要突破该位置,才能进一步打开上涨空间,总体而言,近期美原油基本面向好,为油价提供了支撑,但是卫生事件二次蔓延限制了油价的涨幅,供需关系仍是未来影响油价的因素,因此油价仍总体承压于3月跳空缺口位置附近。油价在布林线上轨附近展开拉锯,也指示油价上行没有足够的动能;所以,短线仍然需要警惕油价震荡回落的风险,下方初步支撑在10Daily moving average40.91附近,若油下破该位置,则油价将进一步回踩布林线中轨40.19附近支撑,若进一步下破,则增加短线看空信号;综合来看,原油下周短线操作短线思路上王今博建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方关注42-42.5One line of resistance, pay attention below40-40.5一线支撑。行情瞬息万变,更多实时行情分析与及时操作可加笔者王今博【wjb9393】每日行情分析、解套策略、中长线布局指导尽在其中,欢迎志同道合之士前来促膝长谈!
黄金原油投资被套,如何快速解套===
锁单子加仓差价法:被套后,说明我们的判断的方向是错误的,市场和我们反方向的价格走,等反弹或下跌到一定的高度,估计见短线高点了,要不断加仓锁单子资金,确保锁单子仓位大于单子被套仓位。通过这样顺势做单为主的技巧,提高锁单子赚的差价,最后等总资金补回了亏损,完成解出被套,并有赢利,再全部卖出?
Bottom adding method: After being covered, one should be patient and dare to lock in the position, because of the characteristics of the product, some prices and bottom signals may appear, especially in large cycles such as the weekly chartKWhen there is a rebound signal or a bottom signal on the line, it will be very stable. As long as there is a bottom signal in the large cycle, it is necessary to boldly unwind, buy continuously on dips, increase positions, and once the large cycle rebounds, it can be resolved.
降低均价法:被套后,如果是套在相对历史低点,也不用担心,必然会有反弹的空间,这个时候要不断的逢低加仓买入,逢低15%的空间加仓一次,降低平均的价格,这样等黄金原油产生一波反弹,就可解出局。这种技巧也有人称它为金字塔法。
Single stop loss method: When you feel that your direction and trend are wrong and there are really no opportunities left, choose a certain rebound space for single stop loss. The gold market is very large on one side, especially when the opposite direction of high or low orders is trapped, you need to make a decisive single stop loss. Single stop loss is the most effective solution technique, because you can redo the order and ensure the principal.
今博寄语:这个市场没有常胜将军,更没有神这一说,分析师都有出错的时候,那么关键问题来了,笔者王今博个人坚持一个仓位和节奏要求VIPJinyou Trading does not involve heavy positions, and no matter how many times it is done correctly, there is no need to discuss whether risk control is good or not. Therefore, when there is an error in an order, the trend and expectations are not consistent. It is important to cut the position as soon as possible instead of waiting for a stop loss foolishly. What needs to be done is the win rate, relying on profit accumulation to earn wealth, rather than heavy position trading. If there is an error in a loss, it is necessary to repeatedly increase the position. I do not have such guidance here, nor do I agree with it. Investment trading always puts technical risk control first, mentality and technology second, only then can profits continue.
This article is written by Wang Jinbo (WeChat:wjb9393---Official account: Wang Jinbo), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trend, and have in-depth research on crude oil, gold, silver and other bulk commodities. Due to the delay of online push, the above contents are personal suggestions, and because online posts are timely, they are only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting.
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