鵬華論市：7.24黃金解套在線，原油走勢解讀！！！

　goldMessage surface:
　　
Thursday(7month23day)在纽约市，现货黄金触及2011year9The highest point since the month, to1,898.34dollar/Ounces, due to the weakening of the US dollar and hopes for more stimulus measures to revive battered economic growth. Last week, the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits for the first time due to unemployment increased, raising concerns about a slowing economic recovery. However, as the US stock market plummeted and the US dollar index rebounded, spot gold fell nearly from its daily high20USD. Some analysts say that some investors are exiting their gold and silver positions to provide funding for stock positions or other situations.
　　
Goldfutures价格周四连续第五个交易日收高。纽约商业交易所八月份交割的黄金期货价格上涨了24.90USD, or1.3％，报收于每盎司1,890USD, intraday high of1897.70美元；最活跃的合约收盘价接近历史最高收盘纪录，突显了一个多世纪以来最严重的传染病流行使黄金需求旺盛。如果黄金期货价格能够突破2011年创造的历史最高水平，谁能保证下一个价格不会达到2,000美元？显然，没有人知道它是否可以实现，但是现在金价显然正在上涨，并且基本面仍然看涨。”
　　
Gold trend analysis:
　　
　　自从黄金上周创下新高后开始了高位的震荡模式，在高点1818The nearby oscillation lasted for nearly two weeks, what is the reason for this? Firstly, investors believe that1800It is a very high position, so most investors are hesitant about whether they can continue to buy more gold, but some investors believe that the gold rally may be coming to an end and begin to put down their holdings, which will lead to the reason why they cannot rise or fall. In the end, the excitement of the news broke the deadlock, and the risk aversion sentiment suddenly heated up, causing investors to start buying and loving gold, and gold continued to hit new highs in the end. From a technical perspective:KDJThe high gold fork and dead fork are repeatedly circulating and still appearing at high levels, and the index has been consistently high60upper.MACDThe golden cross continues, the red energy column begins to increase in volume, and the moving average is also arranged in a long position,5Daily moving average and10日均线给黄金提供支撑，布林带开口向上，目前已经站稳上轨上方。指示黄金多头依然很强势，接下来蒋哲认为将去试探1900Resistance points and historical highs at checkpoints1920Resistance level.
　　
　　黄金震荡上涨，每一次的破位高点都会出现回吐，本周已经连续4The trend of each transaction is basically similar. Starting to rise on Monday, just giving a signal, gold rose on Tuesday30USD, kickback10US dollars. Wednesday's rise30USD, kickback20USD, up on Thursday36USD, kickback20The trend of the US dollar is quite regular, and overall it is an upward trend. From a technical perspective:KDJSevere overbought at high positions,MACD金叉向上，红色能量柱持稳，均线也是多头向上，布林带开口向上，指示黄金多头依然占据优势，接下来操作鹏华论市认为按照趋势的规律来进行操作，上方阻力是1900Gateway and1920Historical high resistance, pay attention below1880and1875的支撑；以这两个位置支撑去做多，历史新高不远了，让我们一起见证历史时刻。由于笔者鹏华论市不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人（官微：ph5018)。
　　
　　crude oilMessage surface:
　　
US Energy Information Administration(EIA)周三表示，最近一周美国原油和馏分油库存意外增加，燃料需求下滑，因冠状病毒疫情已开始打击美国消费。截止7month17日当周原油库存意外增加490Ten thousand barrels, to5.366亿桶，调查预估为减少210万桶。美国原油产量上升1010000 barrels/Day, to111010000 barrels/日。芝加哥高级分析师Phil表示，总体而言，这将意味着我们从底部看到的需求复苏似乎正在停滞。
　　
　　美国总统川普星期二表示，疫情可能会在好转之前恶化，这与他之前大力强调重新开放经济的态度不同。石油市场主管Bj表示，特朗普的言论可能会受到投资者的欢迎，因为这是他或他的政府迄今最谨慎的言论之一。这可能对石油需求前景有利。美国最终控制住疫情蔓延的可能性现在可能增加了，而不是出现不受控制的、破坏性的第二波封锁。有迹象显示，作为石油输出国组织(OPEC)第二大产油国的伊拉克仍未达到减产目标，这加大了油价的下行压力。
　　
Analysis of crude oil trend:
　　
　　原油从日线上来看，油价窄幅震荡，布林带收口，留意布林线上轨与中轨突破情况，油价始终窄幅震荡于该区间；目前MACD粘合、绿柱动能放量，KDJ同样趋平、指数接近80。技术面看，油价动能微弱，等待方向性突破。上行方面，重点留意前一交易日高点42.5，进一步上破就需要考验扩展线1.618position43.4美元。下行支撑先留意5Daily moving average40.8支撑，其次是布林带中轨40.4。从四小时来看，昨日不破40.8的情况下，其技术形态上的看涨预期可能会有所增强，但是再度回升上涨，上方面临的阻力也较大，初步阻力在42.5附近。当前布林带处于开口向上，价格昨日回踩中轨后开始反弹，价格目前处于MA5Japan and Japan10日线之上，KDJ三线拐头向上，MACD继续金动能柱持续放量，综合来看，原油震荡偏多！综合来看，原油今日短线操作短线思路上鹏华论市个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注42.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41,0一线支撑。由于笔者鹏华论市不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人（官微：ph5018)。
　　
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　　全方位指导老师：鹏华论市分析团队
　　
　　撰稿人：鹏华论市
　　
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