葛境源：分析伦敦金走势时如何看支撑位和阻力位？

蒙惠者虽知其然，而未必知其所以然也--《朱子语类》



如何找出支撑位和阻力位?又如何如何判断做多、做空时机?我们必须对国际事件于gold市场产生什么影响有一个充分的认识。当国际政局动荡，经济不景气的时候，就是进场逢低做多的时机。当国际政局稳定，经济发展乐观时，我们就该转变思路逢高做空黄金。只要及时掌握第一手国际资讯，就能更准确地判断下一步市场大势，很好地辅助交易!当然，为了规避预期外行情带来亏损，最好严格设置止盈止损，尽可能保护好本金和盈利，限制亏损!



炒伦敦金想获得盈利，境源薇XMS壹叁伍叁就必须要善于分析行情的趋势，稳重求胜，顺势而为。其中，阻力与支撑是涨跌空间的两种表现形式。具体怎么找出支撑位和阻力位呢?境源下面来分别说说。


阻力位，空头力量强、多头力量弱的地方自然形成阻力位，在实践中，因大众预期的一致性，下列区域常会成为明显的阻力区：


1The opening of the index on that day was lower than the previous closing. In the process of climbing up, there will be resistance here, because after a night of thinking, both the long and short sides have reached a consensus on the previous closing price. When the day opens, there will be previous closing prices participating in bidding trading. If the index opens low, it indicates strong selling intention. During the rebound of the index, on the one hand, it will be hit by new selling at any time, and on the other hand, as it approaches the previous closing, the accumulated selling in the morning will take effect, making it easy for bulls to pass this hurdle.


2After the opening of the day, it fell. Due to the accumulation of a large amount of selling at the opening price during bidding, there will be resistance when rebounding back to this point.


3The reason for the formation of the previous high is because there is a clear backlog of selling here. When the index encounters resistance and falls again, once it approaches the previous high, new short selling forces will intervene, and bulls will become cautious. A clear pattern is formed on the trend chartMHead shape, and most of the time the high point on the right will be lower than the high point on the left.


4Due to people's psychological influence, some integer values often become important obstacles when rising.



判明阻力区的目的是为了卖在最高点或次高点，一般可以在进入判明的阻力区之前卖出，以增加成交机会。或者当指数从高处滑落后，在第二次接近此高点时报卖。


支撑位，跌不下去的地方即为支撑位，常见的支撑位有以下几类：


1If the price rises after the opening and falls back to the opening price, the support will be stronger due to more buying sedimentation.


2If the index falls from a high point in the previous closing, the support at the previous closing is also strong.


3Front low point. The low point area formed last time usually becomes people's psychological support, and its principle is the same as the resistance area.


4The previous high point had significant resistance, but once it is effectively crossed, there is usually support when it falls again due to the accumulation of buying demand.


判明支撑位是为了争取在低位区买进。


由上述分析可看出，支撑与阻力是一对可以互相转化的矛盾，原先的阻力位突破后反过来可以成为支撑位，原有的支撑位突破后反过来也可以成为阻力位。

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历史数据表明，7-8月黄金的季节性投资需求会大幅上涨，同时近段时间的大幅上涨为黄金积聚了大量人气，资本流入的势头很有可能会持续到8月末。从黄金和股市的相对表现，7-8月是一个转折点，股市会在这段时期由盛转衰，黄金则将加速上行。投资是一门复杂的学问，是技巧、技能、心态、人性等的综合博弈过程。在这一过程中，境源觉得谁的风险意识强，谁的风险管理做的好，谁的风险控制措施执行到位谁就是最后的赢家。身为卒，虽能勇往直前，但结局依旧是左右徘徊；身为车，虽能驰骋疆场，但仍跳不出方寸之地；身为将，虽能指挥千军，但还不过是那笼中之鸟！境源薇XMS壹叁伍叁觉得说明做单不能好高骛远，拿捏取舍要有依有据，不失原则。相信每一个下棋的人都曾有过这种痛彻深悟的体验：在局势一片大好的情况下，只因一招不慎，错落一子，局势变急转直下，千里之堤，毁于蚁穴。从此处处被动、处处防御。


本文章作者：葛境源


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