郭禹缘：周期性调整或将有所抑制？黄金原油操作解析指南。

Profitability is everyone's dream, but why do most people do things that run counter to profitability every day. It is impossible for every transaction to determine the world; It is also impossible for every failure to cause physical and mental damage. But it's getting further and further away from success, but getting closer and closer to failure because many times it stops success but continues failure. Review the incorrect concepts and methods in daily operations, and find out how many of them are the directions that have been adhered to before. Many people are complaining, but every day they continue to do foolish things such as chasing orders, resisting orders, locking positions, relocating positions, changing positions at will, frequent trading, randomly cutting meat, increasing positions against the trend, chasing gains and losses, and so on. If you have made all the above mistakes and do not repent, then you are not suitable for trading at all. Complaining cannot solve problems, resisting orders cannot change direction, and frequent trading only leads to missed profits and increases the probability of mistakes. If the direction is wrong, resistance cannot be carried, and successful individuals do not follow the usual path. Only after the phoenix is reborn from the ashes can success be more solid and lasting.
　　
SpotgoldLondon Gold, Analysis of Gold Trendscrude oilOperational suggestions, gold market, daily analysis of gold, latest strategies, multiple-空单解套技巧
　　
　　黄金市场动向：
　　
Monday(7month20day)亚市盘中，美元指数展开反弹，现报96.15附近；现货黄金则承压下滑，金价稍早一度逼近1805dollar/盎司。周末欧盟峰会延期，欧盟领导人在复苏基金分配方式上僵持不下，这对欧元/美元走势构成负面影响，从而推高美元指数。本周关键经济数据和央行重量级官员讲话较少，投资者将关注新冠肺炎疫情的进展。此外，包括中美在内的地缘政治局势也将受到关注，任何负面消息都可能引发市场避险情绪升温，从而推动金价上涨。
　　
　　本周数据和事件都较为清淡，主要关注欧美国家7月份的制造业和服务业PMI数据。本周五，欧元区、德国、法国和英国都将公布7Monthly manufacturing industryPMI初值，从市场预期来看，7月份的数据有望回升。美国也将7monthMarkit制造业和服务业PMI初值，市场普遍预期这两项数据将继续回升，有望回到荣枯线上方。那么也会对当前黄金造成利空，并且黄金走势上承压1815难突破，回调是大概率事件！
　　
Analysis of Gold Market Trend:
　　
　　黄金上周五低位反弹收高，短期拉锯未改，日图收盘中阳线，将前一日中阴线回落空间尽数收复。最低1796 最高反弹至1811.78.Closing at10日线附近，而周线也收盘成小阳线。周线连阳依旧属于多头中的慢阳上涨阶段。日图局部停顿震荡修正，但回调的空间比较小，这仍属于强势修正中的一种。黄金进入了箱体震荡中短时间内难以走出，这是上周很明确的给大家一个动态的定位。
　　
　　4小时小箱体区间内开始收缩震荡，上轨压力在1815-1813附近。下轨支撑则在1790-1795一带。上周五能够在下轨处启稳回升。说明短期调整的深度有限。留意箱体区间内的突破再次放量。结合日线的修正手法，强势修正后预计上破的机率偏大一点。本周重点关注上方1815-1818高点的破位，若能突破则打开上方空间，看测试通道上轨压制，理论可见1850之上。当然若还是不能突破1815-18的高点压制，那么本周下破的概率就很大了。震荡久了单边突破的行情也就快要到来了，操作上更加需要谨慎。今日亚欧盘短线操作上郭禹缘建议区间高空低多操作即可。
　　
　　原油市场动向：
　　
　　众所周知，美伊局势一直是油市一个不安定因子，相信不少人对今年年初美伊冲突事件炸出的油市飙涨行情依然印象深刻。不少人曾寄望于伊核协议能够缓解紧张局势，但今年1月，伊朗宣布不再遵守伊核协议的任何限制。今年，一个巨大的不确定因素还会影响着美伊局势的走向，进而影响油市情绪，那就是——美国大选。大家可能都知道，极力排挤传统能源产业的拜登，一旦当选，对原油市场必然是一个暴击。
　　
　　上周，大选候选人拜登才公布了一项经过修改的气候和能源计划。在计划中拜登提出，希望美国能在到2035年消除电力行业的碳污染。但大家可能忽略了另外一个潜在利空。有消息称，如果拜登当选，该政府的外交政策方法将与特朗普政府不同，并可能选择对伊朗和委内瑞拉等产油国进行更多的谈判和更少的制裁。
　　
Analysis of International Crude Oil Prices:




　　日线上看，上周五原油同时上演探底回升，冲高回落两大戏法，最终以带上下影线的小阴收场，日线上，当前油价并未失守中轨MA20日线，多次受阻41.0美元关口位置回落，不做过多分析，日内预计还是一个探高回落震荡行情；4小时上看，上周五原油自周四高位展开缓慢震荡下行，跌破中轨位置并触及下轨后回升，运行于中轨下方，当前布林带即将开口，MAThe moving average moves out of the double dead cross,KDJThree lines of random indicators converge downwards,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，综合来看，原油目前涨幅受限，或将继续下跌，日内操作上郭禹缘建议多空来回进行，上方关注43前期高点阻力，下方重点关注39.5-39.2Location of the checkpoint.
　　
　　这个行业是这样的，当你做的时间越久经历是事情越多，你就会越是敬畏这个市场，现在的我可能比不上这里的很多分析师有着犀利的眼光，去分析每一次行情。我只能做我该做的，如何在保住本金的情况下，去向这个市场寻找利润。谈谈自己的交易心得，以及纠正一切不正确的心态，尽心尽力的去为你们带来更多的利益，在这里也表明自己的态度，需要神单的，想快速回本或者短周期内大赚的，就不要联系我。请客观的看待这个问题，如果把foreign exchange市场当做理财去看待，能不断稳定的做到盈利就好，这个是我这些年的感悟。不想因为某一单去后悔，生活不会给我们这样的机会。07年的时候我也是有着出生牛犊不怕虎的精神，不断去创造属于行业的记录。成功过，当然也爆仓过。成功的经典可以一直拿出来招摇，失败的也只能是过往云烟。我不希望投资者都是看着别人的经典故事变成了过往云烟。
　　
The investment market always has four levels: maintaining principal, controlling risks, earning returns, and achieving long-term stable and sustainable profits. Don't rely on the outcome of a day's gains or losses, whether making money is accidental or inevitable, whether it is through real effort or luck. Those who can survive in the market are definitely the investors who can ultimately sustain long-term profits. Trading is a good habit, strictly follow your trading plan.
　　
A rigorous transaction=Good mentality control+correct position control+excellent technical skills, never buying or selling forcefully in cooperation.
　　
Opportunities are reserved for those who are prepared, and a correct choice is greater than a hundred times the effort, You trust the teacher, I will give you a satisfactory return. You just need it, I am just professional!
　　
　　本文由郭禹缘：（官方指导热线：gyy7819）Exclusive and original by an analyst. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting