Chen Dabin:7.16黄金涨势会延续吗？原油操作建议及走势分析

　　人们常常将成功的交易者归结于他们的聪明和勤奋，然而，这远远是不够的，对于投资者来说，控制着交易成败的关键因素就是信念，自信心的大小决定一个人成就的大小。据说只要拿破仑一上场，士兵的战斗力可以增加一倍。一个军队的战斗力大半取决于将帅的信心之中，大战前将帅的自信，可以很大程度的增强军队的勇气和战斗力。如果将帅露出疑虑和张皇，全军必然要陷入混乱和动摇之中。人的精神和能力，就像军队一样，也依赖于其意志和信念的支持。有强烈信念的人，即使使用最简单的交易系统，也能够成就神奇的事业。疑虑和胆小的人往往一事无成。一个人成就的大小，往往不会超出他自信心的大小。成功的先决条件就是自信。

　　
　　goldnews flash:
　　
Thursday Beijing Time（7month16日）欧洲央行将于19:45公布利率决议，而随后欧洲央行行长拉加德将在20:30召开新闻发布会。市场普遍预计该央行7月利率决议不会出现重大变化，在可预见的未来该央行料持续维持利率不变。在第二波疫情一触即发的局势下，目前市场正高度关注欧洲央行是否会祭出更多的刺激措施。欧洲央行观望更多有关经济前景，财政状况以及经济刺激计划所带来影响的数据，为消除任何疑问，行长拉加德可能会再次强调，紧急采购计划维持完备。关注工纵好“陈大宾”即可享有每日财经资讯热点解读、黄金crude oilA layout plan for the central line!
　　
　　从政策技术角度来看，有一定空间可以增加货币政策分层乘数，以补偿信贷机构新增流动性带来的额外成本。预计在可预见的未来欧洲央行将维持利率不变，尽管如此，欧洲央行仍存降息风险，但前期未采取行动表明降息的阻力很大。近期有鹰派论调认为紧急抗疫购债计划(PEPP)未得到充分利用，如果需要进一步加码宽松，那么PEPP将是主要工具，并且风险仍倾向于欧洲央行将加大债券购买，而不是减少。
　　
Analysis of International Gold Price:
　　
　　黄金昨日维持1803-1815区域内小横盘，但是上方压力一直未能有效突破，美盘因为行情波动有限则没有进行操作！今日还是继续关注1818的压力，压力位置下继续空！黄金4小时级别维持高位震荡，上方1818压力明显，下方支撑则是1795位置，陈大宾桅型号是cbb8527整体上维持20美金上下震荡，这已经算是比较小的行情，高位盘整，久盘必跌！而且黄金日线上虽然此前缓慢推升，但是上涨的力度已经衰竭，一旦出现下跌，必然是暴跌的模式，1795支撑根本止不住！
　　
　　今日我们还是维持此前的高空策略不变，当前的行情亚盘波动基本不是很大，可操作性不强，但是如果有合适的点位我们还是会出手，今日重点是欧美盘尤其是周初请数据后黄金的表现！如果还是继续承压1818压力，直接空即可！今日继续关注1818压力，预计行情会在1795-1818区域内横盘整理，反弹见1818附近还是做空不变！有套单的朋友，可单线本人，由于笔者陈大宾不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线陈大宾cbb8527是微信
　　
Crude Oil News:
　　
　　因欧佩克及其盟友进一步接近于从8月初开始增加对全球市场的供应，加之美国EIAAccording to the published data, as of7month10日当周美国除却战略储备的商业原油库存大幅度减少超出预期，油价周三(7month15day)小幅上涨：截至7month10Day of the Week, USAEIA原油库存变动实际公布减少749.30Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease8.8Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value565.4万桶；汽油库存实际公布减少314.70Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease108Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased483.9万桶；精炼油库存实际公布减少45.30Ten thousand barrels, expected increase138.4Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value313.5Ten thousand barrels.
　　
　　欧佩克与非欧佩克联合部长级监督委员会于当地时间7month14and15日召开会议评估减产策略。业界人士预计，此次会议可能对此前欧佩克国家的减产规模进行调整，减产规模或将缩小。由于目前国际原油市场趋于稳定，沙特阿拉伯正在寻求在15日的欧佩克会议上推动产油国降低减产规模，而与伊拉克和尼日利亚等国加强协调保证其完全履行减产义务则是各国同意继续执行减产计划的基础之一。
　　
Analysis of International Crude Oil Prices:
　　
　　原油日线继续录得一根小阳线，价格如预期保持上行，中期依旧只做低多，等待42.9-43.2附近在考虑做空，原油当前还是继续承压43压力，但是下方39区域支撑明显难跌，不跌就是涨，上方日内关注43位置的压力，突破则顺势多！原油高位盘整，看似无力，但是下跌的幅度有限，特别是37区域是当前多空分水岭位置，而现在原油则是维持在39-41区域内震荡，上有压力下有支撑！而当前的原油有继续上涨企图突破43位置开启新波段！而一旦上涨启动，则上方要去测试的是周线压力44-46区域内！今日早盘原油关注43位置的压力，没有突破前不要轻举妄动，但是一旦突破则毫不犹豫的跑步进场！最近原油走势多空反复，而且也是处于变盘的契机窗口，多空反复是力量的争夺，综合来看，陈大宾建议上方阻力关注43First line, support attention from below40.5一线。建仓把握不准可连线笔者，有套了单的朋友可转接本人cbb8527是微信，行情瞬息万变，更多实时策略盘中指导给出

　　
Regarding the situation of these investors, I would like to make three points:
　　
　　1For a volatile market without a stop loss, there is indeed no loss, but what should we do once a unilateral market occurs? Since you want to do this, you need to think about the consequences. Then you won't have the idea that a volatile market brings a stop loss, and if the point is not well grasped, there will indeed be a phenomenon of back and forth sweeping. Therefore, before placing an order, it is still a problem of thinking that I have always emphasized. There is a basis for making an order, and even if there are occasional errors, it will be adjusted in a timely manner.
　　
　　2For the trend of the market, data and news play a more important role in driving, stimulating, and assisting the market, rather than directly corresponding relationships. The core of the trend is still the technological trend itself. Through technological trends, how to view data reasonably and respond to changes in the market is also what the author has been trying to convey in the article, which is a stable trading system, timely response, and ideal judgment, This is the foundation of the transaction.
　　
　　3Have you had a teacher before or have you suffered losses? Is it the teacher's fault or your own? If it's the teacher's fault, continue to find teachers who you think are good. If it's your own problem, you need to reflect and summarize, and how to avoid these problems next time, such as what many people have mentioned, greed, carrying orders, blindly entering without thinking, and so on.
　　Chen Dabin (guidance)VLetter:cbb8527）Establish a fundamental change model to assess market sentiment changes and determine trends. More than ten years of technical analysis and judgment on short-term details. The central line is the main line, supplemented by the short line. I have in-depth and unique insights into major global financial markets such as the foreign exchange market, gold market, oil market, stock market, and bond market. This article is written by Chen Dabin, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. I hope the price is worth it, and the value is worth it; Due to the delayed nature of the article strategy; Consultation with Chen Dabin Obtain the latest real-time market analysis.