王铭鑫：初请失业金人数低于预期黄金上演高台跳水黄金低多

   International SpotgoldThursday(7month9day)冲高回落，美市盘中最高触及1815.70dollar/盎司后重新跌向1800美元关口，因日内市场风险情绪跌宕起伏，同时在创造新高后短线投资者的锁定获利操作也令金价涨势暂时受阻，不过避险需求的稳固有望帮助黄金获得更多逢低买盘，从而也应该会限制黄金的下行空间。

   今天市场又出现了两个风险事件，这令市场避险情绪再度攀升。一方面，美国最高法院今日以两项7-2的裁决分别支持曼哈顿地检获取特朗普总统的财务记录，并在另一项裁决中否决了由国会民主党人提出的要求查看相关记录的传票。裁决结果被公布后，特朗普连续发推文，指责裁决“程序不当”。
                                                                                                                                    
   技术面看，金价近期在突破2012The high point of the year1796一线后，录得一系列更高的高点和低点。但金价仍需突破/Received1822frontline(50%斐波延展)才能为后市升至1857(61.8%斐波延展)附近敞开大门。
  
   gold14dayRSIbe in70上方，显现出了超买的迹象。尽管一些投资者可能会选择获利了结，但目前看起来没有足够理由阻止金价上涨。
  
  “只要新冠肺炎引发了对新一轮封锁和全球经济增长放缓的担忧， 王铭鑫洈是ymsd06尽管股市上涨，但黄金仍可能流行。”

   金价还将继续走高，看向1850dollar/盎司，之后才会出现比较明显的投资者获利了结。“目前没有什么能促使投资者抛售黄金的重要因素，人们仍然需要黄金来对冲通胀和各种不确定性。”

   只有金价大举下跌至1700dollar/盎司下方才会让市场对眼下这个上行趋势有所怀疑。                                                      
               
　　黄金今年最低从1450涨到目前最高1818一线，涨幅接近368美金，已经处于历年涨幅极限范围。强势攀升刷新9年的高点，将2011年用两年确定的阻力1803突破，而这个位置也是过往9年的行情中的高点，以此作为压力走了一个U型底，最终回到了原点。我们要知道黄金在到达1800上方后更是可能随时见到今年顶部，行情在目前高位越是往上，向上空间越小，反而一旦结束开始调整空间就会越大，所以不要看短期仍然强势，但涨的越高未来调整空间越大。一旦在周线或日线出现明显受阻信号就可以考虑逐步进场布局空单了，未来先迎来的肯定是中线调整，而不是中线上涨，不是不到，只是时候未到。

　　黄金从中4月中旬到6月中旬都处于高位1765-1670大区间内震荡，震荡超过两个月，之后向上突破1765，打破了大区间震荡格局进一步转多，预计这波拉升很有可能就是今年最后的上涨，尾声拉升阶段往往都是加速的，突破了1765-1670后按空间算向上也应该涨到1820-1830，所以目前看已经差不多完成这个目标，不过大格局上要注意1800上方见顶风险，可能会持续一些时间，但1800上方不会持续太久就会下跌，1800上方随时要小心见顶跳水风险的。

　　

Gold market analysis:

　　本周日线连续三连阳线突破1800关口，整体看日线多头很强势，多头趋势明显。但是黄金在上涨过程中却没有很好的进行回调以至于黄金在1800关口上方就会很快的出现见顶风险！黄金从日线图上看，金价接连三日的大涨已经突破了关键的1800关口，涨势止步于1818一线。日图MACDThe red kinetic energy column is basically stable,KDJThe random indicator has reached an overbought level, indicating that the gold market can remain stable, but is wary of the possibility of a pullback. From a global perspective,1800的突破在一定程度上预示着多头空间的打开。指标上，日均线金叉开口平行向上不变，MACD看涨柱持续扩展，快慢线金叉保持，上行动能保持完好，那么黄金只要收于1800关口上方，那么顺势跟多操作就是我们需要做的，若是要转空还要跌破1790才可能。指导热线：ymsd06

Gold4Retract the cross after reaching the height of the hourKLine, short-term long short equilibrium. The upper shadow line shows a slight pressure after being raised, combined with the correction of stepping back in space. Current diskMA13Moving averageMA21Mean Square andMA72The moving average shows a bullish pattern, and the moving average indicator shows a bullish signal. Stepping back to the moving average level is a bullish opportunity. althoughRSIIndicator in70上方的超买区域，但点赞涨的趋势中此时RSI指标所发出的信号可暂时忽略。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王铭鑫个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1805-1810Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1795-1790Frontline support.

Reference suggestions for gold operations:

　　1Gold1800-1795Multiple orders placed near the area, stop loss5USD, target1805-1810-1815Area, break hold, look up1820-1830region

　　2、若黄金反弹1805-1810区域受阻可布局空单，止损5USD, target1800-1795Near the area, take a break and look down1790关口能否破位，破位持有，反之离场     
                                                                                                                                   
   【crude oilMessage surface
  
　　周三油价上涨，因美国能源资料协会(EIA)数据显示，美国截至7month3Day and WeekEIAActual increase in announced changes in crude oil inventory565.40Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease318.9Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased719.5万桶，而需求攀升至88010000 barrels/Day, for3month20The highest level since the beginning of the day.然而美国几个州新增的新冠病例增加了重新封锁的可能性，可能阻碍燃料需求的持续复苏，导致美国原油futures价格本周保持在窄幅区间，不过仍维持在每桶40美元上方。据报道，随着越来越多的州报告的新增感染病例数刷新纪录，美国新冠疫情当地时间7日突破了令人担忧的新里程碑，累计感染病例超过300万例。当局报告称，在过去两周内，约20个州的日新增病例数增长惊人。这一迹象表明，旨在控制新冠传播的努力在全国大部分地区失败了。   
　　                                                                                                                              
    原油行情交易——

　　原油技术面来看，原油昨日日线录得一根阴线锤头线，最高点在40.9一线，最低点在39.8一线，原油依然是多头上涨走势，1小时级别上通道式上行，接下来还有新高，亚盘40附近继续接多，今日上涨目标突破41.3压制！原油处于高位区间震荡，上涨力度虽然看似不足，但是一直处于上涨过程中，而且是在日线上涨趋势线的支撑上运行。当前在1小时级别上走上涨段，并且是通道式上涨走势，对于这种结构，此前已经强调很多遍，接下来必定还有再次强势拉升一波的可能，极大概率突破日线前高41.3压力！原油在日线级别上属于上涨楔形整理，而上当周线级别的压力则是在44-46区域内，如果原油本次上涨突破，则大概率反弹至此区域，只有达到此区域压力后，原油才能开启更大级别的调整走势。所以综合分析操作上王铭鑫建议先空再多，上方关注41-40.5One line of resistance, pay attention below39-38.5一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人指导洈辛ymsd06I will try my best to help you solve your problems. Different situations have different ways to unwind, so what should be done in case the sheets and quilts are covered?


Scenario 1: When tying up, according to the chart analysis, if the purchased price is at a high level, the loss must be immediately stopped.


Scenario 2: If the purchased price is in the middle range, you can temporarily wait and see based on the situation at that time, in order to unwind and leave the market or reduce losses when the position is high.


Scenario 3: If the purchased price is at a low level, there is no need to rush to stop the loss. After the purchased price stabilizes, one should dare to cover the position at a low level in important support positions, dilute costs, and rescue the high locked position together in the subsequent rebound market.


Scenario 4: If the price of the purchased item is on an upward trend, there is no need to stop the loss. Patiently holding it for a period of time will inevitably unwind, and there may even be a possibility of significant profits.


Scenario 5: If the purchased price is in a balanced and volatile trend, there is no need to immediately stop the loss. Be patient and wait for the price to enter a high level of a volatile cycle. Once the situation is resolved or the loss is small, you should decisively exit the market., Teaching people how to fish is not as good as teaching them how to fish. Here, not only are there calling for a spot, but there are also operational ideas and skills for making orders!


Scenario 6: If the price of the purchased item is in a downward trend, once it is confirmed that the downward trend has formed, the loss should be immediately stopped, and one must not be worried about gains or losses and have illusions. Any hesitation or hesitation may result in deep confinement.
  
　　投资是长久之计，不是一朝一夕，所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了，那也没什么可怕的，只要选择正确，失去的都会再回来。对于经常被套单的投资朋友王铭鑫告诉你要切记以下5Taboos:1Heavy storage operation.2Without stop loss.3Reverse the trend operation.4Frequent order making.5Poor mentality and easy operation. The above is a summary of my years of experience. If investors have encountered similar problems in the past, please summarize, discover your own shortcomings, and make corrections. In the long run, you will always gain something - share with everyone!
                                                                                                                                  　
    ====王铭鑫肺腑之言====
  
I have been investing as an analyst for so many years. Like the recent market situation, I have experienced it many times. I can also guess your current state of mind, which is not far from ten. Don't blame the market or blame yourself. When investing, we all want to make a profit, which is also the purpose of our investment. I understand. But you lost money, the reason is simple: you want to win in this market. Things that go against our wishes in this world always happen by our side. A strong desire for profit can subtly change your mindset. You have a strong subjective mindset when making orders, and you always think that after you enter the market, you should follow your own ideas. How could it be? No one can control the market. Have you analyzed rationally when making orders. If you don't understand analysis. Did your teacher explain the reasons for making orders? If not, then how could he be a competent teacher. In this treacherous investment market. How much do you know? Don't you understand? You need to rely on the teacher. But the teacher doesn't tell you the reason for each order, just talking to a teacher who can only shout orders but cannot control risks. Are you really so confident? If so. Why did you lose money. You are so anxious again.
  
It's not too late to start, why don't we start today. One day, that little by little visible future will be clear in your heart and at your feet. Life never treats anyone who strives to improve. Memory fades with the wind, flowing towards yesterday's sunshine. The cold dew passed by before frost formed on the ground. Far away, not far away, don't be afraid of your future self, there is no arm to rely on; Don't be afraid of your past self, how to live a miserable life; Only the strength to move forward now is enough to overcome unreachable dreams. The road is always at your feet, work hard, and tomorrow will definitely get better and better.
  
　　本文由黄金分析师王铭鑫独家策划，感谢广大读者对笔者文章的喜爱和支持，希望大家能从我的文章中有所收获和感悟！因文章撰写和上传具有延时性，仅供参考！王铭鑫薇/Letter（ymsd06）For gold/Investors who feel that investing in crude oil is not going smoothly or want to learn how to read and analyze the market can contact me