期市言论：国俄克拉荷马州库欣原油库存变化值连续8周录得下滑后本周录得增长

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美东时间周三，国际油价小幅收涨。截止收盘，NYMEX 8Monthly crude oilfuturesIncome increase0.28USD, increase0.69%Report40.90dollar/Bucket. Brent9Monthly crude oil futures up0.21USD, increase0.49%Report43.29dollar/Bucket.Wednesday Beijing Time(07month08day)22:30, USAEIAAccording to the published data, as of7month3Japan United StatesEIAIncrease in crude oil inventory565.4万桶，前值为下降719.5万桶，预期为下降311.40Ten thousand barrels. Record Changes in US Gasoline Inventory3month20Day and Week(16week)以来新低。美国俄克拉荷马州库欣原油库存变化值连续8After a decline in weekly records, we recorded an increase this week, and also created5month1Day and Week(10week)以来新高。美国原油进口连续3周录得下滑后本周录得增长。
今晚的库存增速远超预期和前值，环比增加逾1200万桶，但是市场的反应并不激烈。一个很重要的原因就是，库存的增加，或者说原油需求疲软早有暗示。其中最明显的就是今日凌晨公布的API报告和EIA短期能源展望。一方面，API报告显示，美国上周原油库存增加20510000 barrels to5.39亿桶，美国上周原油进口增加56.710000 barrels/日。另一方面，继连续5个月下调2020年全球原油增速预期后，EIAtake2020Expected increase in global crude oil demand growth rate in1910000 barrels/日，但增速仍处于负值状态，为-81510000 barrels/Day.
美原油技术面：
日图布林带三轨朝上缩口运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉向上，K线于布林中上间交投MA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈死叉缓和向右走平绿色动能下行放缓，KDJ三线交金叉缓和向上发散，日图行情整体还是运行于多头趋势；4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs three tracks to the right,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉向上运行，K线交投于布林中上轨交投MA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈金叉红色动能初现，KDJ三线呈金叉拐头向下运行，油价短线表现下行风险，日内操作上建议高空为主，上方初步阻力在41.6Nearby, the resistance in the next step is42.3； Preliminary support below39.6附近，近一步支撑在38.8；
Daily trading strategy（08Contract):
1: Above41.6-42.3Short selling nearby, stop loss each0.5US dollars, stop earning each200Point;
2: Below39.6-38.8Short term long trading nearby, stop loss each0.5US dollars, stop earning each300Point;
The content of the article is purely the author's remarks in the upcoming market（qsly1818）My personal opinion is that I do not recommend placing orders. The specific market situation is based on the intraday trend. There are risks in investing and caution is required when entering the market.
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