Chen Zhaoxi;7.9黄金原油现价短线交易分析及操作建议策略布局多空思路解套

　　陈召锡文章摘要：2020.7month9investmentgoldWhy is it always losing money?7.9Is gold bullish or bearish in recent trends?7.9foreign exchangeHow to untie the gold long empty single quilt cover?7.9Does the rise and fall of the US dollar have an impact on gold?7.9goldcrude oilTrend analysis and operational suggestions?7.9Is gold still bullish today?7.9How to layout the golden medium and long term line?7.9What do you think of the daily support and pressure level of gold?7.9How can beginners operate gold without losing money?7.9What do you think of gold and crude oil being bullish today?7.9How to layout the gold market after opening?




　　看着很容易的事，实际上做起来往往是很不容易的。除了少许的天份之外，大多是靠努力得来的：三分天才，七分努力。是成功不变的法则，一个不愿或不肯努力的人，比起原地踏步，还要糟糕，所以你要好好的去把握一分一秒的时刻。投资是一个长期的过程，有快乐，有心酸，甚至有时候很痛苦，但这就是投资，不仅仅是为了赚钱，更重要的是培养赚钱的意识和资金的利用方法。不管你是一个人操作还是在跟着老师操作，我希望在这些可以避免的错误上你可以不要犯错，你看到我的帖子就是一种缘分，而我是深信缘分的，我不是以分析师的身份，我是一位诚挚的朋友，也能希望尽力帮到你！




　　行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【czxi000】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




Analysis of the trend of gold market;




　　消息面分析；周三(7month8day)美元指数跌至两周最低，因美股上涨提振商品收盘方面，COMEX 8Monthly goldfuturesIncome increase0.6%Report1820.60dollar/盎司。风险偏好。由于对疫情担忧、国际紧张局势以及美元疲软，金价突破1800美元关口，现货黄金盘中一度涨1.3%, refresh2011year9From the highest point since the beginning of the month to1818.02dollar/ounce.High Ridge FuturesMetal Trading SupervisorDavid Meger表示，支撑的支柱是财政和货币刺激措施，以及流入黄金支持的交易所交易基金(ETF)和其他投资的资金；不断向市场注入流动性继续是最突出的积极因素，因为美元一直在走软，并支撑大宗商品价格，尤其是黄金和白银价格。世界黄金协会(WGC)表示，以黄金为基础的交易所交易基金(ETF)黄金持有量在2020年上半年增加了734吨，超过以往任何一整年的增持量。




　　技术面分析；黄金日线先震荡回踩10Daily line1770附近，昨日晚间美元回落，又给了黄金带来支撑动能，涨至1787附近止步回落。日线收阳，凌晨修正的低点在1779，15minute55The moving average is supported by1782/83一线，行情不排除到这里直接拉升，指标上KDJ向上拐头有交金叉的迹象，MACD快慢线高位平行，红色动能柱略微缩量。今日多头能否延续走高1788一线高点以及1792，一旦破位，多头将直指1800，相反，则多头面临受阻回落。4小时价格也是站于均线上方，KDJ高位走平，MACDFast slow line0轴上方交金叉，红色动能柱开始出现，略微放量，黄金目前仍处于多头趋势中，上方可能会继续尝试冲击1800的整数关口压力位，但不会是一帆风顺就涨上去的，可能会多次回调，走出上涨的结构才能有强势的反弹条件。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议低多顺势做多为主，高位短空为辅。上方关注1820-1825One line of resistance, pay attention below1785-1790Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【czxi000】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;




　　消息面分析；油价周三收高，因美国汽油消费显示复苏迹象，但原油库存增加和冠状病毒感染病例上升限制了油价涨幅。美国能源信息署(EIA)周三公布的数据显示，美国汽油库存减少480万桶，需求攀升至88010000 barrels/Day, for3month20日以来的最高水平。炼油厂产能利用率增加了两个百分点，但仍比去年同期低了17%左右。瑞穗能源期货主管Bob Yawgerexpress,"虽然夏季汽油库存大幅下降是健康的，但美国原油和馏分油库存确实接近历史最高纪录，这就不那么健康了。"近期，美国冠状病毒感染病例激增，使美国总病例超过300万，降低了石油需求迅速复苏的希望。全球为防止病毒蔓延而实施的封锁措施令石油需求受到打击包括OPEC、俄罗斯和其他产油国在内的OPEC+的主要部长定于下周举行会谈，讨论创纪录的减产协议。根据目前的安排，减产协议将持续到7月底，然后减产幅度将开始缩小。




　　技术面分析；原油昨日日线录得一根阴线锤头线，最高点在40.9一线，最低点在39.8一线，原油依然是多头上涨走势，1小时级别上通道式上行，接下来还有新高，亚盘40附近继续接多，今日上涨目标突破41.3压制！原油处于高位区间震荡，上涨力度虽然看似不足，但是一直处于上涨过程中，而且是在日线上涨趋势线的支撑上运行。当前在1小时级别上走上涨段，并且是通道式上涨走势，对于这种结构，此前已经强调很多遍，接下来必定还有再次强势拉升一波的可能，极大概率突破日线前高41.3压力！原油在日线级别上属于上涨楔形整理，而上当周线级别的压力则是在44-46区域内，如果原油本次上涨突破，则大概率反弹至此区域，只有达到此区域压力后，原油才能开启更大级别的调整走势。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议先空再多，上方关注41.5-41.7One line of resistance, pay attention below39.5-39.7Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【czxi000】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




　　投资注意事项有哪些？




　　1In precious metal investment, it is necessary to fully understand the risks and benefits, the probability of winning and losing money, and several major issues to prevent. If there is no clear understanding of risk prevention and buying and selling at will, losing money is inevitable. Generally, as long as strict stop loss and stop profit measures are set for orders, and light positions are placed for orders, risk can be well controlled.




　　2Knowing oneself and the enemy, one will never be defeated in a hundred battles. But in the gold market, self-awareness is paramount, and investors need to understand their own personalities, as those who are prone to impulsiveness or emotional tendencies are not suitable for this investment. Most successful investors are able to control their emotions and have strict discipline, effectively restraining themselves. So, only those who know themselves can ultimately win in the gold market.




　　3In a sense, sometimes misreading the market trend or suddenly reversing the situation after placing an order can lead to the order being trapped, which is a normal phenomenon that even experts cannot avoid. However, the stupidest behavior in decision-making and post event handling stems from the mentality of small business owners. Successful investors will not blindly follow the opinions of others. When everyone is in the same investment position, especially small investors who are also following suit, successful investors will feel dangerous and change their course.




　　4The market is real, don't be sentimental, overly yearn for the future and reminisce about the past. A senior trader said: A person full of fantasy, rich emotions, and very exposed is a beautiful and happy person, but he is not suitable for being an investor. A successful investor can separate his emotions, fantasies, and trading.



Wen/Chen Zhaoxi