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beautifulcrude oilMessage surface:
美东时间周五,国际油价小幅下跌,截止收盘,纽约8Monthly crude oilfuturesClosing down0.23USD, decline0.59%Report38.49dollar/Bucket.Brent8Monthly crude oil futures closed lower0.03USD, decline0.07%Report41.02dollar/桶。澳洲国民银行大宗商品研究主管肖(Lachlan Shaw)表示,近期局势并不利好油价,人们担心的是,即使封锁放松了也会因为潜在的健康风险而呆在家里。
花旗银行表示,OPEC+组织仍维持遏制原油供应的努力,美国页岩油产量近期出现下降,今年四季度布伦特原油期货平均目标在48dollar/Barrel,2021年四季度平均目标在61dollar/桶。相对看好2022年原油市场,原因是OPEC+组织在遵守减产协议方面做得较好,一些原油生产项目得以推迟,全球原油产量出现下降。
美国原油产量上升预期,也牵制了油价的上涨步伐。达拉斯联储对美国最大的石油和天然气生产企业高管进行的一项调查后发现,超过一半此前决定减产的高管预计,他们有望在7月底恢复部分产能。
在供应量下降的同时,沙特等国还进一步上调了原油售价。沙特阿美对亚洲客户的7月阿拉伯轻质原油官方售价较阿曼/迪拜原油每桶上涨0.20美元,伊拉克也上调面向所有买家的7月原油官方售价。
当前,欧佩克产油国石油产量的下降和定价的不确定性,开始促使亚洲买家考虑西非原油和美国原油。特别是在过去几个月里,太平洋地区运费有所下降。相对稳定的供应与低廉的运输成本为美国原油提供了新的商机。 Technical aspects of US crude oil:
日图布林带三轨朝上缓和向右运行,MA5Under the moving averageMA10均线交死金叉向下意向,KTransit between tracks in BolinMA5Below the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈死叉向右运行绿色动能微幅放量,KDJ三线呈死叉向下发散运行,日图行情表现一定震荡趋势;4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs downward with three tracks,MA5Under the moving averageMA10均线向下运行,KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Below the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方交死叉向下绿色动能有所放量,KDJ三线交死叉向下发散运行,油价短线表现一定下行势能,日内操作上建议高空为主,上方初步阻力在38.9Nearby, the resistance in the next step is39.8; Preliminary support below37.1Nearby, further support is provided36.0; Daily trading strategy(08Contract):
1: Above38.9-39.8Short selling nearby, stop loss each0.5US dollars, stop earning each200Point;
2: Below37.1-36.0Short term long trading nearby, stop loss each0.5US dollars, stop earning each300Point;
The content of the article is purely the author's remarks in the upcoming market(qsly1818)My personal opinion is that I do not recommend placing orders. The specific market situation is based on the intraday trend. There are risks in investing and caution is required when entering the market.
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