王铭鑫：黄金探底回升一轮调整结束 下周行情解析迎接大非农

交易计划可以协助你抗拒舒适的诱惑，因为交易过程中感觉最舒适的行为，往往也是错误的行为。按照计划中的进场讯号进场，按照计划中的出场讯号出场，在两个讯号之间，只是观察而不采取行动。当你习惯按照计划行事后，将成为你的第二天性，计划是一种手段，一种交易规范，防止你被疯狂的情绪吞噬。

　　

　　【一周行情简要回顾】

　　

　　gold周初在1750The US dollar fluctuated near its level, breaking its previous high on Tuesday night1765USD and hit on Wednesday1779.15dollar/Ounces, reaching a new eight year high. Afterwards, there was no sustained breakthrough, and the gold briefly broke through on Friday night1750美元到达1747一线，测试1745关口支撑，但市场关于疫情的担忧依旧形成支撑，金价之后拉升近24USD, return1760上方，收盘于1771.2USD.

　　

　　【下周交易机会一览】

　　

　　下周将公布大小非农数据，其中6monthADP就业人数预期录得增加300万人，前值为减少276万人；而非农报告预期增加300Ten thousand people, the previous value was an increase250.9万人。需要注意的是，下周最刺激的当属周四，不仅非农报告将提前于周四召开，美联储还将公布6The minutes of the monthly monetary policy meeting and the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits will also be announced on the same day.

　　

　　美联储动态方面，周三凌晨美联储主席鲍威尔和美国财长努钦将在众议院金融服务委员会上就《救助法案》作证词，周二美联储“三把手”威廉姆斯还将与IMF主席格奥尔基耶娃主持纽约经济俱乐部主办的讨论会。另外，从近日美国政府官员的表态来看，新一轮经济刺激法案可能不远了。美国财长努钦周二表示，与参议员就新法案覆盖的范围进行了讨论，可能在7月份通过新刺激方案。指导热线：ymsd06

　　

　　此外，欧洲央行行长拉加德最新讲话表示，欧盟可能不会在7month17Solstice18日的峰会上就复苏计划达成一致。此前欧盟宣布将于7month17Japan and Japan7month18日举行峰会，讨论新冠肺炎疫情后的欧盟复苏计划以及2021to2027年财政预算。

  

Gold Market Analysis

　　

　　黄金周五早间陷入区间震荡，直到美盘时段黄金向下真突破1755支撑位之后快速下行，此前的文章中也提到过，只要下破1755就要考验1745附近支撑，果不其然周五晚间美盘就出现了跳水行情破位1755Support.1745这里是10日均线和前期重要压力转支撑的位置，所以1745非常重要，一旦企稳多头仍可能继续拉升，甚至再创新高，但若日线下跌收线跌破下去的话，日线这波上涨可能就结束了，所以近期多空分水岭在1745附近，关注这里多空争夺，没跌破前还是低多为主，日线短期看还是震荡偏多格局，毕竟刚刚向上突破了大区间内没多久，仍有时间酝酿后期拉升，除非技术面跌破转变了形态，所以短期还不能认为行情转空，仍然还是震荡偏多，还是以低多为主。

　　

　　下周初黄金上方关注压1775-1779区域压制，向上突破则冲击1800大关，向下则冲击1745，企稳仍可以拉升回来，若被跌破就可能真正转空。4小时均线形态形成多头排列，此前突破1745后涨到高点1779属于第一波上涨，冲高回落后到目前为止还是第一次大的调整阶段，还不好说调整是否结束，但黄金只要在1745上方企稳就会再次拉升冲击新高，所以不跌破1745之前上涨就还没有结束，只有二次拉升冲击新高失败才有可能开始转空，当然也可能继续高位震荡蓄势后再向上突破，所以下方重点还是关注1745支撑，这里是近期多空分水岭，不跌破行情仍是震荡偏多，就仍有可能拉升新高，跌破就很可能开始转空，之后进入大幅调整。下周上方关注1775-1779压制区域；下方关注1755-1745支撑区域；高位受阻空，低位支撑有效多

　　

　　【下周初黄金操作思路】

　　

　　1、首先关注高点1775-1779区域能否被突破，如果上涨突破，代表形成新一轮上涨，可以跟进多单；若是受阻可以做一波高空

　　

　　2If gold rebounds1755区域附近或者上方企稳可布局多单                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                   
    goldKLine theory:
　　
The theory of relative position is goldKThe second largest theory of line theory. As the saying goes, oranges born in the south are called oranges, which are sweet and sweet;Born in the north, it is bitter and astringent, known as trifoliate orange. The same seeds, grown in different environments, have vastly different results. Same, exactly the sameKLines, if placed in different relative positions, have a completely different guiding effect on the future market.KThe position of the line is crucial for analysis and judgmentKLines are extremely important. goldKThe theory of relative position of lines includes the following two meanings:
　　
UsuallyKThe position of a line does not have an absolute high or low point, so we can only use relative position to represent it. This depends on an individual's judgment of the market height and requires a certain level of understanding, but we must make a simple distinction. It is generally divided into three positions: relatively high, relatively low, and halfway up the mountain. Because high and low points are not absolute, there is no need to overly demand accurate positioning, just give a rough distinction.
　　
It is generally divided into three types: upward trend, downward trend, and consolidation trend, also known as upward channel, downward channel, and horizontal consolidation. At a relatively high levelKSpecial attention should be paid to analyzing whether the main force needs to wash the market or if there is a change in the overall situation, and the main force needs to ship at a high level. Generally speaking, the main force washing the market will fluctuate sharply downwards, making it easy for people to be deceived;However, if the main force wants to ship at a high level, it will be very gentle, giving people a feeling of needing to adjust at a high level and continue to hit higher peaks. By observing and calculating the inflow and outflow of the main force's funds, it can be found. Nine out of ten retail investors compensate for this reason, always being deceived by technical data and confused by the main force. Relatively lowKGenerally, the line falls to a certain extent, so there will be a relatively low level, but whether the incoming buying is awesome depends on the subsequent trend. Low position long and short positions are usually fought back and forth, whenKThe smaller the amplitude of the line, the more reasonable the price range has been organized. At this time, the normal trading volume will be relatively low. If there is a continuous upward or downward long lead or cross star, and the trading volume starts to rise, it indicates that the market is about to change. At this moment, it is necessary to constantly pay attention. If the main funds are continuously entering but the price fluctuates little, then buy decisively, When the main force builds up their positions, they will give up suppressing prices and turn to aggressively entering the market to start pulling up, usually starting with a bullish candlestick. A sharp rise in prices is relatively important, but it should be combined withK线和成交量综合判断，价格不升不降不一定是坏事，是酝酿下一次的暴涨。关于今日的操作，本人将会在卫//letter(  ymsd06)在线指导，同步龚重浩：王铭鑫 ，准确率百分之九十以上，王铭鑫 guidance(Every day, the Asian, European, and American markets provide timely analysis and direction), free guidance
　　
Fund management is one of the core contents of trading systems, and its essence is risk management. The core logic of financial markets is that potential returns are equal to risks. Pursuing higher profit goals will inevitably face greater risks. Trading is valuable in the long run, and trading operations should pursue a balance between attack and defense. All positions and significant losses are the result of heavy attacks and light defenses. Fund management mainly involves building positions, stopping losses and profits, increasing positions and reducing positions, and so on. Here is only a brief explanation of warehouse construction. Assuming you use a1000Using USD accounts for international gold trading（XAUUSD）Margin trading, current market price is1390USD, you are considering setting the stop loss at a new high and then moving back to the previous low1381Below the US dollar1380On the position of the US dollar, the target price is considered to reach a new high1440Below the US dollar, per transaction2%Loss rule (usually recommended for classic trading)1-2%(Small funds can be adjusted accordingly), what is the amount of loss you can bear20USD（1000USD x0.02）In this way, you can only pay the market price1390Establishment of US dollars0.02Buying multiple positions by hand（20÷10）The profit and loss ratio is approximately5:1. If you use1385Set a price limit for buying orders in US dollars, and positions can be set0.04Hand（20÷5）Profit loss ratio1：10Left and right. Of course, you can also adopt the fixed position method, using a secure fixed position for each order placed over a period of time.
　　
This article is written by Wang Mingxin（ ymsd06）独家策划，感谢广大读者对笔者文章的喜爱和支持，希望大家能从我的文章中有所收获和感悟！因文章撰写和上传具有延时性，仅供参考！