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goldMessage analysis:
金价上涨,因美国单日新增病例创纪录打击股市;金价周五逆转盘中跌势上涨,新冠病毒继续在全球蔓延,美国单日新增病例数创纪录,打击风险偏好,料将推动金价周线连续第三周上涨;周文军认为由于目前新增病例数上升,投资者开始紧张起来,他们出脱股票等风险较高资产的头寸,同时将资金投入黄金和公债;美国主要stock market index下跌,指标10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has fallen to6月初以来最低,因美国单日新增病例数刷新纪录;本周迄今,金价已涨1.4%,但从周三触及的2012year10月以来最高水平略有回落,因为在新增病例数攀升的情况下,美元吸引了一些避险买盘;宽松的货币政策和主要央行为缓解疫情影响而采取的一系列刺激措施引发了人们对通胀的担忧,推动金价今年上涨了约16.5。
Analysis of Gold Market Trend:
黄金从日线上来看,黄金走势受上轨压制;黄金本周触及逾七年半高点,但未能守住涨势,需要警惕下跌风险。周五黄金短线刺破MA5日均线后受到MA10日均线快速回升,持于反弹阶段中,下周或将继续持续反弹走势,日线布林带三轨继续保持开口向上延伸涨势,并且5日均线跟随金价上行的脚步为金价提供支撑,其他各期均线同样维持上探的多头排列,MACD快慢线继续金叉上扬,红色能量柱持稳,KDJ高位金叉,指数位于80附近,整体来看,周文军认为日线依旧是多头占据优势。从四小时来看,黄金触及布林带下轨1755After a wave of pullback, after a strong rebound at the end of Friday, the gold price regained stability above the middle track of the Bollinger Belt, but also narrowed and leveled in the three tracks of the Bollinger Belt,MA5/MA10The daily moving average forms a golden cross upwards, and gold has held onto the bullish trend, making it temporarily unable to guide downwards,KDJAfter the dead cross, it forms a golden cross, with the random indicator pointing upwards and the speed line between20A golden fork rises near the axis,MACD快慢线高位死叉运行,虽然绿能释放但是节奏缓慢,整体来看,4小时金价偏向上涨。综合来看,下周一短线操作思路上周文军个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1780-1785Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1755Frontline support.
1The rebound above the gold does not break1780-1782Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1768-1766frontline;
2Under the gold, it cannot be broken by stepping back1760-1762Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1773-1775frontline;
crude oilMarket trend analysis:
由于美国部分州新例不断增加,全球经济和地缘局势动荡的加剧,限制了油价上涨。油价运行于布林带上轨与中轨之间;MACD死叉但动能较弱,且KDJ死叉。目前油价回落40关口下方,尽管日内走高,但若不能重返该关口上方,后续料进一步走低。下方支撑先简单留意布林带中轨37.09,若下破则看向布林带下轨32.64附近;强支撑位下看60Daily moving average29.13,这同时也是油价在4month3日测试的高点。上行阻力位先看向41.63,这与布林带上轨几近重合,同时也是3month9日跳空下跌以来的最高点,有较强阻力;若上破则看向200Daily moving average44.50附近。进一步阻力位留意3High point at the beginning of the month48.66And may even test2month20Daily high point54.66。
From a four hour perspective,MACD死叉、但绿柱持续减弱,KDJThe golden cross and index are located at60。技术面看,油价短线偏向多头,但想要进一步打开上行空间,首先要突破布林带中轨的压制。上行阻力方面,先留意布林带中轨39.44,强阻力位上看41.63,这是本周触及高点,同时也接近布林带上轨。一旦上破,将进一步打开上行空间。下行方面先留意38.23附近,强支撑下看37.00关口。进一步支撑位留意200average35.20And may even go undercover6month15Daily low point34.36。综合来看,下周一操作短线思路上周文军个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注39.0-39.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below37.5-37.0Frontline support.
Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:
1The rebound above the crude oil does not break39.3-39.5Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target38.2-38.0frontline;
2Unable to break under the crude oil37.0-37.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target38.3-38.5frontline;
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Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
全方位指导老师:周文军分析团队
撰稿人:周文军
Guide WeChat(zwj964646)
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