6.24黄金多头上涨无力，原油回调深多单继续进，午间操作建议布局

　　前言：对于想学习现货知识的朋友，我很赞同。我个人认为投资朋友在投资的过程中提高自身能力，用自己所掌握的技术知识来分析及操作，并乐在其中，爱上这个投资而不是恐惧。恐惧是因为没有实力没有判断力。我比较崇尚那些在老师指导的过程中去慢慢学习掌握常用的技术指标（均线、MACD、KDJ、支撑位、阻力位等）结合基本面来进行分析行情走势及具体的操作点位，逐步地提高自己的综合分析能力，并锻炼自己的心态。慢慢一步步成长起来，毕竟投资是一个长期的过程。正所谓授之以鱼不如授之以渔


　　crude oilMarket analysis


　　上海原油主力合约SC2008To298.6element/桶收平，距离4month13Richuang3month10Daily high304.9element/桶不远。油市供需两端均存利好，但美国和其他地方不断膨胀的病毒病例阻止了价格上涨。OPEC+正在强化减产协议的执行，尼日利亚提交满足OPEC+石油产量配额的计划，欧佩克+已经收到了加蓬，安哥拉和文莱的石油产量计划。此外，印度将战略石油储备（SPR）增加至最高水平。阿布扎比国家石油公司ADNOC CEO表示，预计下半年石油需求将继续复苏，OPEC+减产协议提振了石油市场的信心，在最近几周看到了石油市场趋紧的迹象，看到全球石油需求正在复苏，特别是在中国和亚洲，因经济已开始重启。美国银行全球研究机构上调了对今明两年油价的预测，原因是需求复苏，而欧佩克+减产协议限制了供应，且产油国减少了资本支出。OPEC和俄罗斯等盟友尚未决定是否将97010000 barrels/日的创纪录减产延续到第四个月，因此减产将持续到8月底。俄罗斯表示，40to50dollar/桶的价格是合理的。


Analysis of International Crude Oil Prices:


　　原油表现相当强势，价格已经突破前高，最高41.3，离强压41.6还差一点距离，但是市场已经进入关键压力区。早间开盘后下跌走回调，今天强压已经上移至42Gateway, 40.1这里是日内一个关键支撑位，进一步下跌关键支撑需要看至39.5Within the day39.5/40.1构筑了关键支撑范围，由于早间股市跳水带动商品下跌，加上原油进入关键压力范围，宽幅震荡整理是难免的。尽管短线原油偏多，但是经济复苏的预期可能慢于预期，同时疫情二次蔓延的风险可能会加剧这种不确定性。与此同时，随着油价持续走高可能导致部分厂商增产，加剧油市平衡的压力。今博认为，市场需要密切关注OPEC+此前未达标产油国的减产执行情况，尽管这些产油国近期承诺达标提振了市场的乐观情绪，但是这些产油国尚没有付出实际行动，同时如果他们持续不达标可能会加剧OPEC+内部的分歧，甚至可能导致减产协议再次破裂。综合分析，短线操作上关注新高做空的机会，上方关注42-42.3Pressure level, pay attention below39.5-39Support.


Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:


　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break41.8-41Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target39.5-39.3frontline;


　　2The downward correction of crude oil does not break39-39.5Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target40.5-41.3frontline;


　　3The market is constantly changing, and the points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market should be cautious. For more details, please follow Wang Jinbo's personal website||Wei:wjb9393；


　　goldMarket analysis


　　（6month23Japanese goldT+DClosing up0.02%to394.26element/Gram; silverT+DClosing down0.47%to4268element/千克，一度涨逾1%。现货黄金升至1756dollar/盎司附近，尽管没有再创新高，但仍保持在一个月高位水平，美元指数创一周新低，最新调查显示，经济学家们认为受到疫情影响，美联储将需要为经济提供长期的支撑。长期维持低利率令贵金属下方空间有限，中期则受全球央行货币宽松支撑，我们倾向于认为金银将伴随通胀预期的回归再度走强。德国商业银行表示，基金经理开始重建黄金futures的净看涨头寸，避险资金从股市流入黄金。


Analysis of International Gold Price:


　　黄金技术面来看，黄金从日线上来看，昨日继续收阳，目前布林带三轨开口朝外发展，各期均线多头排列，macd高位金叉打开且灵动指标sto勾头向上修复，可以看出当前的多头上涨非常强势，此前1745的压力在突破后就成为现在最重要的支撑，今日行情预计还是在次上方进行震荡，不过值得注意的是昨日初步试探前期高点1765后展开回落，说明上方1765仍是有效压制，若金价不能有效破位，不排除后市形成双顶后开启下跌模式，所以日线级别谨慎看涨！不过昨日4After the hourly single positive rally, there was no accompanying continuous positive rise, and the negative line was corrected by oscillation. The short-term upward trend could slightly slow down, and some space had already been taken back yesterday. In additionKDJThe third line turns downwards,RSI指标超买区域拐头向下，暗示金价仍需要调整，不排除探高后进行回踩修正，边修正边蓄势的上涨走法。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王今博个人建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注1772-1774Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1758-1760Frontline support.


Suggestions for Gold Operations:


　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1771-1774Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1758-1760frontline;


　　2The pullback below the gold does not break1755-1758Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1768-1770frontline;


　　3、策略仅供参考，盘间行情实时变化具体进场点位以王今博レ，亻言：（wjb9393）The actual offer shall prevail;


　　今博寄语


　　做投资，别惦记让自己一夜暴富，同样也要让自己值钱，在投资的过程中，培养自己的心态，提升自己内心的历练，从容，勿贪，勿躁，在投资时，你如果在迷茫，那么就是想的太多，做的太少，你为什么会套单，因为你贪，你为什么不赚钱，因为你想太多，该出的时候不出，盈利时让你欣喜若狂，亏损的时候让你心急如焚。


In fact, many investors have a chance to turn around after losing money, but they have been hit too hard by their own psychology and find it difficult to accept at the moment. In fact, investment friends like this have a complete opportunity as long as they are strong enough in their hearts not to be overwhelmed by temporary difficulties. If they are not strong enough in their hearts, they may have to bear the pain of failure. After all, when investing, as an investor, whether it's a temporary loss or gain, we need to have a strong mentality and a high degree of vigilance. When investing, we also look at long-term returns. Today's profits do not mean you can also make profits tomorrow, and today's losses do not mean you will continue to lose tomorrow. Only by maintaining a sense of awe can we better control this investment.


This article is written by Wang Jinbo (WeChat:wjb9393---Official account: Wang Jinbo), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trend, and have in-depth research on crude oil, gold, silver and other bulk commodities. Due to the delay of online push, the above content is personal advice, and because the online posting is timely, it is only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting