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美东时间周一,国际金价小幅收涨,收复1760The US dollar barrier.As of closing, New York Mercantile Exchange goldfuturesThe most active market trading8Monthly gold futures price22Daily increase compared to the previous trading day13.4US dollars, closing at per ounce1766.4USD, up by0.76%。分析师指出,金价的第一个支撑来自负收益率。上周五,从美国通胀保值债券(TIPS)表现来看,10年期美国债券的实际收益率(名义收益率减去通货膨胀率)降至今年以来的新低,低于-0.6%This is from2013年以来的最低点。支撑金价的因素还有,投资者担忧疫情在世界范围内迟迟得不到有效控制,进而再度大规模爆发。
DailyFX.comanalystDaniel Dubrovsky表示,尽管黄金正在测试区间的顶部,但需要新的催化剂才能突破。他补充说,股市走弱可能引发黄金新的上涨趋势。他说,他本周关注的一个重大风险事件是国际货币基金组织(IMF)将于周三发布的最新预测。Dubrovsky在周六的一份报告中表示:“IMF将更新2020年的增长前景,而这些前景可能仍然令人沮丧。”“如果没有股市下跌的冲击,金价似乎会继续在没有方向的交易中挣扎。”
上周五,高盛突然发布报告上调对黄金价格的预期——即金价将在未来一年内触及2000dollar/盎司,原因是实际利率处于低位、美元走软以及投资者担心新冠肺炎危机引发货币竞争性贬值等。“高盛的报告来得恰逢其时。” Jim Wyckoff直言,当时金融市场正在担心美国疫情卷土重来与美股高估值风险,因此纷纷抛售美股资产转投黄金避险。 Technical aspects of Meijin:
日图布林带三轨平行向右运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉开口向上发散,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴附近交金叉运行红色动能弱势放量,KDJ三线呈金叉向右运行,日图行情整体呈现震荡偏强格局;4小时图上,布林带开口向上运行,MA5均线呈金叉拐头向下,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5\MA10Between moving averages,MACD快慢线呈金叉缩口朝右运行红色动能逐步缩量,KDJ三线初交死叉向下发散,金价短线有一定的回落风险,日内操作上建议回落低多为主。上方初步阻力在1775Nearby, the resistance in the next step is1792; Preliminary support below1756Further support on1740; Daily trading strategy(08Contract): 1Above1775-1792Short selling nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each300Point; 2Below1756-1740Short term long trading nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each200Point;
The content of the article is purely the author's remarks in the upcoming market(qsly1818)My personal opinion is that I do not recommend placing orders. The specific market situation is based on the intraday trend. There are risks in investing and caution is required when entering the market. writing/Market comments