Li Yushan:6.22黄金高开是否会下跌/原油还会上涨吗

dogoldandcrude oil，大多数投资者会受到行情的涨跌影响操作思路，坚守初心，方得始终，说的貌似简单，但是能做到的少之又少，这也就是为什么市场大多数人亏损的原因，短线操作大家存在一个误区，做空怕涨，做多怕跌，大家要知道没有人能够每次操作最低位做多，最高位做空，短线都会有一定的波动，但是大部分人盯着盘面，当行情与进场方向相反运行，并未到达止损位时，一味地担心只会改变初衷，频繁的离场和进场也只会加大止损，所以，原则性很重要，按照最开始的策略，没有到达止损位坚定持有，一旦行情突破或者跌破阻力以及支撑，短线及时调整策略，顺势跟进，如果对于自己操作存在问题的话，欢迎跟随李昱山的操作策略，严格去进行，能够保持长久稳定的盈利！！
　　
　　-----Analysis of Today's Gold Market-----
　　
　　因流动性需求若隐若现叠加避险需求回升支撑美元走高，因此本周前四个交易日黄金维持震荡走势，且一度跌至1700美元关口附近。不过因为美联储总体基调偏鸽，因此黄金仍总体维持在1700美元上方。总体而言，市场情绪主导近期市场的走势。一方面因为经济重启，全球经济数据改善提振股市施压黄金。但是另一方面，疫情二次蔓延仍令投资者持有黄金。但是随着黄金futures净多仓跌至一年多低点且疫情引发的二次封锁忧虑升温，部分基金经理开始重新买入，而上周黄金ETF持仓更是猛增逾20吨，凸显买需逐步回升，这推动周五黄金迅速走高。因此近期仍需关注全球经济数据表现和市场持仓的变化，同时还需留意疫情的进展以及美元的走向。
　　
　　黄金上周震荡后出现上涨，周一至周四维持窄幅震荡，周五强势上涨，刷新周内高点1745，周线收阳线。日线图看，1754是关键压力位，4-6月份连续压制，而本周五大阳报收，加上黄金和美元同步上涨，这就说明市场避险再次起来。黄金日线图显示出非常乐观的景象，但关键阻力1754.30一线阻力仍未突破。由于MACD直方图为绿色且信号线位于中间水平上方，因此指标均向上移动。相对强度指数稳固地高于50，黄金本周仍有上升空间。目前由于1745是前期关键阻力，几次触及都没有上破，正常情况应该破位，但是没破位之前又不太适合在阻力直接追多。所以周一开盘以及开盘之后的强弱就比较关键，如果特别强1739上方运行，激进及可直接多。如果正常走势，可能会给到1732附近做多的点位，若行情继续震荡，那就还是会本周的震荡区间。若1745一旦上破，多头上方就可以看1754-1765附近。综合来看操作思路上李昱山个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1750-1755Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1722-1726一线支撑。关于黄金实时操作，本人已经公布，准确率百分之九十以上，详情可以质询李昱山/Wei\杏（lysa1918），全是免费。等你来检验。
　　
　　-----Analysis of Today's Crude Oil Market-----
　　
　　本周美原油持续走高，五个交易日中四个交易日收阳，且周五续刷3个半月新高，因OPEC+仍在积极的减产，且燃料油需求有所回升，因此抵消了疫情对于需求的负面影响，推动油价反弹。包括顶级的大宗商品贸易公司托克集团和国际能源署都上调了需求预期，同时美国6month19The total number of oil drilling in the current week has dropped to189口，续刷纪录新低。但是分析人士指出，由于疫情造成了需求的永久性损失，需求复苏可能要慢于市场的预期，俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克表示，原油需求可能需要2-3年才能复苏。同时随着油价升至三个半月高点部分美原油厂商可能会考虑增产，这也将削弱OPEC+减产的努力。最重要的是疫情存在着二次蔓延的风险，一旦导致再次封锁，这对于原油需求将是致命的。OPEC+Will be on7month15日再次开会，届时将提出下一轮减产规模建议，市场需保持关注。技术面上，美原油仍总体承压于此前的跳空缺口，短时间上行压力依旧明显。但是周线来看，呈现两阳夹一阴的走势，一旦出现任何的利多因素可能会推动油价回补缺口。
　　
　　从日线来看，震荡上涨；KDJGolden cross, random indicator with a tick up,MACDThe golden fork continues and the red energy column remains stable. Currently, the Bollinger Belt has three upward lines and the moving average is long, indicating that the strength of crude oil withdrawal is not strong, and it is expected to continue to rise in the future;KThe continuous low point of the line has moved up, reversing this week's decline. The first point we need to pay attention to below is still on the middle track of the Bollinger Belt37.5Nearby support, which has failed to break and rebound multiple times in a row, coupled with the impact of positive news, proves that the position is strong and will continue to move upwards in the future; The focus above is still on attention40.5的压力位，破位该位置阻力将继续上行。从4From an hourly perspective, high and narrow amplitude oscillations;KDJLow level golden cross random indicator turning head upwards;MACDThe red energy pillar of the golden fork remains stable, and currently the Bollinger Belt is turning upwards, indicating that crude oil is leaning towards a fluctuating upward trend; Crude oil belongs to the recent band adjustment, which has been mentioned multiple times. There is no market that only falls but does not rise, and the trend always passes through repeated cycles. No matter how the trend changes, the overall direction remains unchanged. Bullish adjustment is our main idea, and the current market has once again strongly pulled up and broken through daily highs40.5，否则我们不能随意的进行高空的思路。综合来看操作短线思路上李昱山个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注40.0-40.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.5-38.0一线支撑。操作建仓把握不准，TAO单焦急的朋友可连线笔者倌薇：lysa1918，行情瞬息万变，更多实时策略公.many.号李昱山盘中指导给出。
　　
A downward trend does not speak for its bottom, and an upward trend does not speak for its top. Be good at observing and waiting for opportunities to come. A market trend that can be understood is always hard to come by. Do not trade market trends that you cannot understand, nor do you think it is necessary to trade in every band. Most traders in the market will miss out on it70%The market situation is different in terms of the energy, market knowledge, and trading skills that each investor can control. Don't expect every profit in the market to be earned, and don't expect others to earn as much as they earn. There are always many trading opportunities that match your personality and your ability to interpret the market. Seize these and let go of other trading opportunities that are not suitable for you.