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Investment is a long-term strategy, not overnight, so it should not be rushed. Even if you lose money now, there's nothing to be afraid of. As long as you make the right choice, what you lose will come back. Smart people always go together, seize the opportunity to make orders and grasp the market trends, in order to win all battles. Whether we succeed or fail, we all understand that life requires a good mindset. The progress and progress of life, as well as the quality of life, sometimes depend on our mindset. Effort is an outcome, and giving up is also an outcome. Just different moods, with different results, your smiling sky is blue, and your crying sky is cloudy. Learning to invest requires a good mindset. To live a good life, you need a good mindset, which sometimes determines the success or failure of your investment. Zhou Jinrui guides WeChat(zjr5857)!
goldMarket trend analysis
近期限制黄金的一个因素是黄金futures的净多仓跌至了一年多的最低水平,因为相当一部分长期多单选择获利了结,且略高于黄金ETFThe net inflow level poses pressure on gold. Analysts at Commerzbank in Germany pointed out that as of6month9During the current week, its net long position decreased to91000Zhang Contract, for2019year5The lowest level since the beginning of the month, and more importantly, this is the fifth decline in holdings in the past six weeks. This sale is equivalent to172Tons of gold, actually slightly exceeding the same period of goldETFThe inflow of. If we take into account the current weak demand in Asia, we can see why gold prices have been in the recent1745The US dollar is constantly struggling. However, with the secondary spread of the epidemic and the increasing pressure of the global economic downturn, fund managers have begun to repurchase their long positions in gold. According to data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission6month16During the current week, speculators traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange(COMEX)Increase in net long positions in gold15766Hand to143070Hand. On the other hand, gold continues to break new historical highsETFThe holdings recorded a significant increase driven by last week's safe haven buying. cut-off6month19The largest gold in the world todayETF-SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings1159.31Tons, increased from the previous trading day23.09Tons. Overall, with the recent influx of bargain-hunting and the rebound in gold holdings from more than a year low, it is expected to continue to support gold prices. Zhou Jinrui believes that although the risk of a second outbreak of the epidemic has led to a rebound in market risk aversion, overall, as countries continue to restart their economies and improve economic data, this has limited the rise of gold. Pay attention to "Zhou Jinrui" and you can get the latest operational suggestions in real-time. Welcome to inquire!
The bearish trend of the gold daily trend has not changed temporarily, and the pullback has not been in place. Following this trend, there may be further range fluctuations to digest. Different cycles may have different interpretations, but from a fundamental perspective, the establishment trend of gold's right shoulder is still the main direction for the future. Gold1744.1Under pressure for resistance, overall, it follows a range1710-1745Shock.4In the early hours, gold began to fluctuate and fall, and rebounded after hitting a new low. After breaking through the medium track in the short term, it fell back and still ran below the medium track. Currently, the Bollinger Belt is in a flat period,MA5The daily line is about to communicate withMA10Helical shaped golden fork,KDJRandom indicator three lines up, reaching overbought,MACDThe green kinetic energy column of the indicator continues to shrink, with the fast and slow lines parallel forward. Gold is currently operating below the mid rail and is hindered by1745There is still a possibility of impact at the checkpoint position, but the current technical level has reached its peak and is facing a retreat in the short term. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for today's gold market. Last week, Jinrui personally suggested a rebound in high altitude as the main approach, supplemented by a pullback in long positions, with a focus on short-term operations above1750-1755Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1729-1725Frontline support. Everyone who is trading wants to make a profit, which is beyond doubt, but the premise is that you need to find the right direction. If you need help, you can contact Zhou Jinrui's official guide WeChat(zjr5857)Get real-time guidance. Welcome to inquire!
crude oilMarket trend analysis
The latest released data shows that the United States6month19The total number of oil drilling in the current week has dropped to189Mouth, lower than expected194.3Mouth, continuously breaking record lows, highlights the lack of investment and pressure on oil prices faced by US crude oil producers to cut drilling to save costs. The market expects the breakeven oil price of US crude oil producers to be55USD. US Energy Information Administration(EIA)In the latest version of the "Drilling Productivity Report", it is stated that the oil production of the seven most productive shale basins in the United States will decrease to763.210000 barrels/Day, this will be2018year7The lowest level since the beginning of the month. Although it is expected that the average production of drilling rigs will increase from6Of the month772bucket/Increase daily to7Of the month798bucket/Day. However, the continuous decline in the number of drilling rigs has offset the impact of drilling rig efficiency on production. It is expected that7The production of all seven basins will decrease in the month,Eagle FordThe absolute yield of has decreased the most, resulting in a decrease in production2.810000 barrels/Day, followed byAnadarkoandNiobrara. Calculated as a percentage,AnadarkoThe basin experienced the largest decline, with5.9%, followed byNiobraraBasin, with a decrease of3.9%. The Permian Basin, the most productive basin to date, is expected to be the least affected basin in percentage terms7Monthly oil production will decrease7000Barrel, decrease by0.2%. Expected this year7In January, the oil production in the Permian Basin will decrease to426.310000 barrels/Day. Simultaneously anticipating7Month,AppalachiaBasin andHaynesvilleExpected average daily decline in the basin1000bucket/Day. In the past few months, US oil production has been steadily declining, from3High reached in mid month131010000 barrels/Day, down to as of6month5Day of the week111010000 barrels/Day. The market expects that the situation of continued decline in US crude oil production in the short term may continue, which will also support oil prices for a period of time.
Looking at the daily crude oil trend, it fluctuates and rises;KDJDead cross, random indicator ticks up,MACDDead cross, reduced green energy column, currently the Bollinger Belt has three lines upward and the moving average is arranged in multiple positions, indicating that the strength of crude oil withdrawal is not strong, and it is expected to continue to rise in the future;KThe line has closed positive for three consecutive days, reversing the decline in oil prices. The first point we need to pay attention to below is still on the middle track of the Bollinger Belt38.0The nearby support has not been broken twice in a row, which proves that the support at this position is strong. The focus above is still on attention40.4The pressure level at which the resistance is broken is expected to continue to strengthen, and further resistance is expected to41.0Nearby, breaking the resistance at this position increases the bullish signal in the midline. crude oil4From an hourly perspective,VType rebound;KDJThe high position initially forms a dead fork, and the random index is gently downward;MACDThe golden cross, the red energy column is shrinking, indicating that the short-term upward trend of crude oil is insufficient. Next, there will be a trend of oscillation and retreat. Below, pay attention to the middle track of the Bollinger Belt37.0First line support position, further support at35.0Nearby. Due to the current leveling of the Bollinger Belt's three tracks,MA5andMA10It is still a golden cross upward, and the moving average is still biased towards the long end arrangement. Pay attention to the resistance on the upper track above39.5Nearby, it is also the high point of the overnight rebound, and it tends to fluctuate and fall during the day before failing to fall at that position. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today. Last week, Jinrui personally suggested a rebound in high altitude as the main approach, supplemented by a pullback in long positions, with a focus on short-term operations above40.5-41.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.5-38.0Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry points and timing of closing profits, Zhou Jinrui guides WeChat(zjr5857)Will be provided in real time, welcome to inquire!
Looking at every fluctuation in the market, we should avoid greed and panic, and not strive to become experts in selling top and buying bottom. Instead, we should take advantage of the situation and make steady profits. I am deeply touched by the words: where there is a home, there is no money to make; where there is money to make, there is no home; where there is money to make, there is no soul to stay; and where there is a home, there is no body to stay. So, if you can still work and earn money in your hometown, and lie at home and make a living, you must cherish this happiness, because what you are enjoying is something that others dream of not being able to do.
The financial market is fair to everyone, and since someone loses money, someone must make money. But there is really no shortcut to making a profit in investment. Only like an ascetic monk, he works hard every day and accumulates diligently. In addition to providing some investment experience and learning methods, Zhou Jinrui's analysis team hopes to find like-minded investment friends to learn and discuss together. Zhou Jinrui wishes all investment friends a break from the fate of losing money, and I also hope to have better opportunities to help investors take it to the next level!
Establish a fundamental change model to assess market sentiment changes and determine trends. More than ten years of technical analysis and judgment on short-term details. I have in-depth and unique insights into major global financial markets such as the foreign exchange market, gold market, oil market, stock market, and bond market. This article is written by Zhou Jinrui, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. I hope the price is worth it, and the value is worth it; Due to the delayed nature of the article strategy; Consult Zhou Jinrui(zjr5857) Obtain the latest real-time market analysis. |
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