Zhou Hongjin:6.20黄金刷新高点，原油冲高回落-下周黄金原油行情走势预判操作策略

Summary:goldTrend analysis, gold trading strategy, gold market analysiscrude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
　　
　　投资本身没有风险，失控的投资才有风险，不要用你的侥幸去挑战行情，运气这东西是有，碰上一次别再去奢望第二次，学会止损，千万别和亏损谈恋爱，止损远比盈利重要，因为任何时候保住本金永远都是第一位的，盈利才是第二位；止损的最终目的是保存实力，提高资金利用率和效率，避免小错铸成大错，甚至导致全军覆没，止损不能规避风险，但可以避免遭到更大的意外风险，所以止损技巧是每个投资者都应该掌握的，鸿金提示，止损就是投资的生命线，不要因小失大最后得不偿失，记住一句话，当你真正懂得如何去控制风险才是你扭亏为盈的时候。
　　
Message interpretation:
　　
　　6month20日纽市盘中，金价大涨，现货黄金一度涨逾20USD, refresh6month2The highest point since the beginning of the day1745.26dollar/盎司，因新增确诊病例数的攀升引发了人们对出现第二波疫情的担忧，投资者在买入黄金寻求避险。因市场对需求复苏将尽早使市场平衡的预期增强，加之欧佩克产油国及其盟友誓言遵守减产承诺，油价周五盘中出现强劲上涨：美国WTIcrude oil7monthfutures价格现报39.15dollar/Barrel, increase0.23%Touched at one point in the session40.60dollar/桶的高点；
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
　　技术面来看，美元指数冲高回落，美国劳动力市场的复苏似乎停滞不前，全球感染人数增加继续激发了对黄金的避险买盘，金价企稳于日线布林线中轨上方，日线布林线轨道维持水平运行，MACDRandomized indicators tend to flatten out,KDJ金叉，周四金价一度刷新本周高点触及1738.15后快速回落，指示上行动能相对有限，短线需要警惕进一步回调的风险，周三低点1713.2This is where the initial support is located below,3month9The daily high is supported by1703.39附近，若失守该位置，则金价可能进一步试探布林线下轨1694.55附近支撑，若进一步下破，则金价可能进一步跌向6month5Daily low point1670.98附近，该位置在4月中旬多次被测试，支撑相对较强；但是总体而言，全球抗疫局势依旧严峻，在疫苗出现之前，任何好转的消息对于金价的打压有限，若金价坚守1703附近支撑，则后市仍然存在进一步走高的可能，周四高点1738.15是上方初步阻力所在，若突破该位置，则金价将进一步试探上周四高点1744.73附近阻力；布林线上轨阻力在1754.55附近，鸿金认为金价需要突破该位置才能打开新的上涨空间；
　　
　　综合来看，鸿金认为，尽管金价迟迟未能突破1750At the critical point, but it is expected that after a period of stability, the gold price will still rise. The gold price has not yet broken through1750dollar/盎司的阻力水平，但整个黄金市场仍然在多年高位附近的震荡区域里。从过去几年金价走势来看，黄金市场在为突破做准备。最终而言，黄金多头面对的关键问题在于通胀如何表示。为应对卫生事件，全球各国央行和政府都大举宽松，进行各种刺激项目。此外经贸问题影响下，全球化也面临挑战，这意味着通胀变得更重要。在这种情况下，在实际利率依然极为低迷的背景下，黄金有足够支撑，金价长线仍需看涨；短线来看，金价仍处于三角收敛形态，所以下周一操作思路上周鸿金zh66646My personal suggestion is to sell high and sell low;
　　
Focus on resistance above:1744.73、1754.55；
　　
Focus on support below:1724.86；1713.20；
　　
Real time market changes, strategy for reference only, consult Zhou Hongjin for real-time entry and exit points and medium to long term layout!
　　
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
　　
　　技术面来看，因石油输出国组织(OPEC)产油国及其盟友誓言遵守减产承诺，且有两家大型石油经贸商称需求在强劲复苏，给油价提供支撑，油价延续周四涨势，日线林线轨道开始收口，MACDDead cross but weak kinetic energy,KDJ重新结成金叉，周五盘中，油价在刷新逾一周高点40.6dollar/Back of the bucket falling close2美元，指示上行动能依旧有限，油价短线存在筑顶回调的风险；下周首先关注40.6Nearby resistance, if breaking through, look up3month6Daily low point41.05Nearby resistance, located on the upper edge of the gap with a low opening in the sky, and close to the Bollinger Line track. Once broken, it will greatly boost the bullish sentiment in the market, further increasing resistance levels3month2Daily low point43.32；不过卫生事件二次蔓延的风险仍限制油价的涨幅，同时部分非OPEC产油国开始放松减产的力度，总体而言油价仍在测试此前跳空缺口所在的位置，油价需要突破并企稳41.05Only above can a new upward space be opened. If oil prices are under pressure again at this position, we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of a peak correction in oil prices,5Daily moving average38.30This is the initial support below, and if it breaks below this level, it weakens the short-term bullish signal;20The daily moving average is supported by36.72附近，若下破该位置，则增加短线看空信号；布林线中轨支撑在35.75附近，该位置不失，中线看涨不变；综合来看，下周一操作思路上周鸿金zh66646个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
Focus on resistance above:40.60、41.05；
　　
Focus on support below:38.30、36.72；
　　
Real time market changes, strategy for reference only, consult Zhou Hongjin for real-time entry and exit points and medium to long term layout!
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
　　三、体验福利：凡是有意向咨询合作的投资朋友，便于后期合作互相信任，可凭实仓截图体验3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
　　
　　四、关于解ㄒ：因为周鸿金不知你的ㄒ单点位、仓位风险等具体ㄒ单情况，不能给出相应的解ㄒ策略。那么有需要的朋友可以咨询周鸿金或者关注“周鸿金”在此本人还是建议各位投资朋友以后做单不要抗单，仓位不要过重，避免下次再ㄒ，不是每次都是可以成功解ㄒ，不是每次都顺心如意，每一次的做单是应该有计划的做单，详情解ㄒ思路周鸿金将会在实盘实时在线给出，风险掌控及后续方案将会做出规划。
　　
Good fund management is the foundation for maintaining a stable trading mindset. Investors holding large positions are like pedestrians with heavy burdens on their shoulders, and a slight obstacle on the road is enough to make them fall. The fundamental reason is that his holdings have become a burden for him, exceeding his ability to bear it. So, why do investors engage in transactions beyond their ability?是因为获利的欲望令其不能正确的评判自己，他已经陷入利润的陷阱之中。在利润光环的诱惑下，他已看不见亏损的陷阱。亏损的陷阱一般都在暗处，而利润却光芒万丈，当投资者大持仓进场后他就会立即发现到处充满亏损的陷阱，进场前的良好愿望瞬间被市场的波动所击碎，他会发现市场远不是他想象的那样顺，此时，获利的欲望已经成为他的灾难，大量的持仓已经成为巨额负担，资金管理不当造成的心态问题开始暴露。资金管理仅仅是保持良好交易心态的基础，但远不是全部。鸿金认为保持好的交易心态的关键是正确理解亏损，这才是最关键的。没有不成功的投资，只有不成功的操作！解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资趋势，对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友，订阅“周鸿金”zh66646你给我一份信任，我还你十分财富。下半年中长线布局开始，大好机遇就在眼前，机会是留给有准备的人，周鸿金期待与你成为朋友！
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