章华：6.19黄金走势分析反弹1733空，原油操作建议

　　6month19日（周五）讯 隔夜，美国劳工部公布的数据显示，至6month13日当周的美国初请失业金人数显示150.8万，高于普遍预期的130万，截至目前，过去13周的初请失业金人数突破了4600万人，美股也因此而下跌。总体而言，对于疫情和全球经济的担忧以及地缘政治风险仍支撑着伦敦金。

　　金价周四小幅下跌，投资者在等待美联储官员发表更多评论之际，一方面权衡美元走强，同时也在权衡美国新冠病例增加的情况。数据显示美国上周初请失业金人数下降，鉴于美国至少有9个州的新增确诊冠状病毒病例数持续增加，使人担心这些州可能重新实行封锁和社交隔离措施，风险投资偏好有所萎缩。全球经济复苏面临的持续风险，特别是最近美国新增病例数激增的情况，继续支撑gold价格走势；不过，缺乏实货需求可能会让黄金在短期内陷于1700-1750dollar/盎司的区间内。

Gold

　　黄金周四没有走出单边，依旧是区间震荡，不过拉开了周初的小区间，扩大至1738-1716have20美金力度，由于是先涨后跌走震荡，终收线自1722附近。昨日冲高后留出上影线，日内周线收官。短线倾向走回落收低。在不二次突破1737.50高点前，此位形成短期空头防守点，日图在此位之下继续看回调修正。当然节奏还是伴随震荡式的。空间可大可小，小一点1717-1712，大一点1703-1700One area.

Gold4小时来看，高位压制下跌；KDJ死叉随机指标向下发散；MACD死叉延续绿色能量柱放量，指示黄金上涨不足，接下来有望扩大回撤之势；下方先留意1710短线支撑。从短线来看，目前黄金相对看还是比较偏弱，再度反弹的可能性也不能排除。1The hourly chart temporarily entered a local oscillation,K线钝化无明显单边，只是昨日冲高后，临界点之下相对偏空一些，但空间得边走边看，均线指标依旧凌乱发散。等待进一步的单边指引。K线结构而言，布林收口严谨，区间非常明显，可看在1720/1732内，此区间符合交易范围，前一日冲高回落收低，日内开盘价格在1728下方，短线可以在1722多一次。防守放在1717即可，若上破则在1732-1733一带继续空一次。下方看1720-1716，整体看在1737.50高点下方震荡回落。

　　建议早盘1722先直接多一次，防守1718, Objective1728-1730；

　　建议若反弹则在1730-1732间再空次，防守放在1737.5, Objective1720-1716unchanged

　　crude oil：

Crude oil rebounded from its low point yesterday and broke through the previous day's high, holding onto the lower track of the triangular range37.0.Exploring and rebounding, accumulating energy to break through the high, 尾盘时段二次回踩后不破低点，最终上破高点延续摸高。日图中阳线收在高位。日图轻微止跌完成修正，有二次冲高之势。趋势依旧看涨，短线一旦修正结束。则会继续去蓄势摸高。

　　4小时伴随连续的下探回升启稳，昨晚尾盘在37.60Breakthrough of stability in the Belt and Road Initiative38.40.突破口转换成支撑，而回踩低点即是今日的多头临界点，由于上破了39.0.短线突破了三角区间上轨的压制。短线看多，今日短线回踩38.40附近顺势看多。小时图局部区间整理后启稳破高续涨，下方37.0-37.30三次下探回升构成一道平台关键支撑。小周期维持在平台支撑点之上先行看多，今日支撑38.20-38.30；

　　建议回踩确认38.30-38.40More, defense37.80, Objective39.50-39.90；

Trading is like warfare, where both offense and defense are necessary. Defense is based on retreat, while offense is based on advance. When risk outweighs profit, a perfect retreat is far more significant than a partial victory. The highest level of trading is short positions. Only short positions can calm down, only meditation can observe battles, and only observation can serve as a referee, thus distinguishing between strong and weak trends. As long as one stands in line with the strong and weak teams, profit is just a passing act. Therefore, the first thing a trader needs to learn is to spend most of their time observing, rather than participating. They don't need to participate every time, they only want to turn the tide of trading once. There is no one in this world who lives easier than anyone else, but the strong. Even if they fall, they must smile, never cry out for pain when they fall, or turn on the light when they are afraid of the dark. The strong are not born, they have only experienced more setbacks.

　　本文由章华（指导レ信：zg13908  公纵号：黄金章华 ）供稿，解读经济要闻，研判市场情绪变化，剖析投资趋势，传递有价值的投资理念，对黄金、原油、等全球主要金融市场都有深入而独特的见解。由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，建议仅供参考，据此操作风险自负！转载请注明出处。