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Good fund management is the foundation for maintaining a stable trading mindset. Investors holding large positions are like pedestrians with heavy burdens on their shoulders, and a slight obstacle on the road is enough to make them fall. The fundamental reason is that his holdings have become a burden for him, exceeding his ability to bear it. So, why do investors engage in transactions beyond their ability?是因为获利的欲望令其不能正确的评判自己,他已经陷入利润的陷阱之中。在利润光环的诱惑下,他已看不见亏损的陷阱。亏损的陷阱一般都在暗处,而利润却光芒万丈,当投资者大持仓进场后他就会立即发现到处充满亏损的陷阱,进场前的良好愿望瞬间被市场的波动所击碎,他会发现市场远不是他想象的那样顺,此时,获利的欲望已经成为他的灾难,大量的持仓已经成为巨额负担,资金管理不当造成的心态问题开始暴露。资金管理仅仅是保持良好交易心态的基础,但远不是全部。博鸿认为保持好的交易心态的关键是正确理解亏损,这才是最关键的。
Message interpretation:
International SpotgoldThursday(6month18day)维持窄幅震荡,美市盘中最低触及1716.94dollar/盎司,但目前跌幅有所缩减,因市场的风险情绪保持稳定,同时美国初请失业金人数连续11周下滑,这令市场对重启经济前景的乐观情绪获得支撑,从而打压了黄金的避险买盘。虽然地缘政治风险和疫情的担忧依然支撑着黄金,但整体来看黄金短线的上行动能有所乏力。地缘政治风险方面,无论是中美关系、中印冲突以及朝韩局势都存在不确定性,这些因素预计会直接影响到未来一段时间内的市场风险情绪,对黄金价格产生影响。
United StatesWTI 8monthcrude oilfutures电子盘价格6month18Daily closing up0.8USD, increase2.09%Report39.01dollar/Bucket. Oil prices rose on Thursday as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)And its alliesOPEC+The ministerial committee of the alliance held a meeting to evaluate the record breaking production reduction agreement, although the market is still concerned about new cases reported in some regions of the United States.
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
技术面来看,尽管受对第二波卫生事件感染的担忧以及美联储将在近期维持低利率的预期提振,但美元和美股走强抑制了金价的涨势,日线布林线轨道维持水平运行,MACDRandomized indicators tend to flatten out,KDJ初步死叉,周四金价一度刷新本周高点触及1738.15后快速回落,指示上行动能相对有限,短线需要警惕进一步回调的风险,周三低点1713.2This is where the initial support is located below,3month9The daily high is supported by1703.39附近,若失守该位置,则金价可能进一步试探布林线下轨1694.34附近支撑,若进一步下破,则金价可能进一步跌向6month5Daily low point1670.98附近该位置在4月中旬多次被测试,支撑相对较强;不过,鲍威尔重申维持宽松格局,此外美国二次卫生事件进一步发展,也为金价提供一定支撑;博鸿认为若金价坚守1703附近支撑,则后市仍然存在进一步走高的可能,日线高点1738.15是上方初步阻力所在,若突破该位置,则金价将进一步试探上周四高点1744.73附近阻力;布林线上轨阻力在1754.47附近,博鸿认为金价需要突破该位置才能打开新的上涨空间;综合来看,今日操作思路上徐博鸿xbh768My personal suggestion is to sell high and sell low;
Focus on resistance above:1734.33、1744.73;
Focus on support below:1713.20、1703.39;
行情实时变化,策略仅供参考,实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询徐博鸿获取!
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
技术面来看,尽管市场仍对美国部分地区报告新增病例感到担忧,但因石油输出国组织(OPEC)And its alliesOPEC+联盟的部长级委员会召开会议,对创纪录的减产协议进行评估,油价周四收盘上涨0.8USD, increase2.09%Report39.01dollar/桶。日线林线轨道开始收口,MACD死叉但KDJ重新结成金叉,短线均线交织,指示油价短线走势存在较大变数;上方首先关注上周高点40.44附近阻力突破情况,若突破该位置,则油价将进一步试探3month6Daily low point41.05附近阻力,该位置位于前期跳空低开的缺口上沿,一旦完成回补,将大幅提振市场看多情绪,新的上行空间也将打开;不过,欧佩克在一份月度报告中警告称,尽管需求有所改善,但下半年市场仍将处于过剩状态,且在美原油产量持续下降的情况下库存继续增加,凸显了需求疲软,对油价上行构成压力;若油价不能突破40.44附近阻力,则仍然需要警惕震荡回调的可能,5Daily moving average38.23是下方初步支撑所在,该位置同时靠近10日均线,若下破该位置,则削弱短线看涨信号;20The daily moving average is supported by36.7附近,若下破该位置,则增加短线看空信号;布林线中轨支撑在35.73附近,该位置不失,中线看涨不变;综合来看,今日操作思路上徐博鸿xbh768个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
Focus on resistance above:40.44、41.05;
Focus on support below:38.23、36.70;
行情实时变化,策略仅供参考,实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询徐博鸿获取!
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
三、体验福利:凡是有意向咨询合作的投资朋友,便于后期合作互相信任,可凭实仓截图体验3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
本文由徐博鸿撰写,徐博鸿【官方指导薇信:XBH768】Write every analysis carefully and convey valuable investment concepts. I hope the price is worth it, and the value is worth it; Due to the delayed nature of the article strategy; Consult Professor Xu Bohong for the latest real-time market analysis.