Ning Caijin:6.18The crude oil fluctuates abnormally, and if you don't understand the market, you are definitely doomed

　　Ning Caijin:6.18crude oil波动汹涌异常，不了解行情的你绝对完了
　　
　　文能提笔安天下，武能上马定乾坤。总有一天你会发现，市场的一切挫折、痛苦、磨难，都是为了让你成为一个更好的人而来，或许，不少人总是觉得，真正的盈利离自己很遥远，但是否有曾想过，正是因为过于迷恋一朝一夕的得失，才会忽视了未来的幸福！市场有不绝的风景，而你要保持不老的心情。
　　


　　——原油消息——
　　
International Energy Agency(IEA)在其月度报告中预测,2020年石油需求将为917010000 barrels/day,than5月报告中的预测高出5010000 barrels/day,理由是封锁措施实施期间的消费量高于预期。IEAexpress,5月石油供应量骤降近1,20010000 barrels/day,Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)及其由俄罗斯等盟友组成的OPEC+Reduce production94010000 barrels/Day.
　　
　　鲍威尔称复苏时间和强度仍存在很大不确定性,经济产出和就业仍远低于疫情前水平,呼应了他上周在政策决议发布后的讲话,美联储进一步的刺激项目表明了其宽松的货币政策会继续持续下去。市场对经济前景的担忧足够大。
　　
Wednesday Beijing time(6month16day)before dawn,American Petroleum Institute(API)公布的数据显示,As of6month12Day and WeekAPIIncrease in crude oil inventory385.710000 barrels,Expected increase5010000 barrels;Increase in gasoline inventory426.710000 barrels;Refined oil inventory increase91.910000 barrels;After data release,美油短线快速走低后震荡回升。
　　


　　——原油行情走势分析——
　　
Looking at the daily crude oil trend, it fluctuates and rises;KDJDead cross, random indicator ticks up,MACDDead cross, reduced green energy column, currently the Bollinger Belt has three lines upward and the moving average is arranged in multiple positions, indicating that the strength of crude oil withdrawal is not strong, and it is expected to continue to rise in the future;KThe line closed positive for three consecutive days, recovering from this week's decline. The first point we need to pay attention to below is still near the Bollinger Belt's mid track support, which has not broken this position support twice in a row. Coupled with the positive news, it proves that this position is strong and will continue to move upwards in the future; The focus above is still on attention40.4The pressure level at which the resistance is broken is expected to continue to strengthen, and further resistance is expected to41.0附近，破位该位置阻力，则中线增加看涨信号。
　　
Crude oil4From an hourly perspective,VType rebound;KDJThe high position initially forms a dead fork, and the random index is gently downward;MACDThe golden cross, the red energy column is shrinking, indicating that the short-term upward trend of crude oil is insufficient. Next, there will be a trend of oscillation and retreat. Below, pay attention to the middle track of the Bollinger Belt37.0First line support position, further support at35.0Nearby. Due to the current leveling of the Bollinger Belt's three tracks,MA5andMA10It is still a golden cross upward, and the moving average is still biased towards the long end arrangement. Pay attention to the resistance on the upper track above39.5附近，也是隔夜的反弹高点位置，在没有失守该位置之前日内偏向震荡回落。采衿综合来看，今日操作短线思路上宁采衿个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅Top short-term focus39.0-39.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below36.5-36.0Frontline support.
　　


I amNing Caijin，每日为你解读经济要闻，研判市场情绪变化，剖析投资趋势，传递有价值的投资理念，对gold、原油、等全球主要金融市场都有深入而独特见解。
　　
Editor of this article: Ning Caijin


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