Zhang Yayuan:6.11昨夜黄金上涨后今日黄金还会跌吗？今日黄金做空做多如何操作？

Zhang Yayuan:6.11Last nightgold上涨后今日黄金还会跌吗？今日黄金做空做多如何操作？


Every time I write an analysis, I hope to see my friends gain something. In this market, under calm performance, there are actually dark waves surging. Many investment friends easily enter, often covered in wounds. Every day, many friends come to me for help, but most of them just quickly find the next article to continue reading after reading the analysis. I hope to help more people, just as my positioning for this job is service. People are mutual, and trust is the beginning of cooperation. If you are confused or lost on the investment path, you can talk to me. Maybe this will make your investment path much easier.

Thursday（6month11日）亚市盘中，国际现货黄金交投于1731美元区域，继隔夜美联储（FED）会议后金价走势剧烈震荡，短线一度下滑至1707美元，随后自低位强势拉升超30USD, Breakthrough1730USD level, refreshing6month3Recently, the highest level has reached1739美元，当日最终上涨近1%。本交易日目前来看，金价自1739美元高位回落，目前跌幅扩大至0.35%，当前交投于1731美元区域。


隔夜市场回顾：备受瞩目的美联储决议在“鸽”声中尘埃落定，市场巨震不已：黄金短线飙升超30USD to1740Nearby, the US dollar plummeted and fell96At the checkpoint, the Nasdaq closed above the 10000 point mark for the first time in its history, and Chinese concept stocks also sparked a frenzy of circuit breakers. On this trading day, the opening tone of Asian stocks is heavy, and the US dollar continues to be under pressure. The market is focused on today's US initial jobless claims.

关于本次美联储决议：美联储周三重申将继续为经济提供非常规支出的承诺，同时政策制定者预计今年国内生产总值(GDP)Will shrink6.5%，年底失业率将达到9.3%。尽管声明的大部分内容重复了4月会议的措辞，但美联储承诺将保持当前的资产购买速度，即每月购买约800亿美元美债和400亿美元机构债和抵押贷款支持证券。而大规模的刺激措施往往会支撑黄金，黄金通常被视为一种对冲通胀和货币贬值的手段。


今日黄金行情走势分析：


黄金昨日受美联储鸽派预期影响而震荡回弹，测压至1727一线后承压回修，凌晨美联储利率决定公布维持低利率不变，且措辞偏鸽派，符合市场预期，黄金因此再度拉升回弹，一度测压至1740上方，日线再收得一阳线，这已经是本周以来的连续三日收阳拉升。


1.如果日线级别的连续拉升走势还能说得过去，那么周线级别目前的情况就很不乐观了，在上周已经大阴线贯穿跌破5、10周均线的情况下，本周行情却又出现反包动作，多空的突然转换，加剧了行情的不确定性。本周还有两个交易日，如果行情能够一直处于5Weekly moving average1723上方运行，则周线收阳贯穿突破5、10周均线，那么下周走势或将更难去预判。

2.日线结构上，目前行情连续三日拉升收阳，也已经站到了均线带上方，且也对上方趋势线压力有所刺破，所以目前的趋势对此前的下跌已经有所改变，无论这是基于何种力量带来的回升，但凡行情技术结构上出现转势信号都需加以防范，且策略上也需要有所改变。


注：未来短期内下方着重关注对均线支撑带的回踩测试情况。但也需要注意，目前的三日连阳，已经消耗了大量的多头动能，且本周以来的上涨极为情绪化，均是因市场对美联储鸽派预期引起的情绪波动，一旦该情绪稳定，或市场再无进一步利好动能给出，那么黄金依然很难实现进一步的上涨，且随时有可能陷入回落调整。总之目前黄金虽然走高，但其上涨动能有限，推升上涨的因素也很难获取更多，而调整需求依旧被积压，矛盾的状态导致风险堆积，对于操作上也是极为不利的。


总的来讲：结合日线以及小时图结构，日内短线可暂看偏强预期，但是多单依旧要小心为妙，切莫盲目乐观看涨，未来推升黄金走高的动能还是很难获取。而结合日线以及周线结构，则要防范未来两日行情重返1723以下的风险，一旦行情重返至1723-20以下，则短线趋势则可能再度逆转。

Suggestions for Gold Operations:操作上日内激进可进性轻仓低多高空操作，关注1723-20支撑争夺，上方则关注1740、1745压力，如果跌回1720以下，则短线行情转势看跌希望值加大，如果站上1745上方，那么行情依旧会很难参与。



1.日内首次回撤至1725附近，激进轻仓短多一次，只限首次回撤时参与，二度回撤不参与，带止损1720Below, look at the target1730附近减仓改保本止损，剩余持单可留有看1735-37、1740-45expect.


2.日内上方再测1740、1745附近轻仓搏短空，站稳1745Manual stop loss above, target down1730附近减仓改保本止损，剩余持单下看1725-23再做减仓，且可留有部分持单看1720破位可能。
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3.如果日内行情跌回至1720下方，那么短线趋势转势看跌，可考虑择高追空，具体策略实盘再做调整；

黄金空单解套不难，难的是明白为何套单？


经过非农的暴跌，本周开盘以来，黄金连续三天收阳，昨晚的行情格外刺激，美联储决议前，黄金暴跌20点，随后等数据公布，瞬间暴涨，逼近40大关，如果你做好止盈止损，多空皆获利，但是还有不少人空单被套，黄金再次回升到40关口附近，短期走势确实是偏强，因此目前还有1720下方低位空单的朋友应该考虑一下将套单解决，建议你们先行在黄金回调1728附近先减仓，在根据这个位置的下破情况决定是持有还是准备反手多锁仓，最后看看40关口，如果没有突破1737-40的压力话，会再次出现回撤，你们可以补仓空单来拉低均价，然后在合适的点位全部出局。而对于1720上方套单的朋友，目前相对而言处于小损状态，不用太过担心，看后续走势对于1723的下破情况，不破在回调之时在合适的点位止损出局。

最后由于昨晚凌晨美联储造访导致黄金出现30美金的暴涨，市场上很多朋友连续被套、亏损严重，所以雅源再次开放5个小资金名额，专业的团队把控风险，专业的老师指导回本，所有别人穷极一生追求的结果，都在我们一步一步的用心经营中实现，前三位私信雅源的朋友可提供免费解套及回本方案。

[Zhang Yayuan's Personal Reflection]


You are confused by the market and don't know how to do it. Come to me and I will point you in the direction!


If you can't control yourself and are still frantically doing orders without direction, please stop and don't joke with your funds!


If you have already lost a lot and don't know what to do, please control yourself and don't do whatever you want with your account!


For those who make money, please remind yourself to keep your bags safe and beware of profit taking!


There are also those who are following off the exchange, please don't think it's a pity that the market hasn't done well, just watch and don't have any regrets!


Author of this article: Zhang Yayuan


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Author's message: Success does not rely on luck, choice is greater than effort!