消息面分析;美联储声明发表后,美元兑欧元、英镑和瑞士法郎跌至三个月低点,兑日元跌至三周低点。低利率前景推高黄金,现货黄金涨逾20USD, refresh6month20The highest point since the beginning of the day1739.76dollar/附近。黄金周三上涨逾1%,创一周高位,此前美联储再次承诺将采取行动缓解新冠病毒大流行带来的经济影响,提振了黄金的避险吸引力。利率将保持在非常低的水平,直到2022年,这对黄金市场可能算是好消息。美联储周三重申了将继续为经济提供非常规支出的承诺,同时政策制定者预计今年国内生产总值(GDP)Will shrink6.5%,年底失业率将达到9.3%。召锡认为,黄金将在12个月后达到1800dollar/盎司的水平,且通胀高于目标的尾部风险,将成为黄金攀升至2000dollar/附近上方的潜在驱动因素。
技术面分析;黄金从4小时走势来看,因美国非农数据好于预期,黄金下挫,目前正在测试斐波那契78.6%Callback bit1693,跌破后进一步支撑位见前低1671。若黄金受支撑反弹,上方较近阻力位为斐波那契61.8%Callback bit1701。黄金从日线走势来看,跌破斐波那契23.6%Callback bit1691支撑,盘整跌逾40美元。若黄金继续下行,下方较近支撑位为斐波那契38.2%Callback bit1645,跌破后未来或将进一步看跌至1645.若黄金上行,上方较近阻力位为1691,突破后未来或将进一步测试前高1765附近阻力。多周期技术信号显示日内市场情绪看涨。综合来看,今日短线操作上陈召锡个人建议反弹高空为主;回调做多为辅,上方关注1748-1753One line of resistance, pay attention below1725-1720Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【czxi000】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.
消息面分析;美国周三EIAAccording to the published data, as of6month5日当周美国除却战略储备的商业原油库存增幅大超预期,但增幅不及早间APIPublished842万桶。此外,精炼油库存增幅不及预期,EIA数据公布后美国原油价格短线基本持稳。美国上周原油出口减少35.510000 barrels/Solstice243.910000 barrels/Day. The average four week supply of crude oil products in the United States is1629.610000 barrels/Day, decreased compared to the same period last year20.1%。美国上周战略石油储备(SPR)Add22010000 barrels to6.50亿桶。美国原油库存升至纪录新高的5.381亿桶。美国精炼油库存变化值连续10周录得增长。美国国内原油产量连续10周录得下滑。美国原油出口连续5The weekly record declined. Continuous changes in crude oil inventory in Cushing, Oklahoma, United States5Zhou recorded a decline.
技术面分析;原油日K线收一根十字星,在一根大阴线之后,紧跟十字星,说明价格目前陷入高位的震荡或者调整之中。从位置来看,40关口仍然是重要的阻力区域,这个三月份跳空的缺口,在短期内看来还是难以完全回补。日KLine in120The pressure on the daily moving average position,KD指标严重的超买面临回撤的风险加大,因此,日内重点关注高点39.8附近,如果该区域不破继续参与空头。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议反弹做空为主,低多为辅,重点关注上方关注39.8-40One line of resistance, pay attention below37.2-37.8一线支撑。行情。行情千变万化,需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略,可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【czxi000】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.
陈召锡投资个人心得;
The most important thing about investing is not how much you can earn a week at a time. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods. As long as they are suitable for you, achieving stable profits is a good method. Operational risk is an objective and inevitable factor, and under certain conditions, it also has certain patterns. There are many investors in the market, some of whom do not believe in evil. As someone who has tried to persuade you, you must listen to some principles. If you do not listen to such experiences, you will understand some trading principles. It is actually easy to stay away from losses. In fact, the market writes a lot of analysis articles, and the strength of analysts lies not in the content of the article, but in the real order. Because the market is constantly changing, the real order has value. After implementing a set of strategies, the strategy is right and simple, The market has a regular pattern, and the operation requires methods. It is easy to accept the best one and make a profit.