Zhou Jinrui6.10Analysis of Today's Gold, Foreign Exchange, US Crude Oil Market Trends and Latest Operational Suggestions

　　不是每一份坚持都能立即看到成果，但那部分看似石沉大海的努力，终将因为某一个偶然的机遇，在冰封的土地里开出十万朵怒放的蔷薇。命是弱者的借口，运是强者的谦辞。表面的偶然蒙蔽了双眼，更要看透每一份偶然后面一切汗水和泪水的堆积。交易者总是喜欢在特定条件下服从主观想法，震荡的时候期待单边，而真的单边来了却熟悉了之前的震荡，习惯了泡在市场的冷水池之中，再到温水中却害怕烫伤。结果不过是看空防反弹，潜意识不喜欢做的违背的改变，而事实上违背才是市场中真正的顺应。不必羡慕在震荡中来回的人，也不必嫉妒单边中顺势加仓的人，市场就是总有人盈利，总有人亏损，但是不妨碍有人盈利着。不赶什么浪潮，也不搭什么船，拥有自己有海，守住属于自己的行情。有人住高楼，有人在深沟，有人光万丈，有人一身锈，行情万千种，浮云莫去求，斯人若彩虹，至味是清欢。周金瑞指导微信（zjr5857）
　　
　　goldMarket trend analysis
　　
　　周二美国公布的4The monthly wholesale sales rate has hit a record low and is2008Twice the value of the worst month of the year, the US stock market expanded its decline after the data was released. The decline in the stock market has boosted the rise of gold, and spot gold has remained stable for two consecutive days1700Above the US dollar level. This data has always been neglected by the market, but last night it caused such a huge market trend, which proves that the power of the "data bomb" still exists. Tonight, the United States will also announce5After adjusting the roseCPIMonthly rate, market expectationCPIThe monthly rate will rebound to0%, higher than the previous value-0.8%If the data falls short of expectations, gold will receive further support. After the Federal Reserve's massive easing, many analysts have raised their expectations for US inflation. A research report released by Goldman Sachs on Tuesday stated that the fundamentals of gold have recovered and trading prices have stabilized1700dollar/More than ounces. As long as the Federal Reserve can tolerate inflation rates higher than the target, gold prices may rise to per ounce2000Above the US dollar. Goldman Sachs reiterates its12The assumed forecast for the basic situation of monthly gold prices is1800dollar/Despite the rebound in demand for high-risk assets, the recent weakness of the US dollar and low long-term real interest rates continue to support gold prices. However, he also expects fluctuations in gold this week. Follow the official account "Zhou Jinrui" to get the latest operation suggestions in real time. Welcome to inquire!
　　
　　黄金技术面分析：黄金从4小时走势来看，因美国非农数据好于预期，金价下挫，目前正在测试斐波那契78.6%Callback bit1693，跌破后进一步支撑位见前低1671。若金价受支撑反弹，上方较近阻力位为斐波那契61.8%Callback bit1701。黄金从日线走势来看，跌破斐波那契23.6%Callback bit1691支撑，盘整跌逾40美元。若金价继续下行，下方较近支撑位为斐波那契38.2%Callback bit1645，跌破后未来或将进一步看跌至1645.若金价上行，上方较近阻力位为1691，突破后未来或将进一步测试前高1765附近阻力。多周期技术信号显示日内市场情绪看涨。综合来看，今日短线操作上周金瑞个人建议以回调做多为主；反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1725-1730Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1705-1700Frontline support. Everyone who is trading wants to make a profit, which is beyond doubt, but the premise is that you need to find the right direction. If you need help, please follow Zhou Jinrui's official guidance on WeChat（zjr5857）Get real-time guidance. Welcome to inquire!
　　
　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
　　昨日尾盘原油反弹，并扩大涨幅至2%Analysis indicates that the rise in oil prices is influenced by multiple factors, such as the increasing suspension of drilling rigs caused by Tropical Storm Cristobal, problems with crude oil supply in Nigeria, the lifting of lockdown measures in New Jersey, andEIAThe energy outlook report predicts a rebound in crude oil demand in the third quarter. In yesterday's report,EIAThe institution has raised its expectations for oil prices and expects2020yearWTIThe price of crude oil is35.14dollar/Bucket, much higher than previously expected30.1dollar/Barrel; estimate2020The annual Brent crude oil price is38.02dollar/Bucket, higher than previously expected34.13dollar/Bucket. Nowadays, crude oil inventories will once again become the focus of market attention. Announced early this morningAPIAn unexpected increase in data was recorded, and people hope that the inventory increase is only a temporary impact caused by the tropical storm. Previously, the US government stated that the Gulf region of the United States31%The oil production platform and33%The natural gas production platform is in a closed state. Tonight, the United States will also announce6month5Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory, this data is highly concerned. It is also worth noting that there are signs of geopolitical tensions escalating again. According to market news yesterday, the United States plans to expand sanctions on oil tankers due to their involvement in oil trade with Venezuela. At the same time, the situation in Libya has become volatile. Previously, due to the improvement of the situation, Libya had announced the resumption of oil field production. However, yesterday, the Libyan National Oil Company（NOC）It is reported that an "armed force" entered the Sharara oil field and demanded that employees shut down the field several hours after maintenance work began. Subsequently, the Libyan National Oil Company confirmed that the Shalala oil field continued to encounter force majeure. This means that Libya's crude oil production is still greatly constrained by the situation.
　　
　　原油技术面分析：原油月线价格来看，原油价格已经形成明显的“早晨之星”形态，一扫此前大跌的阴霾，意味着接下来还会继续走高。从基本面来看，虽然原油市场依然处于供过于求的状态，但是供给方进行了积极地调整策略，在短期内对油价形成非常迅猛的影响，大幅推升了的原油的价格，保障了整个行业的稳定运行，而40美元的油价很可能就是各方博弈的关键价格。油价4小时级别的楔形已经破位，并走出明显的上涨行情，目前从油价走势来看，底部已经得到确认，进一步上涨的概率较大，MACD指标已经上穿零轴，但出现较长时间的交缠走势，反映出价格在维持横盘震荡走势，若价格出现突破将进一步走高。国际原油价格方面，从CL2!(CurrentlyCL2007）的价格走势来看，油价一举突破下降趋势线和60日均线的阻力，并创下60日新高，意味着底部反转的信号已经确立，进一步做多的获利可能性加大。综合来看，今日短线操作上周金瑞个人建议反弹高空为主；回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注39.1-39.6Frontline resistance, short-term focus below36.9-36.4Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry points and timing of closing profits, Zhou Jinrui guides WeChat（zjr5857）Will be provided in real time, welcome to inquire!
　　
　　有人说黄金投资极大考验人的心态，什么止损，控制仓位的大道理谁都懂，什么操作计划，什么风险控制，开始计划很好，但是到头来还是杂乱无章，投资犹如做人的道理一样，大道理一说谁都懂，但真正能做到的又有几人呢？
　　
　　这样说来似乎成功的人太少，那为什么还要去做？但是不知你有没有想过，你所经历的很多投资者也经历过包括金瑞，谁还没在黄金投资市场交过学费呢？在这个黄金多空争夺的市场，你凭什么赚别人的钱，如果你没有比别人更努力，如果你没有别人有更好的心态，如果你没有别人更出色，你凭什么赚钱？所谓剩者为王，真正能坚持下来的，都将是市场的佼佼者，投资将是受用一生的赚钱工具。俗话说吃的苦中苦，方为人上人，天上没有掉馅饼的事，唯有坚持不懈的去学习，去完善自己，才能站在金字塔的顶端。
　　
　　建立基本面变动模型，研判市场情绪变化，用以判断趋势。十余年锤炼的技术分析研判短线细节。中线为主，短线为辅。对汇市、金市、油市、股市、债市等全球主要金融市场都有深入而独特的见解。本文由周金瑞撰写，用心写好每一段分析，传递有价值的投资理念。希望价有所值，值有所得。每一个正在交易的人都想盈利，这是毋庸置疑的，但前提你要找对方向，如需帮助可添加周金瑞官方指导微信（zjr5857）Get real-time guidance.