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摘要:近日美国多地愈演愈烈的抗议骚乱令美国经济复苏前景面临变数,而对美国政局动荡的担忧也一度令避险情绪升温,但gold似乎并未展现强劲的上扬动能。但目前判断黄金已“利好出尽”仍为时尚早,但金价再次冲击1765前将面临一些不确定性。
“黑人弗洛伊德遭暴力执法致死”引发的抗议骚乱呈现急剧蔓延的迹象,全美已经有至少40个城市、亚利桑那州全州及华盛顿特区日前已宣布实施宵禁。
王铭鑫认为,目前美国多地大规模的抗议示威除了增添美国大选及政局的变数外,也令该国的经济复苏前景雪上加霜。原本新冠疫情已对美国经济产生巨大的冲击,经济活动被冻结导致该国制造业和服务业严重受损,创纪录的失业潮令经济前景蒙上巨大阴影。而本次40年以来罕见的抗议示威活动一方面加剧了美国社会的不稳定性,另一方面可能会导致疫情来得更为凶猛。这也令美国经济复苏的前景面临巨大变数。
Local time6month1日,美国国会预算办公室发布了5月版经济预测报告,释放了悲观的信号。
消息面解析:周二(6month2day)现货黄金窄幅震荡,涨幅0.03%。周一因美国抗议活动叠加国际贸易担忧情绪升温,推动黄金刷新逾一周高点至1744.69美元。不过随着美欧的制造业出现复苏的迹象,推动全球股市上涨,这使黄金回吐涨幅。总体而言对于经济复苏的预期短时间抵消了美国抗议活动叠加国际贸易担忧情绪升温的影响,因此市场需继续关注全球经济数据表现,如果经济数据持续好转,可能会继续打压金价。受股市回升的影响,基金经理减持了黄金ETF持仓。但是分析人士指出,全球经济下行压力依旧高企,这可能推动更多的刺激措施,从长期看仍利多金价。
黄金技术面分析:黄金从日线上来看,金价跌至近期低位后进一步反弹,MACD绿色动能柱缩窄,KDJ随机指标继续大幅走高,指示黄金反弹动能强化,接下来料继续维持涨势。目前黄金也是处于区间震荡整理的走势,本周大非农数据后的走势是关键,如果能直接突破1765压力,则黄金将开启新的波段上涨走势,同样,如果不能突破,只能维持在区间内运行!在数据前,不排除黄金还有再次回踩的动作,如果出现回踩至1700附近则可以做多。
Gold from4小时上来看,金价也维持震荡上行之势,MACD红色动能柱略微缩窄,KDJ随机指标略偏承压,指示黄金短线可能会小幅震荡回落。黄金1765的以来的下并没有结束,虽然自1691位置后强势反弹,但是昨日没有突破1745的压力,属于下跌后的调整,如果行情不能快速脱离当前的震荡区域,难免震荡后继续承压下跌。综合来看,今日晚间短线操作思路上王铭鑫个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1745-1750Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1730-1725Frontline support.
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1745-1747Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1738-1736frontline;
2The pullback below the gold does not break1725-1727Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1736-1738frontline;
3、策略仅供参考,盘间行情实时变化具体进场点位以王铭鑫微信(ymsd06)The actual offer shall prevail;
crude oilTechnical analysis: 原油昨日小阳线整理收高,长时间横向整理后,盘中由于巨量卖单出现短暂的回落。最低至34.25低位,最终尾盘时段启稳收复失地,日图仍收在高位,同时小幅的刷新了高点后在高位横向整理,日图继续看涨。边整理边蓄势上涨的走法。
Crude oil4小时突破矩形整理区间后的延续,昨日虽有回测。但最终还是完成了收复,快速的下探回升也是蓄势的常见走法。布林道中轨向上构成支撑,日内短线继续看上扬,1小时图伴随了一波回踩后再次摸高。今日的短线防守点则在34.20处,短线回测只要不失守前一日低点,继续看多头整理冲高。综合来看,今日晚间短线操作思路上王铭鑫个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注36.8-37.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below34.3-34.8Frontline support.
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
1The rebound above the crude oil does not break36.8-37.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target36.0-35.8frontline;
2The downward correction of crude oil does not break34.6-34.8Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target35.8-36.0frontline;
2、行情千变万化、点位仅供参考,投资有风险、入市需谨慎,详情关注王铭鑫本人官||Wei:ymsd06;
Why is gold always losing money?
In most people who lose money, they make more money than they lose money. However, because making money is often making small money, losing money is often losing big money. One loss offsets many profitable trades, which means that the final loss is often caused by one or two large losses, which is the main reason for most people's losses.
The reason for the large losses is that after being trapped, they did not admit their mistakes in a timely manner, carried on until the end, and even continued to increase and spread out, blindly locking up their positions! In the end, the losses reached an irreparable level. Therefore, not afraid of mistakes, but afraid of procrastination. Procrastination and admitting mistakes are the root of losses, and timely admitting mistakes can help oneself get rid of passivity. This is an important aspect of successful trading psychology.
王铭鑫觉得在foreign exchangeInvesting in the market has resulted in a significant decrease in the stock marketfuturesThe disadvantages of insider trading, false information, and other factors in the market make the trading environment more in line with the principles of fairness, impartiality, and openness. Profit and loss depend more on the operational level of investors, making it the most suitable place for individual investors to make profits. However, if you still approach the foreign exchange market with a stock market mindset, the result will inevitably be losses!
市场是公平的,只有交易者认真对待每一笔交易,市场才会回馈给你,否则,你就有可能会被市场抛弃。因此,不管是盈利还是亏损,我们都要对自己的每一笔交易负责,交易之前先关注影响市场的国际事件,分析行情走势。如果你由于初入市场,还不了解如何分析消息面和技术面解读,可以添加 王铭鑫好友,浩雨会教你一些操作技术技巧,培养你的做单习惯。
This article is written by Wang Mingxin (Guidance Hotline;ymsd06)Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the latency of online push, the above content is personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the suggestion is for reference only. Any operation based on this is at your own risk! |
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