基本面:美国国会预算办公室(CBO)表示,到2030财年,疫情将使实际经济产出(经通胀调整的名义GDP)较1月份疫情爆发前的初步经济估计减少3%。在未来10多年里,新冠疫情可能会导致约7.9万亿美元的经济活动减少,减少的名义GDPExpected to be15.7万亿美元,即5.3%,低于最初的预测。美国5monthISMmanufacturingPMIRecorded43.1Higher than market expectations43, also higher than the previous value41.5,股因此受提振。机构评论道,这是迄今为止最强烈的迹象,表明随着企业重新开业,经济衰退最糟糕的时期已经过去,不过由于失业率仍高企,从疫情危机中复苏可能需要数年时间。理论上,美国局势动荡加上债务负担加剧,都将利好现货金银。但昨日的行情表明,市场情绪太过敏感也不是好事。
Gold opened yesterday at1737.69dollar/盎司,回撤1731水平出现上涨,在1744.38水平后出现遇阻迹象,金价出现了承压走势,随后延续出现下跌走势,最低给到了1727.23位置得到支撑,黄金再次出现上涨,最后收盘在1739.47dollar/ounce.
黄金日线图显示,日线收盘阳线锤头线,高点破前高,低点没有破前低,出现出头走势,均线系统多头排列,运行在k线下方形成支撑,多头趋势线运行在空头趋势线上方形成金叉向上,kd指标低位金叉向上发散中,整体表现多头趋势,上方压力位首先关注5month20Daily high point1753美元位置,进一步上破会考验1765水平年内高点压力位;
The golden hour chart shows that gold is touching1693美元后出现了第一波上涨浪1693-1727, then withdrew1711再次出现上涨1711-1744水平,昨日回撤1744-1727位置得到支撑出现上涨,第一波上涨幅度是34美元,第二波上涨是33美元,如果说黄金回撤力度不出现减弱,大概率将出现延续上涨格局,均线系统多头排列,运行k线下方形成支撑。综合来看李昱山认为今日交易上考虑回撤布局多单为主,上方关注1753-1760dollar/Ounces, follow below1734-1727USD support;
Today's trading strategy:
1Withdrawal1734-1727More stable, with a focus on goals1744-1753Stop loss5dollar;
Crude oil opened yesterday35.545dollar/桶,开盘后油价运行了一波较长时间区间35.6-34.9震荡,随后出现下破,最低给到了34.255水平位置,油价出现上涨,在二次触及34.2附近后,油价出现上涨,最后收盘在35.597dollar/Bucket.
原油日线图显示,日线收盘小阳线,高点破前高,低点没有下破新低,出现出头走势,在趋势指标上多头趋势线运行在空头趋势线上方,出现向下运行中,kdThe indicator runs in the overbought area, resulting in indicator passivation and a moving average systemMA20Upper dressingMA30+MA50形成金叉运行在油价下方形成支撑,整体表现多头趋势中,上方压力位关注37.5位置压力,进一步上破后将考验前期原油跳空低开缺口阻力位40.8位置阻力;
1Withdrawal34.9-34.4Stabilize once more, look at the goal36.0-37.5Stop loss0.5dollar
When it comes to profits, it can easily arouse greed, but when it comes to losses, it can even lead to greed. I always think that if I take a little longer and earn a few more points, my losses will decrease. However, the profits I don't know about will slip away in an instant, leaving you with only regret and regret. The common practice of "making small money but losing big money" is like this. When investors make money, they feel that the numbers on their books are not as safe as putting them in their pockets, and are eager to take profits; But when they lost money, they refused to accept it and attempted to recover, resulting in more and more losses. If you don't want to buy at the top Low point, not pursuing selling at the lowest point High point, then investing is an easy and natural thing to do.