秦梓昕：穷是一生，富是一生，黄金投资如何摒弃小农心理？

　　可能这个市场对某些人来说可能已经身心俱疲了，从满怀希望接触gold投资，到损失惨重害怕入场，亏的连鼓励自己的信心都没有，或许真的不适合这个市场，无论从实力上，还是心态上，都不能做好，一度寻求一个可以帮助你的老师，也以亏损告终，继续待在黄金市场不开心，离开黄金市场不甘心，这或许是很多投资者面临的现状。

But when investing, one should not dwell on temporary losses. There are gains and losses in investment, which is both thrilling and terrifying. There are joys of making money, as well as sorrows of losing money. No one has been losing money, and no one has been making money. As long as one has a relaxed mind and an objective view of the market, I believe that the winning rate exceeds80%It's very easy. Gold is nothing more than a long and short fight, you can flip a coin50%The winning rate, combined with experience and technical analysis, and a good mindset, stabilizes the winning rate at80%It cannot be done steadily, with one or two orders per day and a stable cycle that yields benefits. This is what I hope to see and the purpose of leading students.
　　
　　标题并没有鄙视农民的意思，之所以这样说，因为不管是哪样事物，确切的都有自身的局限性。
　　
　　如。中国几千年的封建社会中，农民起义都没有做成大事，近代的如李自成，太平天国，战国时如陈胜吴广，最初都是打着为穷人的旗帜闹革命，要么最终没成功，要么成功了摇身一变再次变成剥削农民的阶级，这就是农民起义的局限性，缺乏核心领导原则。简单说就是改朝换代，最终还是换汤不换药。
　　
Is there any such phenomenon in investment? There are too many.
　　
　　今天就仅拿投资风格来说一说。首先我并鄙视高频率交易，相反很多机构都是做高频交易。但是你想过没有，高频交易要做成功，需要什么条件？
　　
　　1High winning rate(at least70%The winning rate of)。
　　
　　2Strict risk control discipline.
　　
I actually believe that strict risk control discipline is the top priority for these two points. Why do you say that.
　　
The so-called high-frequency trading is short-term trading, usually dominated by intraday short-term trading. In the short term, it is destined that profits will not be very high, and each entry must bear a certain proportion of risks, which must reach a minimum of1than1The profit loss ratio of. Only70%Only with the above winning rate can short-term trading succeed.
　　
For example, the risk control for each transaction is4A point, the profit is4Points,70%The winning rate can be calculated as7*4-3*4=16. This is only based on the establishment of strict risk control. If there were such a major risk control mistake1than1If you don't have a profit to loss ratio or if you're lucky enough not to do risk control, then it's just one chance, and you mightGameover!
　　
I refer to the high-frequency trading mindset of not strictly adhering to short-term trading as the mentality of small-scale farmers in investment.
　　
There are too many people like this, that's right, they're talking about you.

Imagine, as an investor, directing your account to enter the market is just a skill for us to learn?
　　
What are the current market fundamentals? What is the operating status of the trend? Is it a shock or unilateral, a weak shock or a broad shock, a shock unilateral or a strong unilateral? Is the minimum resistance direction more or empty?
　　
When should we test and how many positions should we use to test? When should we restock? When should we increase our position and what should we do if things go wrong after testing? What if everything goes smoothly? These are all things that need to be considered globally, planning for the worst and planning for the best.
　　
　　如果都没做好功课，仅凭沉溺于希望就入场，跟醉鬼没什么两样。
　　
　　利佛摩尔最初也是凭借小技巧做投机，当然他的天分很高，投机的成功率很高，年少就赚了很多钱。在他去纽约后正式踏入投资市场，他那一套的投机就不灵了，在第二破产之后，改用基本面分析法(当然多年的经验技术也在用)，并正式确立自己的交易体系，在1929year10月做空股市天获利1亿美金，你以为他是投机做的？有兴趣的可以去找找他当时是怎么做的。事实是他在1929年的年初就开始关注做空的机会，真正打出那一记重拳是找了最佳也是最合理的时机。

　　今年，最大的感悟也是最大的转变是我从一个技术分析者真正转变成基本面分析者，因为只有基本面才能告诉你，这是大牛市或者大熊市，年初黄金的200美金上涨，就是因为对基本面分析的不够全面，不够透彻，而看不透这波走势。
　　
Author: Qin Zixin   QQ：974288610
　　
　　V-Letter:QZX3323，微信公众号：秦梓昕（关注公众号，每天第一时间获取每日资讯）
　　
Author's Message: Investment carries risks   Be cautious when entering the market
　　
Writing time:2020/5/29