吴承梁：5.28黄金还会跌吗？黄金原油走势分析及操作建议

　　吴承梁：5.28gold还会跌吗？黄金crude oilTrend analysis and operational suggestions
　　
　　投资的过程就像一杯没有加糖的咖啡，喝起来是苦涩的，回味起来却有久久不会退去的余香。亏亏赚赚才是行情--盈亏就像坐过山车，有高峰，也有低谷，这意味着，无论眼下是好是坏，都只是暂时的。
　　


　　Message surface:Wednesday(5month27day)美元指数小幅下滑，盘中创3month30Recently, it has reached a new low98.71；受到有关经济复苏计划消息的支撑，欧元兑美元刷新近八周高点至1.1031。现货黄金较日低回升近15USD, closing at1709.47dollar/盎司，市场对经济复苏前景和地缘政治局势的担忧挥之不去，金价跌幅有限。美油重挫7%, refresh this week's low point to31.75dollar/Barrel,APIData shows that crude oil inventories in the United States increased last week873.1万桶，知情人士透露，俄罗斯希望从7月开始放松石油减产力度。
　　
　　周三亚市盘中，黄金在周二大跌之后展开反弹，现货黄金短线快速拉升，突破1715dollar/Ounces, highest touch1715.68dollar/盎司。一些市场观察人士表示，中国和美国之间的紧张关系重燃支撑了金价。本交易日，投资者将迎来欧洲央行行长拉加德讲话，预计将影响欧元走势。现货黄金周二盘中最低下探1708.32dollar/Ounces, closing1710.36dollar/Ounces, down18.83USD or1.09%. Dutch International Group(ING)策略师表示：“随着以中国为中心的政治紧张局势再次引发了对另一场的担忧，投资者可能会看到历史重演。”
　　
　　Analysis of gold market trend:
　　


From a technical perspective, gold attempted to rise in the Asian session yesterday1735It has been confirmed that the bulls have stopped, and further confirmation has been made1735At the end of the Asian session, the market began to decline due to the forced pressure level, and in the post market of the US session, the market briefly fell to1708On the first line, the overall decline reached27US dollars, daily closing at a negative line, closing at20Below the daily moving average. Yesterday's decline in the market is in line with expected judgment, and currently5、10The daily line crosses downwards, and there may be a rebound confirmation in the intraday market5The action of daily pressure may cause gold to rebound and measure pressure to1720A first line possibility, but20Daily line1716There will also be fierce competition nearby, as long as the market does not return5On the daily line, the possibility of bearish positions continuing is greater. If bearish positions continue to exert strength, it is important to look below1700The key support has been contested, and this position is40日线支撑，更是此前三角形下沿支撑位，一旦此位失守，那么意味着前期三角向上突破沦为假突破，行情不仅回归弱势，甚至更有可能打开中线级别回落趋势的可能。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上吴承梁个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1718-1720Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1694-1696Frontline support.
　　
　　Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1718-1720Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1700-1704frontline;
　　
　　2The pullback below the gold does not break1694-1696Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1705-1710frontline;
　　
　　Analysis of crude oil market trend:
　　
From a technical perspective, crude oil is currently in a high and volatile market. Yesterday, due to the early closure of the US market and light trading, there were almost no trading opportunitiesKFrom the physical part of the line, crude oil34Nearby, there has been a continuous whole pack4After a period of trading days, the momentum has significantly weakened after the initial surge, and the daily chart closed with a small positive cross, indicating little overall space. The daily chart is still at a high level with strong correction, and there is not much room for a pullback, and it is10Above the daily bullish lifeline, the daily chart continues to be bullish on the uptrend, and the short-term correction is also aimed at accumulating momentum for further gains. From the daily chart trend, pulling the moving average indicator upwards, the trend remains bullish. Crude oil from4When I was young, the shock rebounded, and Brin took away the flat,KDJGolden cross, continuation of random indicators,MACDDead cross, green energy column reduced, moving average arranged in a bullish pattern, indicating strong bullish crude oil, which is expected to be explored in the future35.0布林带上轨阻力位；油价自底部上涨以来，中途回调修正的空间相对较小，基本上都是横向上涨整理为主。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上吴承梁个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注32.0-32.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below30.0-29.5Frontline support.
　　
　　Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break33.3-33.5Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target31.8-31.6frontline;
　　
　　2The downward correction of crude oil does not break31.1-31.3Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target32.0-32.2frontline;
　　
Is investment a balance between long-term and short-term, between oneself and the market, or between expectations and reality. From a micro perspective, investment is also a balance between data and perception, an absolute and relative balance. Of course, investment is still a balance between long and short positions, a balance between risk and return, and a balance between persistence and abandonment. Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding balance and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness.
文：吴承梁
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