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5.25现货黄金开盘跳开势下跌,黄金还会涨吗日内行情分析及操作建议

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International SpotgoldFriday(5month22day)小幅反弹,但依然显示出一种上行疲态,美市盘中最高触及1739.51dollar/盎司,结合MACD指标出现了潜在的顶背离形态,这或将吓退部分技术面投资者,令黄金近期的上行空间受限。不过考虑到目前美联储和美国国会的刺激手段仍将加码,而黄金又是一种反货币政策资产,这意味着在与新冠病毒相关的全球多国大范围封锁之后,各国央行继续印钞以帮助启动全球经济,金价上涨的基础依然稳固。

  

  刚刚过去的一周,美联储和欧洲央行依次公布4月决议纪要,美联储主席鲍威尔发表讲话暗示更多刺激计划“在路上”;数据方面,美国公布上周初请失业金人数,减至243.8万,连续第七周下降,过去九周累计突破3800万人;欧美地区5月制造业活动继续萎缩,但PMI数据均好于预期,扶助风险偏好回暖;地缘政治中,中美紧张再次发酵,围绕疫情、香港问题、经贸博弈和中概股危机的多重矛盾角力市场。

  

  展望本周,首先关注的是美国的耐用品订单数据,同时欧元区也将公布消费者信心数据、经济和工业景气指数,市场将从中寻找全球经济复苏的线索。同时本周通胀数据密集,随着全球经济陷入了通缩,使得商品价格和消费者价格指数缺乏上涨的动能,这可能会延缓全球经济复苏的周期。此外本周加拿大还将公布利率决议,在决议公布前夕,加拿大央行行长波洛兹还将发表证词,市场将从中寻找线索。

  

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

  

  黄金技术面分析:周五价格在冲高之后回落,主要原因也是受到股市下跌的影响,价格在回落之后反弹受到MA20线压制,没有得到有效突破企稳,目前回落也是延续周五的下跌,虽然目前市场对于crude oil前景慢慢回暖,但是技术面上面临的回落风向相对较大。短线4小时走势来看,价格MA5日线刺破10日线,形成短暂回调局面,价格在触及下轨之后得到反弹,回到初1750-1718震荡区间,当前KDJ三线继续向下发展,MACD背离,绿色动能柱开始放量,上方借助1735震荡区间的压力位,还可以看回调在1720附近,短线MA5Rihe10日线为改变结构前,价格都将处于回调节奏。黄金从4From an hourly perspective, it oscillates widely; Bling belt opening,MACDGolden fork, reduced red energy column;KDJGolden cross, random index mild downward; This indicates that the short term long position of gold prices is insufficient, and there is a possibility of a volatile correction in the future. Follow below first1725Short term support, while also being subjected to10The double support of the moving average and the Bollinger Belt's mid rail is an important psychological barrier. If we fall behind, let's take a look1717,这是近期多次测试支撑位。综合来看,本周一短线操作思路上王铭鑫个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1740-1745Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1717-1720一线支撑。对投资黄金、原油感兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友,王铭鑫获取更多投资实时资讯、行情走势分析,交易策略指导。

  

Analysis of crude oil market trend:

  

  原油价格延续始于4month27日当周的低位反弹,一周升逾5dollar/桶,连续上破30-34大关,关于各经济体逐步经济重开的消息提振油市需求的预期,叠加美国石油生产商与OPEC+继续减产,美钻井平台数连续第三周跌至历史最低,为油价反弹进一步提供动能。原油技术面分析:原油日线图显示,日线收盘小阳线,高点破前高,低点没有破前高,出现了出头走势,均线系统出现了拐头迹象,运行在k线下方形成支撑,在日线级别油价这波上涨过程出现了三次回撤调整蓄力过程,第一次是21.2回撤在17.2位置,第二次27.9retracement 24.36位置,第三次就是33.0回撤在31.0水平。前两次中回撤幅度基本上维持在4美金范围,周期维持在2-3交易,此次油价再次出现了上涨遇阻迹象,重点关注31.1位置支撑,进一步下破就考虑29.5dollar/桶位置支撑,整体表现高位遇阻迹象。原油4小时图显示,原油在一波连续上涨后在出现了遇阻迹象,均线系统多头排列运行在k线下方形成支撑,分别需要关注31.5-29.5位置均线支撑,趋势指标上显示,多头动能放量出现了减弱迹象,kd指标高位出现了死叉,就当前整体格局来看,原油这波上涨整体维持在快涨慢跌格局中,如果油价下跌不改变当前格局幅度,大概率将出现延续走势。综合来看,本周一短线操作思路上王铭鑫个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注34.5-34.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below31.3-31.5Frontline support.                                                      
                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                   
    解慆策略被套之后,我们可以根据技术分析作出以下操作。
  
  
  1When trapped, according to chart analysis, if the purchased order is at a high level, immediate stop loss is required.
  
  
  2If the purchased order is in the middle position, you can temporarily observe and wait based on the current situation, in order to find a solution to exit or reduce your position at high prices to reduce losses.
  
  
  3If the purchased order is at a low level, there is no need to rush to stop losses. Instead, after the purchased order has stabilized and fallen, one should dare to replenish positions at important support levels, dilute costs, and rescue the positions trapped at high levels in the upcoming rebound market.
  
  
  4If the purchased order is on an upward trend, there is no need to stop loss. Holding it patiently for a period of time will inevitably lead to a decline, and there may even be a possibility of significant profits.
  
  
  5、如果所买入的单子处在平衡震荡趋势中,也不必立即止损,耐心等待该单子进入震荡循环高位,一旦解慆或者损失很 小的时候,应该果断离场出局。
  
  
  6If the purchased order is in a downward trend, once it is confirmed that the downward trend has formed, stop loss immediately and never have illusions about gains and losses. Any hesitation or hesitation can lead to a deep trap that is difficult to extricate oneself from.
  
  
  寄语缘来不拒,缘走不留,茫茫人海相识成为朋友也是一种缘分。素不相识的投资朋友只因看了我的文章信任我,所以每位找到我的投资朋友我都会给予最大的帮助,让这份信任变的更有价值。
  
  
  本人王铭鑫( ymsd06)浸染金融行业多年,有丰富的实战操盘经验和独特的交易理念,擅长解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资大趋势,专注黄金、foreign exchangeWait for trend analysis. If you have never made an investment and want to learn and understand, or if your order is not smooth, your investment funds often shrink, and you want to learn technical analysis and market analysis, then you need to communicate more with me. The financial industry is constantly changing. What I hope is to use my professional knowledge and years of experience to safeguard your funds.
  
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