5.22-23国际贸易引发市场疑虑，下周黄金原油走势分析预测

SpotgoldLondon Goldcrude oilfutures美原油消息面解析：
　　
Friday（5month22日）现货黄金窄幅震荡。周四因国际贸易局势引发了市场的疑虑，部分黄金投资者选择获利了结。同时随着封锁措施解除，美国的制造业和服务业均出现温和复苏的迹象，因此引发了黄金的部分抛售，较日内高点回落20美元，刷新一周低点。同时国际贸易担忧情绪以及欧系货币承压也推动了美元的买需，因此也部分施压金价。但是总体而言，由于疫情二次蔓延的风险，同时美国的续请失业金人数创纪录新高凸显就业压力有增无减，因此仍部分支撑金价。与此同时，美国持续出台巨量的财政和货币刺激措施，可以会引发通胀风险和本币贬值，从长期看利多金价。周四因国际贸易担忧情绪升温使得美股下跌，带动周五亚洲股市下跌，这对油价构成部分压力。另一方面近期油价过快的上涨，且逼近了此前缺口所在的阻力位，短时间也存在回调的空间，考虑到下周一是美国的阵亡将士纪念日，投资者选择获利了结，使得周五油价大跌。同时隔夜数据显示，美国的失业压力居高不下也对油价构成压力，但是全球制造业数据好转，部分缓解了压力。此外市场对于疫情二次爆发的风险也施压油价。不过随着近期全球原油库存下降，同时OPEC+等产油国仍在积极的减产，油市的供需状况已经明显好转，短时间大幅下跌可能性不大。总体而言，市场仍需关注疫情的进展、国际贸易局势以及全球经济数据表现，这三大因素对于油市下一步进展将产生关键影响。
　　
　　黄金技术面来看，黄金昨日高位回落，早盘开盘即承压下跌，最高1748. Fall below the low point of the last day's backtesting1742转为空头，欧美盘时段延续弱势走法。日图最终收盘大阴线。在高位震荡中走出一波较深度的回撤，带动日图MACDStarting to deviate from the top, the short line may enter a period of high oscillation correction. Of course, it will be accompanied by a dishwashing Yin Yang cycle saw.4After confirming the resistance twice during the hour of backpumping, the pressure drops below the low point1726.4小时走成冲高回落破低。延续回调浪形空间，且破低走得延续，不过均线系统暂时还未形成极弱势的单边下行。4Looking at the hour lineKThe line is a clear trend of top deviation, falling back, and falling,MA5toMA10able to achieve stability1746.0Dead fork downward penetration30Daily moving average hit60Daily moving average,MACDThe moving average is also a dead cross dual line downward green energy column that continues to increase volume. At present, the gold price remains at1720Above, there is a slight opening in the daily Bollinger Line track,MACDDouble line bonding,KDJThe initial formation of a dead fork indicates that the upward momentum of gold prices has weakened, and gold prices are subject to the Bollinger Line track1751.52Nearby resistance, there is a certain demand for a pullback in the short term, with preliminary support below10Daily moving average1710-1712附近，该位置也是上周的强势拉升点，具有一定的支撑力度；综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上个人建议以回调低多为主，上方短期重点关注1750-1745Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1715-1710Frontline support. I have already announced today's operation on Peng.friend.And it will always be there//letter//Live streaming with an accuracy rate of over 90%, by the author（deng86867）Communication is all free. Did you miss today's profit?

　　

　　原油技术面来看，原油日K线高位收一根小十字星，4小时图高位K线逐渐的转阴，MACD在零轴上方死叉背离向下，预示价格有回落的空间。从小周期的形态来看，顶部出现头肩顶的形态的雏形，4Hourly starK线慢性上涨，K线实体不大，但是处于上升趋势当中。这种慢涨小K线难言见顶，即使回调也是局部修正。边修正指标边蓄势上涨的走法。1小时图探高回落后再启稳修正，暂时处于上升浪形延伸当中，前一日的低点就是隔日的临界点。而昨日回测依旧守住在32.50上方，昨日强调，回调失守32.50短线依旧看慢涨逼空，没有快速的冲高见顶形态出现暂时不考虑空单，即使短线伴随小回踩，但主趋势上升结构未改。由于节奏由单边上涨转为慢涨逼空，每刷新一个高点都会伴随回踩。综合分析下周一操作上建议低多为主，下方关注29.7-30.2Short term support, top focus34.5-34Short term resistance.
　　
　　在众多的技术指标中，KDJ指标绝对可以算是最基础的一种。但是请大家记住这三点：
　　
　　1、最基础的指标最有效
　　
　　2、很多人都觉得KDJ指标很简单，自己会用
　　
　　3、但只有5%的股民才真的懂KDJUsage of indicators
　　
　　既然这个指标这么有效，那我们就来系统的、精辟的讲解这个指标。KDJ技术指标简介
　　
Random indicatorsKDJ是由三条不同颜色的线组成了KDJ指标。至于KDJ指标如何算到的，其实并不重要，因为任何一款股票软件都自动配备，所以股民只要会用就足矣。KDJ指标是三条曲线，在应用时主要从四个方面进行考虑：、KDJ的取值的绝对数字——有两种水位：低位(25below)、高位(80below)在高水平，80以上或左右，发生死叉，一般会下跌。在低水位，25以下，发生金叉，股价一般会上涨。KD曲线的形态——双重顶(bottom)、头肩顶(bottom)，三重顶(bottom)……，KDJ出现这些形态时，和形态理论的判断一致。KD指标的交叉——金叉(Bullish)、死叉(Bearish)，
　　
　　4、KD指标的背离
　　
　　金叉股价没涨，反而是跌，这就是指标与价格背离，因为指标有背离，很多人不知道如何使用或正确使用该指标。首先，KDJ指标不要运用在日线上，而是首选周线。其次，KDJ指标运用上采用周日共振来完成。我们以同一时期上证指数的周K线来看，就可明显看到这种共振。
　　
　　在实际操作时往往会碰到这样的问题：
　　
　　1、由于日线KDJThe speed of change is faster than the circumferenceKDJHurry up, it's the weekly lineKDJGolden cross hourKDJ已提前金叉几天，股价也上升了一段，买入成本已抬高。激进型的投资者可打提前量买入，以求降低成本。要满足的条件是：收周阳线，周线K、J两线勾头上行将要金叉(未金叉)。 Daily lineKDJ在这一周内发展金叉，金叉日收放量阳线(若日线KDJ金叉当天，当天成交量大于5日均量更好。KDJ能帮助我们找到股票短线的买卖点。但是股票的上涨也会受到基本面、消息面和政策面等其他因素的影响。因此我们在使用KDJ指标时，应注意不要太绝对。

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GoldKLine theory:
　　
The theory of relative position is goldKThe second largest theory of line theory. As the saying goes, oranges born in the south are called oranges, which are sweet and sweet;Born in the north, it is bitter and astringent, known as trifoliate orange. The same seeds, grown in different environments, have vastly different results. Same, exactly the sameKLines, if placed in different relative positions, have a completely different guiding effect on the future market.KThe position of the line is crucial for analysis and judgmentKLines are extremely important. goldKThe theory of relative position of lines includes the following two meanings:
　　
UsuallyK线所处的位置没有绝对的高点和低点，因此我们只能用相对位置来表示，这取决于个人对行情高度的判断，是需要一定悟性的，但是我们必须作一个简单的区别。一般分为相对高位、相对低位和半山腰三个位置。　因为高点和低点不是绝对的，因此也无需过分苛求准确的定位，只是给以大概的区别即可。关于今日的操作，本人已经公布在朋.friend.And it will always be there//letter//Live streaming with an accuracy rate of over 90%, by the author（deng86867）Communication is all free. Did you miss today's profit?
　　
It is generally divided into three types: upward trend, downward trend, and consolidation trend, also known as upward channel, downward channel, and horizontal consolidation. At a relatively high levelKSpecial attention should be paid to analyzing whether the main force needs to wash the market or if there is a change in the overall situation, and the main force needs to ship at a high level. Generally speaking, the main force washing the market will fluctuate sharply downwards, making it easy for people to be deceived;However, if the main force wants to ship at a high level, it will be very gentle, giving people a feeling of needing to adjust at a high level and continue to hit higher peaks. By observing and calculating the inflow and outflow of the main force's funds, it can be found. Nine out of ten retail investors compensate for this reason, always being deceived by technical data and confused by the main force. Relatively lowKGenerally, the line falls to a certain extent, so there will be a relatively low level, but whether the incoming buying is awesome depends on the subsequent trend. Low position long and short positions are usually fought back and forth, whenKThe smaller the amplitude of the line, the more reasonable the price range has been organized. At this time, the normal trading volume will be relatively low. If there is a continuous upward or downward long lead or cross star, and the trading volume starts to rise, it indicates that the market is about to change. At this moment, it is necessary to constantly pay attention. If the main funds are continuously entering but the price fluctuates little, then buy decisively, When the main force builds up their positions, they will give up suppressing prices and turn to aggressively entering the market to start pulling up, usually starting with a bullish candlestick. A sharp rise in prices is relatively important, but it should be combined withKBased on a comprehensive assessment of the line and trading volume, whether the price does not rise or fall is not necessarily a bad thing, but rather the preparation for the next surge.
　　
Fund management is one of the core contents of trading systems, and its essence is risk management. The core logic of financial markets is that potential returns are equal to risks. Pursuing higher profit goals will inevitably face greater risks. Trading is valuable in the long run, and trading operations should pursue a balance between attack and defense. All positions and significant losses are the result of heavy attacks and light defenses. Fund management mainly involves building positions, stopping losses and profits, increasing positions and reducing positions, and so on. Here is only a brief explanation of warehouse construction. Assuming you use a1000Using USD accounts for international gold trading（XAUUSD）Margin trading, current market price is1390USD, you are considering setting the stop loss at a new high and then moving back to the previous low1381Below the US dollar1380On the position of the US dollar, the target price is considered to reach a new high1440Below the US dollar, per transaction2%Loss rule (usually recommended for classic trading)1-2%(Small funds can be adjusted accordingly), what is the amount of loss you can bear20USD（1000USD x0.02）In this way, you can only pay the market price1390Establishment of US dollars0.02Buying multiple positions by hand（20÷10）The profit and loss ratio is approximately5:1. If you use1385Set a price limit for buying orders in US dollars, and positions can be set0.04Hand（20÷5）Profit loss ratio1：10Left and right. Of course, you can also adopt the fixed position method, using a secure fixed position for each order placed over a period of time.
　　
　　本文由黄金分析师现货理财师独家策划，感谢广大读者对笔者文章的喜爱和支持，希望大家能从我的文章中有所收获和感悟！因文章撰写和上传具有延时性，仅供参考！现货理财师薇/Letter（deng86867）For gold/原油投资感觉不顺利，或者想学习看盘学习分析的投资者可以联系