段浩雨：疫苗试验乐观情绪原油暴涨，黄金多单被套怎么解？

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Duan Haoyu:5.19疫苗试验乐观情绪crude oil暴涨，gold多单被套怎么解？


市场基本面解析


尽管周一早间美联储主席鲍威尔讲话支持黄金大涨。鲍威尔表示，美联储将使用一切工具帮助经济，美联储将维持利率在接近零的水平，直至经济重回正轨，数据显示第二季度产出将急剧下滑。美联储的弹药尚未耗尽，如有需要可采取更多措施，可根据需要增加资产购买规模。

但是，据消息称，Moderna公司用于新冠肺炎的疫苗MRNA--1273是安全耐受性良好的；预计在7月开始最终阶段的疫苗试验。该消息提振了经济有望加快重启步伐的预期。美股三大指数全线收高，道指上涨900多点，涨幅3.85%，纳指涨幅2.44%，标普涨幅3.15%。


围绕新冠疫苗试验的乐观情绪带动股市和油价飙升，削弱了黄金的避险需求，此外，美债收益率日内大幅飙升，也令金价承压大幅的回撤，回吐了之前的所有涨幅。另外，由于近期黄金看多情绪过于高涨，短期积累了大量的获利盘，大量的获利盘平仓离场也对金价构成了打压。


Analysis of Today's Gold and Crude Oil Trends and Operational Suggestions


黄金昨日探高回落收低，先扬后抑。先行上探1765dollar|盎司高位承压，欧美盘时段受疫苗研发乐观前景的报道，市场风险偏好回暖，欧美股市大涨，美元和黄金避险资产局部同步下跌。黄金大幅下挫最低至1727.50dollar|盎司低位才轻微止跌收盘。日图收成带有上影线的中阴线。日图的冲高收低使得短期再次陷入高位拉锯。由于昨日下跌幅度较大，将强势转为震荡，今日延续是一个关键。不排除今日有收复在高位震荡的可能。


4小时连阴回撤幅度较大，直接高位打到从1690低点上涨至1765的黄金回撤分割点0.5的位置才出现阳线修正，目前不确定是止跌反弹还是整理修正后进一步延续走跌。昨日虽然回撤幅度大，但今日的延续性才是一个关键，在这种高位拉锯的行情当中，也经常出现隔日强势收复的走法。重点要留意昨晚1727.50低点的争夺。亚盘强弱延续不明显，重点看欧盘之后。激进一点可先在1730-1731附近先短多一次上看1740-1743之间落袋。其它位置欧盘结合形态安排；想要学习更多黄金投资技巧的朋友可以关注段浩雨Vletterdhy287Every morning7From midnight to early morning2Click on real-time online guidance.

5-19（周二）黄金操作建议：


（1）亚盘1730-1731先短多防守1727target1740


（2）1743-1744Air defense1748target1735-1730Break down and take a look.


原油昨日开盘即涨，整理后的突破加速，符合单边上涨的预期。昨日盘中两连多，亚盘时段在30.30直接做多到位31.80目标。美盘时段在31.55as well as31.25分别做多于今日早盘提示在32.65处落袋部分。日图收成饱满阳K线，形成强势连阳上涨加速。昨日的上涨相对于上周更显强劲。几乎是亚欧盘无回踩式的冲高，美盘时段伴随一波回踩后再收复失地收盘在高位。日图收得饱满，同时昨晚尾盘进行了部分回踩修正，今日亚欧盘会进一步的冲高，不过futures合约到期转期。谨防短线出现局部的冲高落袋回落。结构上日图仍处于多头上扬当中。


Short line chart:4小时贴着短期均线单边上涨格局不改，这也是昨日只多不空的原因，K线形态还未完成放量见顶。以小阳线连续整理放量的走法。强势逼空慢涨阶段，同时连阳配合小阴回踩即快速收复。任何的阴K线回踩确认都是多点。而1小时回踩的支撑点刚好是布林道中轨。依托小周期中轨的上涨格局未改变，今日短线会进一步的惯性冲高。而台阶上涨结构中，前一日尾盘的回踩低点31.0就是今日的多头临界点，今日只要在临界点之上继续维持回踩多。支撑上移至31.80.预计亚盘还是整理后继续上扬的走法。亚欧盘继续回踩多，美盘时段谨防探高回落。


原油：｛1｝昨晚31.55as well as31.25加仓多单早盘于32.65先行落袋部分。留低位继续上看新高。空仓的亚盘回踩32.0附近继续多防守31.50target33.0-33.80.

Real time guidance - real-time reminders of entry and exit points, unstoppable winning streak


When investing, don't worry about making yourself rich overnight, but also make yourself valuable. In the process of investing, cultivate your mentality, improve your inner experience, be calm, don't be greedy, don't be impatient. If you are confused when investing, then it is because you think too much and do too little. Why do you set orders? Because you are greedy, why don't you make money? Because you think too much, don't make money when you should, make you happy when you make a profit, and make you anxious when you make a loss.


In fact, many investors have a chance to turn around after losing money, but they are too psychologically impacted and find it difficult to accept at the moment. In fact, investment friends like this have complete opportunities as long as their inner strength is strong enough not to be overwhelmed by temporary difficulties. If their inner strength is not strong enough, they may have to bear the pain of failure. Ultimately, when it comes to investing, as an investor, whether it's temporary losses or gains, we need to have a strong mentality and a high degree of vigilance. When investing, we also look at long-term returns. Today's profits do not necessarily mean that you will also be able to make profits tomorrow, and today's losses do not necessarily mean that you will continue to lose. Always maintain a sense of awe in order to better control this investment.


The market is like a battlefield. In the end, it's about fighting people, fighting wealthy people, fighting wealthy people without using their brains, and not seeking professional help. Do you want to use money to fight alone. In short, when it comes to thinking and getting, there is still one thing to do in between: guiding for eight years, reading through thousands of people, doing countless market changes, understanding the essence of the market, understanding the essence of trading through ups and downs, returning to simplicity after all the ups and downs, not expecting to turn positions overnight in the illusory, but hoping to make small profits and be safe every week. When we meet in the market, my responsibility is to preach, impart knowledge, and dispel doubts, so that you can avoid detours as much as possible, and to analyze and make rational judgments with care, only to prevent those who follow from getting lost,2020I will only find a good way out for your future investment, and when you find me, it may also be the time for you to make a comeback.

Mindset is certainly important, but more importantly, it's about making a profit. If a teacher doesn't help you make money and makes your mindset better every day, isn't that nonsense? Imagine, after entering the market, I haven't made any money. My initial goal was to make money, but later it turned out to be wanting to recoup and get rid of the situation. How could my mentality be good? I kept closing profits continuously and doubled my position. How could my mentality be bad? My goal is to make you profitable.


Author of this article: Duan Haoyu [reprinted, please indicate source]


authority:dhy287（VLetter official account: Duan Haoyu)


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