Xie Hongyuan:5.19黄金原油日内行情分析及操作建议

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goods in stockgold盘中创七年多新高至1765.43dollar/盎司，一度回落30USD to1735附近，日内避险情绪一度高涨，投资者对贸易及美国经济问题存担忧情绪，且全球央行的宽松行动引发通胀预期，推动包含大宗商品整体走高，黄金白银也不例外，但短期而言，黄金看涨情绪过于高涨，可能引发部分获利者平仓离场，从而引发金价的回撤。且日内美国疫苗公司表示公布疫苗第一阶段积极中期数据，预计在7月开始最终阶段的疫苗试验，这打压了避险需求，后期依旧继续关注贸易风险进展，此外全球复工进展也值得关注。

U.S.AWTI 7monthcrude oilfuturesElectronic disk price Monday(5month18day)Closing up2.85USD, increase9.65%Report32.37dollar/桶。油价周一跃升至两个多月来的最高水平，原因是一种可能的冠状病毒疫苗的初步效果良好，市场对经济活动恢复的乐观情绪，以及有迹象表明产油国正在按计划减产。研发疫苗的公司Moderna周一表示，该公司的实验性新冠疫苗在小规模早期试验中显示出令人鼓舞的结果，疫苗产生的病毒中和抗体类似于在康复患者体内发现的抗体。来自疫苗的好消息刺激油价大幅走高。这是3month11日以来布油和美油期货的最高结算价，3month11日的前几日，石油输出国组织(OPEC)和俄罗斯减产协议谈判破裂，导致油价开始暴跌。瑞穗能源期货主管表示，美油期货用了两个多月时间才基本清理完3monthOPEC+会议后的残骸。谢鸿远认为原油需求仍处于复苏的初期阶段，反弹势头脆弱。油价今年已下跌约48%，虽然在疫苗方面取得了进展，但对第二波疫情的担忧仍笼罩市场。

Gold market analysis:

现货黄金从日线来看，高位宽幅震荡，布林带收口，但整体趋势向上，价格位于中轨上方；MACD有呈金叉趋势，KDJ金叉；谢鸿远就目前来看，黄金仍偏向看涨。上方先留意1750压制，多头多次测试一旦该点位被破，将提振市场看多情绪，目标位上看2012year11Monthly high point1754，并为后续测试1800关口积累动能。以价格大幅走高，录得大实体阳线形态，同时价格突破近段时间三角形震荡区间，并伴随指标变盘金叉，暗示短时间内趋势或将转向多头，但由于MA5支撑均线仍在震荡区间上轨位置附近，日内需警惕价格回踩确认支撑动作。

Spot gold from4小时来看，震荡走高；从四小时级别来看，布林带趋平，金价承压于布林带中轨；MACD金叉、指标徘徊0Axis,KDJ金叉且指数接近80。整体来看，金价短线多头相对强劲，但需警惕超买现象。目前来看价格保持震荡上行走势，指标双线持续金叉向上运行，均线呈多头排列形态，金价也形成了不断上移的高点和低点，已突破前高1747美元，证实了上涨趋势，关注能否企稳。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上谢鸿远个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1745-1750Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1720-1725Frontline support.

The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operational strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance and communicationVX【xhy130910】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.VXJob Title: Xie Hongyuan

Latest operating suggestions for gold:

1The rebound above the gold does not break1745-1750Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1732-1730frontline;

2The pullback below the gold does not break1720-1725Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1745-1747frontline;

黄金单边下跌，多单被套又该怎么办！

1.Investors who hold high positions can use the rebound market to unwind and exit, or reduce their positions when they encounter high positions; Once the market changes, the covered orders will immediately stop losing and be eliminated, and reverse positions will be established to compensate for losses;

2.Investors with mid range hedging can temporarily wait and see, do not rush to cut orders. If there is an opportunity in the market, they can reduce their positions appropriately and increase their positions based on trend analysis combined with technical analysis to make up for losses;

3.Investors who hold low positions can use the pullback market to unwind and exit, or reduce their positions on dips; Once there is a change in the market, the orders will be placed to stop losses and exit, and reverse positions will be established to compensate for losses.

Analysis of crude oil market:

原油从日线来看，震荡反弹，原油收复昨日失地，延续反弹的走法，奠定强势格局，同时收复了隔日的上影线，短线整理偏多。技术面来看，KDJThe golden cross, the random indicator, has risen again,MACD金叉，红色能量柱持稳，指示原油接下来将继续维持震荡反弹之势，上方关注阻力关注30.0整数关口，若破位该位置阻力，则中线增加看涨信号。原油4From an hourly perspective, breaking the pattern of interval fluctuations, crude oil is currently27.0The horizontal consolidation above has started to stabilize, and the consolidation time has been relatively long. It has never fallen below the bull's critical point, and has repeatedly tested the high point. Currently, it remains above the critical point and sees new highs. Technically speaking,KDJThe golden cross, with random indicators rising,MACD金叉，红色能量柱扩大，均线成多头发散，原油具备冲高破高量能。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上谢鸿远个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注33.0-33.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below31.5-31.0Frontline support.

Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:

1The rebound above the crude oil does not break33.0-33.5Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target30.2-30.0frontline;

2The downward correction of crude oil does not break31.0-30.5Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target31.5-31.8frontline;

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writing/Xie Hongyuan（VX：xhy130910Good job: Xie Hongyuan), wandering between the Yin and Yang lines, planning to sell slag up and down! Daily simple and clear morning reviews, afternoon reviews, and evening reviews are available online throughout the day to dissect financial market trends, gain insight into the fundamental trends of the market, and safeguard your funds! I am Xie Hongyuan, your mentor and friend on the road of gold investment.