Duan Haoyu:5.17美国经济下滑，黄金原油后市展望及短线布局

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Duan Haoyu:5.17美国经济下滑，goldcrude oil后市展望及短线布局


美国经济经济数据表现接连不尽人意鲍威尔也看衰美国经济


尽管美国开始逐步放松限制，但本周接二连三的经济数据表现糟糕，这突显出经济下滑加深。


数据显示，继3Falling at the end of the month0.4%后，美国4Monthly consumer price index(CPI)上月又下跌了0.8%. This is from2008year12月经济在衰退痛苦挣扎以来的最大跌幅，且为连续第二个月下降。4Monthly CoreCPIMonth-on-month decline0.4%, year-on-year increase1.4%。

美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，在最近一个报告期内，初请失业金人数总计接近300万，且连续第六周下降，但仍高的惊人。


紧接着，美国商务部周五发布的一份报告显示，4月份美国零售销售大幅下滑16.4%，创下记录最低水平，因为在冠状病毒大流行的影响下，美国经济的支柱出现了收缩。


美联储主席鲍威尔在美国经济即将重启之际，对前景作出了冷静的评估。


鲍威尔周三警告称，经济疲弱增长和收入停滞将持续“一段长时间”，承诺联储将因应需要使用更多工具，并呼吁增加财政支出，来阻止冠状病毒大流行的后果。


不过，在市场最为关注的负利率问题上，鲍威尔并未做出让步。“委员会对负利率的看法真的没有改变。这不是我们正在考虑的事情”，鲍威尔在彼得森国际经济研究所主办的一个活动上回答记者提问时表示。


黄金技术分析及下周预测：


黄金日线来看，黄金突破三角形态后继续上行可能指向1760等水平，1720一线转化为初步支撑。技术面来看，MACDDead fork, reduced green energy column,KDJ金叉，随机指标走高，指示黄金接下来将展开反弹之势；不过黄金目前整体维持在1720-1750区间宽幅震荡，上方1750还是存在压力，破位该位阻力，将去试探本年度高点1760First line. gold4小时来看，打破了三角区的僵局；MACD金叉，红色能量柱扩张，KDJ金叉随机指标走高，指示黄金接下来将维持旗形看涨形态；黄金破位区间后延续涨势，后市继续关注1750压力有效性，需要及时跟上节奏，必定是强势行情。目前是否能延续多头，还的看1750的压制情况，目前来看还是存在难度不算大，不过整体还是维持强势。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上段浩雨个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注1755-1758Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1730-1725一线支撑。由于笔者段浩雨不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人

原油技术分析及下周预测：


原油从日线来看，震荡反弹，原油收复昨日失地，延续反弹的走法，奠定强势格局，同时收复了隔日的上影线，短线整理偏多。技术面来看，KDJThe golden cross, the random indicator, has risen again,MACDThe golden fork and red energy column remain stable, indicating that crude oil will continue to maintain a fluctuating rebound trend in the future. Attention from above29.3The first line of rebound in the early stage is the high point, followed by30.0The resistance at the checkpoint, if it breaks through the resistance at that position, increases the bullish signal in the midline. crude oil4From an hourly perspective, breaking the pattern of interval fluctuations, crude oil is currently25.0The horizontal consolidation above has started to stabilize, and the consolidation time has been relatively long. It has never fallen below the bull's critical point, and has repeatedly tested the high point. Currently, it remains above the critical point and sees new highs. Technically speaking,KDJThe golden cross, with random indicators rising,MACD金叉，红色能量柱扩大，均线成多头发散，具备冲高破高量能，就看何时发力，油价目前在中性偏高的位置，短线暂时还是震荡蓄势当中，综合分析下周一操作上浩雨建议回调做多为主，上方关注30-31.5One line of resistance, pay attention below27.5-28一线支撑。行情千变万化，想要学习更多黄金投资技巧的朋友可以关注段浩雨Vletterdhy287Every morning7From midnight to early morning2Click on real-time online guidance.

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When investing, don't worry about making yourself rich overnight, but also make yourself valuable. In the process of investing, cultivate your mentality, improve your inner experience, be calm, don't be greedy, don't be impatient. If you are confused when investing, then it is because you think too much and do too little. Why do you set orders? Because you are greedy, why don't you make money? Because you think too much, don't make money when you should, make you happy when you make a profit, and make you anxious when you make a loss.


In fact, many investors have a chance to turn around after losing money, but they are too psychologically impacted and find it difficult to accept at the moment. In fact, investment friends like this have complete opportunities as long as their inner strength is strong enough not to be overwhelmed by temporary difficulties. If their inner strength is not strong enough, they may have to bear the pain of failure. Ultimately, when it comes to investing, as an investor, whether it's temporary losses or gains, we need to have a strong mentality and a high degree of vigilance. When investing, we also look at long-term returns. Today's profits do not necessarily mean that you will also be able to make profits tomorrow, and today's losses do not necessarily mean that you will continue to lose. Always maintain a sense of awe in order to better control this investment.


The market is like a battlefield. In the end, it's about fighting people, fighting wealthy people, fighting wealthy people without using their brains, and not seeking professional help. Do you want to use money to fight alone. In short, when it comes to thinking and getting, there is still one thing to do in between: guiding for eight years, reading through thousands of people, doing countless market changes, understanding the essence of the market, understanding the essence of trading through ups and downs, returning to simplicity after all the ups and downs, not expecting to turn positions overnight in the illusory, but hoping to make small profits and be safe every week. When we meet in the market, my responsibility is to preach, impart knowledge, and dispel doubts, so that you can avoid detours as much as possible, and to analyze and make rational judgments with care, only to prevent those who follow from getting lost,2019I will only find a good way out for your future investment, and when you find me, it may also be the time for you to make a comeback.

Mindset is certainly important, but more importantly, it's about making a profit. If a teacher doesn't help you make money and makes your mindset better every day, isn't that nonsense? Imagine, after entering the market, I haven't made any money. My initial goal was to make money, but later it turned out to be wanting to recoup and get rid of the situation. How could my mentality be good? I kept closing profits continuously and doubled my position. How could my mentality be bad? My goal is to make you profitable.


Author of this article: Duan Haoyu [reprinted, please indicate source]


authority:dhy287（VLetter official account: Duan Haoyu)


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