Li Yushan:5.12黄金原油行情走势分析附操作解套

市场走势永远无法满足所有人，包括我的分析也是一样。激动的心情，跳动的行情，K线走势犹如心电图，不波动就不正常了！要么你驾驭市场，要么市场驾驭你，心态决定你是坐骑还是骑手，市场环境不会改变，解决之道在于改变心态，在交易的过程中不能把控市场，就要把控情绪。行动是治愈恐惧的良药，而犹豫、拖延将不断滋养恐惧，往往发现盘前看对，盘中犹豫，盘后后悔。不是你的分析能力的不够，而是因为考虑的太多，一个人想的太多，容易判断失误，错失良机。我说的全部是事实，但不是事实的全部！
　　
　　gold消息面解析：周二(5month11day)中国工商银行纸黄金纸白银亚市早盘双双上扬。国际现货黄金周一亚市早盘开于1702.40dollar/Ounces, highest rising to1712.30dollar/Ounces, lowest dip1690.95dollar/Ounces, closing1695.82dollar/Ounces, down5.36USD or0.32%。国际现货白银周一亚市早盘开于15.48dollar/Ounces, highest rising to15.60dollar/Ounces, lowest dip15.24dollar/Ounces, closing15.47dollar/Ounces, up0.02USD or0.13%。黄金价格周一回落，因美元受益于对第二波冠状病毒感染的担忧引发的避险买盘。
　　
　　黄金技术面分析：黄金日线来看，震荡反弹：KLine on1670-1746The range fluctuates horizontally, and currently the Bollinger Belt has closed, with gold prices rebounding supported by the mid track of the Bollinger Belt,MACDDead fork,KDJ金叉；技术面来看，暗示黄金正处多空争夺。上行方面，金价上周盘中一度上破1720One line, approaching last Thursday's high1723一线。若该点位被突破，本人认为将看向高点1738Pressure level; It may even test annual highs1747First line, this is7At a high level of half a year, it is expected to significantly open up upward space after breaking through. However, due to the good performance of non agricultural sectors, gold bulls have been suppressed. Let's take note below1690Support, followed by1680支撑，个人认为不过由于近期多次来回，该点位支撑线相对较强；下破后留意1670附近，这是上周三、周四测试的低点；在没有失守该位置之前后市偏向宽幅震荡。关于黄金实时操作，本人已经公布，准确率百分之九十以上，详情可以质询李昱山/Wei\杏（lysa1918），全是免费。等你来检验。
　　
Gold4小时来看，宽幅震荡；MACD死叉，红色能量柱缩减；KDJ死叉，随机指标温和向下；这表明金价短线多头不足接下来将有望展开震荡回调之势。下方先关注1690短线支撑，这是近期多次测试支撑位，有一定参考性，一旦该点位失守，支撑位在1680附近，这是前一交易日的低点。黄金由于如果强势反弹至1720上方，那么将缓解看空信号，在没有失守该位置之前后市偏向震荡回调。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1708-1710Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1688-1690一线支撑。操作建仓把握不准，TAO单焦急的朋友可连线笔者倌薇：lysa1918，行情瞬息万变，更多实时策略公.many.号李昱山盘中指导给出。
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1708-1710Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1696-1694frontline;
　　
　　2The pullback below the gold does not break1688-1690Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1698-1700frontline;
　　
　　crude oil消息面解析：英国首相约翰逊将在当地时间周日19:00(Early Monday morning Beijing time02:00)Publish a roadmap for lifting the blockade measures. At present, restarting the economy has become the main task of European and American countries. Even the UK, which is the worst affected by the epidemic, has started to restart the economy, indicating that the epidemic has indeed improved in Europe and America and has been effectively controlled. This is a significant benefit for the commodity market. Previously, major oil producing countries such as Saudi Arabia raised oil prices, indicating that the market will be more optimistic about crude oil demand. We need to focus on this weekEIAThe performance of the weekly crude oil inventory report andOPECThe content of the monthly report on the crude oil market; In the past few weeks,EIAInventory data shows an unexpected decline in gasoline inventory, reflecting the market's rebound in demand for crude oil. The market is concerned about the upcoming announcementOPECThere are certain pessimistic expectations in the monthly report, and we need to be careful that oil prices will fall from high levels.
　　
　　原油技术面分析：从技术面来看，油价周五收盘上涨5%，录得连续第二周周线涨幅，美原油6月合约全周上涨25%；因美国石油生产商减产，钻井平台数量降至创纪录低点，同时更多的州开始放松为阻止卫生事件大流行蔓延而实施的封锁举措。随着钻机停转和全国产量减少，需求回升的迹象也正在出现，日线录得一根小阳线，MACDandKDJGolden fork operation,5Daily moving average10日均线结成金叉，市场看多情绪显着增加，初步阻力关注周高点28.00附近；进一步阻力在4month3Daily high point29.13附近，若突破该位置，则油价可能进一步冲击30整数关口，该位置接近布林线上轨，阻力相对较强，一旦突破将打开新的上涨空间。
　　
　　不过，由于卫生事件病例继续增加和美国原油过剩状况仍呈一个陡峭的上升趋势，且KDJ运行在超买区域，短线仍然需要警惕油价震荡回落的可能，下方初步支撑参考周五低点23.2附近，该位置同时也是5日均线支撑所在，支撑相对较强，若失守则增加短线看空信号，进一步支撑在布林线中轨21.07附近，该位置同时是周二触及的低点，有一定支撑性；若下破，关注3month30The 18-year low reached on the day19.27。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注25.8-26.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below23.3-23.5Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
　　
　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break25.8-26.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target24.6-24.4frontline;
　　
　　2The downward correction of crude oil does not break23.3-23.5Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target25.0-25.2frontline;