Wang Mingxin5.9午夜黄金暴跌能否回头，下周黄金行情走势预测及操作建议

　前言：如何成为一名成功的投资者 Achieve a state of sustained and stable profitability? Consisting of three important parts= Trading ideas/idea+Trading ideas(skill)+Trading sentiment (Market sentiment and personal sentiment) Let's briefly talk about it first Trading ideas/Concept, we will discuss trading sentiment in the future. The most crucial point in trading is to find the key point of your life and enter the market. How can you find this point? This can be applied to stage pricing algorithms! How to avoid so many trend traps? This needs to rise to trading thinking, which is your subjective understanding of trading. The inherent law of market fluctuations is the result of the game between the long and short sides, which is interactive. Trading ideas and concepts are important, skills are not important. The ideology is correct, the skills are natural.

周一策略

Friday（5month8Daily Spotgold跳水至1710下方，最低至1705.8dollar/盎司，美国非农就业数据整体好于预期，盘中创近两周新高至1723.13dollar/Despite the recent rise in global stocks, the expectation of negative interest rates from the Federal Reserve has increased, which has led to a rise in most asset classes. Bloomberg stated that when employment data improves, the interest rate market may slightly decline and decline, but do not expect an upward trend. The market is still skeptical about the speed of economic recovery, and inflation expectations are unlikely to rise, which is necessary for sustained higher yields.



From the perspective of the gold daily line: fluctuating rebound:KLine on1670-1746The range fluctuates horizontally, and currently the Bollinger Belt has closed, with gold prices rebounding supported by the mid track of the Bollinger Belt,MACDDead fork,KDJGolden fork; From a technical perspective, it suggests that gold is in a long and short competition. On the upward side, gold prices briefly broke through during the intraday trading session1720一线，逼近本周四高点1723一线。若该点位被突破，王铭鑫认为将看向高点1738Pressure level; It may even test annual highs1747First line, this is7At a high level of half a year, it is expected to significantly open up upward space after breaking through. However, due to the good performance of non agricultural sectors, gold bulls have been suppressed. Let's take note below1700Gateway support, followed by the Bollinger Belt medium rail1692Support, however, due to multiple recent rounds, the support line at this point is relatively strong; Pay attention after breaking down1680附近，这是本周三、周四测试的低点；在没有失守该位置之前后市偏向宽幅震荡；



Gold4From an hourly perspective: wide oscillation; Bling belt opening,MACDGolden fork, reduced red energy column;KDJGolden cross, random index mild downward; This indicates that the short term long position of gold prices is insufficient, and there is a possibility of a volatile correction in the future. Follow below first1703Short term support, while also being subjected to10The double support of the moving average and the Bollinger Belt's mid rail is an important psychological barrier. If we fall behind, let's take a look1690This is a recent multiple testing of support level, which has some reference value. Once this point is missed, the support level will be1682附近，这是前一交易日的低点。黄金由于本周强势反弹至1700Above, gold prices are hovering1710上方附近，初步阻力为看向周五高点1725附近。那么在没有失守该位置之前后市偏向震荡回调；操作上王铭鑫建议高空为主，低多为辅；上方关注1723-1725Resistance; Follow Below1703-1700支撑；具体进场点位王铭鑫会在实盘中给出；



　　crude oil：从技术面来看，沙特国有能源巨头沙特阿美上调了6The price of most grades of crude oil in the month pushed up the oil price for a while, with the daily averageMACDandKDJGold fork, market bullish sentiment has increased. Upward resistance, focus on this week's high first28.00Nearby; If you go higher again, pay attention4month3Daily high point29.13. Once broken, further testing of the material30Pass, this coincides with the track on the Bollinger Belt, and if it breaks, it is expected to be tested3Monthly gap36.34Nearby. On the downside, pay attention21.00On the first line, this is the middle track of the Bollinger Belt and the low point hit on Tuesday, which has some support; If broken down, follow3month30The 18-year low reached on the day19.27This is affected by15Daily moving average support. Once this point falls below expectations, it will trigger another crude oil sell-off, and oil prices may plummet again, possibly even retesting10.00High level support.



Short line4The Houbulin Belt has three tracks facing upwards,MACDandKDJDead fork; In the short term, it is necessary to be vigilant against any pullback after a sharp rise. Pay attention to the downside first24.00Nearby, this is supported by the middle rail of the Bollinger Belt; If you fall below, take a look22.50Near the front line, this has been tested multiple times in the early stage, and at the same time50The daily moving average is similar and has some support. If it breaks again, pay attention to last Friday's high point20.50Nearby, broken material returns20Further attention below the checkpoint19.27Frontline. Once this point is missed, it will increase bearish sentiment in the market. Looking down18.00This point has been tested multiple times and has some reference value. Preliminary resistance level looking towards Wednesday high27.97Nearby, material testing after breaking4month4Daily high point29.13At the same time, this is suppressed by the Bollinger belt on the track. If you break through this position, take a closer look30关口，一旦该关口被上破，增加短线看多信号。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上王铭鑫个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注25.5-26.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below22.5-22.0Frontline support.

    GoldKLine theory:

　　

The theory of relative position is goldKThe second largest theory of line theory. As the saying goes, oranges born in the south are called oranges, which are sweet and sweet;Born in the north, it is bitter and astringent, known as trifoliate orange. The same seeds, grown in different environments, have vastly different results. Same, exactly the sameKLines, if placed in different relative positions, have a completely different guiding effect on the future market.KThe position of the line is crucial for analysis and judgmentKLines are extremely important. goldKThe theory of relative position of lines includes the following two meanings:

　　

UsuallyKThe position of a line does not have an absolute high or low point, so we can only use relative position to represent it. This depends on an individual's judgment of the market height and requires a certain level of understanding, but we must make a simple distinction. It is generally divided into three positions: relatively high, relatively low, and halfway up the mountain. Because high and low points are not absolute, there is no need to overly demand accurate positioning, just give a rough distinction.

　　

It is generally divided into three types: upward trend, downward trend, and consolidation trend, also known as upward channel, downward channel, and horizontal consolidation. At a relatively high levelKSpecial attention should be paid to analyzing whether the main force needs to wash the market or if there is a change in the overall situation, and the main force needs to ship at a high level. Generally speaking, the main force washing the market will fluctuate sharply downwards, making it easy for people to be deceived;However, if the main force wants to ship at a high level, it will be very gentle, giving people a feeling of needing to adjust at a high level and continue to hit higher peaks. By observing and calculating the inflow and outflow of the main force's funds, it can be found. Nine out of ten retail investors compensate for this reason, always being deceived by technical data and confused by the main force. Relatively lowKGenerally, the line falls to a certain extent, so there will be a relatively low level, but whether the incoming buying is awesome depends on the subsequent trend. Low position long and short positions are usually fought back and forth, whenKThe smaller the amplitude of the line, the more reasonable the price range has been organized. At this time, the normal trading volume will be relatively low. If there is a continuous upward or downward long lead or cross star, and the trading volume starts to rise, it indicates that the market is about to change. At this moment, it is necessary to constantly pay attention. If the main funds are continuously entering but the price fluctuates little, then buy decisively, When the main force builds up their positions, they will give up suppressing prices and turn to aggressively entering the market to start pulling up, usually starting with a bullish candlestick. A sharp rise in prices is relatively important, but it should be combined withKBased on a comprehensive assessment of the line and trading volume, whether the price does not rise or fall is not necessarily a bad thing, but rather the preparation for the next surge.

　　

Fund management is one of the core contents of trading systems, and its essence is risk management. The core logic of financial markets is that potential returns are equal to risks. Pursuing higher profit goals will inevitably face greater risks. Trading is valuable in the long run, and trading operations should pursue a balance between attack and defense. All positions and significant losses are the result of heavy attacks and light defenses. Fund management mainly involves building positions, stopping losses and profits, increasing positions and reducing positions, and so on. Here is only a brief explanation of warehouse construction. Assuming you use a1000Using USD accounts for international gold trading（XAUUSD）Margin trading, current market price is1390USD, you are considering setting the stop loss at a new high and then moving back to the previous low1381Below the US dollar1380On the position of the US dollar, the target price is considered to reach a new high1440Below the US dollar, per transaction2%Loss rule (usually recommended for classic trading)1-2%(Small funds can be adjusted accordingly), what is the amount of loss you can bear20USD（1000USD x0.02）In this way, you can only pay the market price1390Establishment of US dollars0.02Buying multiple positions by hand（20÷10）The profit and loss ratio is approximately5:1. If you use1385Set a price limit for buying orders in US dollars, and positions can be set0.04Hand（20÷5）Profit loss ratio1：10Left and right. Of course, you can also adopt the fixed position method, using a secure fixed position for each order placed over a period of time.

　　本文由王铭鑫（指导热线； ymsd06）Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the latency of online push, the above content is personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the suggestion is for reference only. Any operation based on this is at your own risk!